No Mich
W-L: ( 3-29) PR = 95.6118Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1004 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 3- 5 1005 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 1- 4 1010 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 2- 5 1011 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 1- 3 1017 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 1- 2 1018 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 2- 5 1024 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 0- 4 1025 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 6 1031 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 1- 2 1101 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 1- 3 1107 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 1- 4 1108 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 2- 4 1121 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 3- 7 1122 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 2- 6 1128 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 0- 4 1129 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 2- 3 1205 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 3- 2 1206 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 3- 4 1212 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 0- 2 1213 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 3- 4 103 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 1- 2 104 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 1- 2 109 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 0- 3 110 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 0- 2 123 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 2- 8 124 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 3- 2 130 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 2- 0 131 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 1- 7 213 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 4- 4 214 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 0- 6 220 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 5- 7 221 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 2- 5 227 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 2- 2 228 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 0- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 H UMass 3- 5 -2 -3 0.63
1005 H UMass 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.37
1010 H Ohio State 2- 5 -3 -3 -0.35
1011 H Ohio State 1- 3 -2 -3 0.65
1017 A Colorado Col 1- 2 -1 -3 1.96
1018 A Colorado Col 2- 5 -3 -3 -0.04
1024 A Michigan St 0- 4 -4 -4 -0.05
1025 A Michigan St 2- 6 -4 -4 -0.05
1031 H Augustana 1- 2 -1 -3 1.86
1101 H Augustana 1- 3 -2 -3 0.86
1107 H Mich Tech 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.72
1108 A Mich Tech 2- 4 -2 -2 0.30
1121 H Bemidji St 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.51
1122 H Bemidji St 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.51
1128 A Minn St 0- 4 -4 -3 -1.48
1129 A Minn St 2- 3 -1 -3 1.52
1205 H Bowl Green 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.09
1206 H Bowl Green 3- 4 -1 -2 1.09
1212 A St. Thomas 0- 2 -2 -2 0.34
1213 A St. Thomas 3- 4 -1 -2 1.34
103 H L Superor 1- 2 -1 -1 0.06
104 H L Superor 1- 2 -1 -1 0.06
109 A Augustana 0- 3 -3 -3 -0.12
110 A Augustana 0- 2 -2 -3 0.88
123 A Mich Tech 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.70
124 H Mich Tech 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.28
130 A Bemidji St 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.51
131 A Bemidji St 1- 7 -6 -2 -- -4.49
213 H Ferris St 4- 4 0 -1 0.92
214 H Ferris St 0- 6 -6 -1 -- -5.08
220 A L Superor 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.92
221 A L Superor 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.92
227 H Minn St 2- 2 0 -2 + 2.50
228 H Minn St 0- 3 -3 -2 -0.50
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 131 A Bemidji St 1- 7 -6 -2 -- -4.49 214 H Ferris St 0- 6 -6 -1 -- -5.08 1121 H Bemidji St 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.51 1122 H Bemidji St 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.51 123 A Mich Tech 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.70 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1205 H Bowl Green 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.09 124 H Mich Tech 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.28 130 A Bemidji St 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.51 227 H Minn St 2- 2 0 -2 + 2.50 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 3- 5 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 1.07 -0.88
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 1- 4 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 1.07 -0.88
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 2- 5 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 1.07 -0.87
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 1- 3 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 1.07 -0.87
3 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 2 -1.34 3.31 0.01 1.07 -0.71
3 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 5 -1.34 3.31 0.01 1.07 -0.71
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 0- 4 -0.34 4.31 0.01 1.07 -0.18
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 6 -0.34 4.31 0.01 1.07 -0.18
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 1- 2 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.07 -0.76
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 1- 3 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.07 -0.76
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 1- 4 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 1.07 -1.07
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 2- 4 -2.00 2.65 0.01 1.07 -1.06
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 3- 7 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 1.07 -1.49
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 2- 6 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 1.07 -1.49
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 0- 4 -1.78 2.87 0.01 1.07 -0.95
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 2- 3 -1.78 2.87 0.01 1.07 -0.95
3 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 3- 2 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 1.07 5.22
3 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 3- 4 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 1.07 -1.18
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 0- 2 -1.96 2.69 0.01 1.07 -1.04
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 3- 4 -1.96 2.69 0.01 1.07 -1.04
3 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 1- 2 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 1.07 -1.72
3 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 1- 2 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 1.07 -1.72
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 0- 3 -1.42 3.23 0.01 1.07 -0.75
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 0- 2 -1.42 3.23 0.01 1.07 -0.75
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 2- 8 -2.00 2.65 0.01 1.07 -1.06
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 3- 2 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 1.07 5.63
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 2- 0 -2.79 1.86 0.01 1.07 4.00
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 1- 7 -2.79 1.86 0.01 1.07 -1.48
3 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 4- 4 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 1.07 0.00
3 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 0- 6 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 1.07 -1.80
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 5- 7 -3.22 1.43 0.01 1.07 -1.71
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 2- 5 -3.22 1.43 0.01 1.07 -1.71
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 2- 2 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 1.07 0.00
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 0- 3 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 1.07 -0.96
------
-15.91
|
winning pts = 14.8516 losing points = -30.7633
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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