North Eastern
W-L: (18-18) PR = 97.8632Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1004 A Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 6- 4 1010 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 1- 2 1017 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 4- 2 1025 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 1- 0 1030 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 4- 1 1031 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 3- 0 1107 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 2- 0 1108 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 4- 2 1114 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 2- 4 1115 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 3- 4 1121 A Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 3- 2 1122 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 3- 4 1129 A Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 4- 1 1206 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 3- 2 1207 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 0- 2 1213 A Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 3- 4 102 H Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 2- 5 109 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 2- 3 110 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 3- 5 116 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 4- 0 118 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 5- 2 122 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 1- 4 123 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 1- 3 130 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 2- 3 202 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 2- 2 206 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 0- 2 209 H Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 1- 4 213 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 4- 2 214 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 1- 4 220 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 2- 0 221 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 8- 2 227 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 0- 4 228 A Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 2- 3 307 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 4- 2 311 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 7- 3 311 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 7- 3 314 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 1- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 A Holy Cross 6- 4 2 1 1.18
1010 A Army 1- 2 -1 1 -2.00
1017 H UMass 4- 2 2 0 + 2.38
1030 H Boston Col 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.62
1031 A Boston Col 3- 0 3 -1 + 3.64
1107 A Stonehill 2- 0 2 1 0.60
1108 A Stonehill 4- 2 2 1 0.60
1114 H Connecticut 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.40
1115 A Connecticut 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.38
1121 A Boston Univ 3- 2 1 0 0.77
1122 H Boston Univ 3- 4 -1 0 -1.25
1129 A Brown 4- 1 3 2 0.64
1206 A UMass 3- 2 1 0 1.40
1207 A UMass 0- 2 -2 0 -1.60
1213 A Boston Univ 3- 4 -1 0 -1.23
102 H Army 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.02
109 H Vermont 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.40
110 H Vermont 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.40
116 H New Hamp 4- 0 4 1 + 2.70
118 A New Hamp 5- 2 3 1 1.72
122 H Merrimack 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.96
123 H Merrimack 1- 3 -2 0 -1.96
130 H UMass 2- 3 -1 0 -0.62
202 H Boston Univ 2- 2 0 0 -0.25
206 A Connecticut 0- 2 -2 -1 -1.38
209 H Harvard 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.61
213 H Providence 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.08
214 H Providence 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.92
220 H UMass Lowell 2- 0 2 1 1.22
221 H UMass Lowell 8- 2 6 1 ++ 5.22
227 H Maine 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.43
228 A Maine 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.41
307 H Boston Col 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.62
311 A New Hamp 7- 3 4 1 + 2.72
311 A New Hamp 7- 3 4 1 + 2.72
314 H UMass 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 102 H Army 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.02 109 H Vermont 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.40 110 H Vermont 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.40 122 H Merrimack 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.96 209 H Harvard 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.61 227 H Maine 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.43 314 H UMass 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.62 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H UMass Lowell 8- 2 6 1 ++ 5.22 1017 H UMass 4- 2 2 0 + 2.38 1030 H Boston Col 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.62 1031 A Boston Col 3- 0 3 -1 + 3.64 116 H New Hamp 4- 0 4 1 + 2.70 213 H Providence 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.08 307 H Boston Col 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.62 311 A New Hamp 7- 3 4 1 + 2.72 311 A New Hamp 7- 3 4 1 + 2.72 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 6- 4 -2.87 1.78 0.01 0.98 3.52
3 A Army (12-17, 96.9) 1- 2 -3.04 1.60 0.01 0.98 -1.49
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 4- 2 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 0.98 5.87
3 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 1- 0 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.98 9.14
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 4- 1 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 0.98 6.34
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 3- 0 -1.41 3.24 0.01 0.98 6.38
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 2- 0 -3.44 1.20 0.01 0.98 2.38
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 4- 2 -3.44 1.20 0.01 0.98 2.38
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 2- 4 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 0.98 -0.70
3 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 3- 4 -1.43 3.22 0.01 0.98 -0.69
3 A Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 3- 2 -2.28 2.37 0.01 0.98 4.68
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 3- 4 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 0.98 -1.12
3 A Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 4- 1 -4.40 1.00 0.01 0.98 1.98
3 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 3- 2 -1.64 3.00 0.01 0.98 5.91
3 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 0- 2 -1.64 3.00 0.01 0.98 -0.80
3 A Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 3- 4 -2.28 2.37 0.01 0.98 -1.11
3 H Army (12-17, 96.9) 2- 5 -3.04 1.60 -0.01 0.98 -1.50
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 2- 3 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 0.98 -1.69
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 3- 5 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 0.98 -1.69
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 4- 0 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 0.98 2.57
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 5- 2 -3.33 1.32 0.01 0.98 2.61
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 1- 4 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 0.98 -0.98
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 1- 3 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 0.98 -0.98
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 2- 3 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 0.98 -0.81
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 2- 2 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 0.98 0.00
3 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 0- 2 -1.43 3.22 0.01 0.98 -0.69
3 H Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 1- 4 -2.64 2.01 -0.01 0.98 -1.30
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 4- 2 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 0.98 7.23
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 1- 4 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 0.98 -0.47
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 2- 0 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 0.98 3.60
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 8- 2 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 0.98 3.60
3 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 0- 4 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 0.98 -0.72
3 A Maine (18-14, 98.4) 2- 3 -1.45 3.19 0.01 0.98 -0.71
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 4- 2 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 0.98 6.34
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 7- 3 -3.33 1.32 0.01 0.98 2.61
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 7- 3 -3.33 1.32 0.01 0.98 2.61
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 1- 4 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 0.98 -0.81
------
61.48
|
winning pts = 79.7369 losing points = -18.2611
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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