Notre Dame
W-L: ( 9-23) PR = 97.1878Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 3- 5 1011 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 2- 7 1016 A St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 8- 2 1017 A St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 3- 0 1024 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 6- 3 1025 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 2- 2 1031 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 3- 5 1101 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 2 1107 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 0- 3 1108 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 1- 4 1114 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 1115 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 3 1126 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 5- 4 1128 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 3- 5 1205 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 4- 7 1206 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 2- 9 102 A Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 0- 4 103 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 0- 4 109 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 5 110 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 4- 7 116 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 1- 4 117 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 3- 6 123 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 2- 4 124 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 6- 1 130 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 3- 3 131 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 2- 2 206 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 5- 6 207 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 4- 5 213 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 2- 2 214 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 3- 2 219 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 4 220 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 8 227 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 3- 3 228 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 4- 3 305 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 5- 4 306 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 4- 3 311 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 H Arizona St 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.44
1011 A Quinnipiac 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.41
1016 A St Lawrence 8- 2 6 2 ++ 4.07
1017 A St Lawrence 3- 0 3 2 1.07
1024 A Rob Morris 6- 3 3 1 + 2.26
1025 A Rob Morris 2- 2 0 1 -0.74
1031 A Michigan 3- 5 -2 -3 0.71
1101 A Michigan 1- 2 -1 -3 1.71
1107 H Minnesota 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.30
1108 H Minnesota 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.30
1114 A Michigan St 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.62
1115 A Michigan St 1- 3 -2 -2 0.38
1126 H Merrimack 5- 4 1 -1 1.71
1128 H Boston Col 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.71
1205 A Wisconsin 4- 7 -3 -2 -1.09
1206 A Wisconsin 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -5.09
102 A Western Mich 0- 4 -4 -3 -1.49
103 H Western Mich 0- 4 -4 -2 -1.51
109 H Michigan 2- 5 -3 -3 -0.31
110 H Michigan 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.31
116 H Penn State 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.66
117 H Penn State 3- 6 -3 -1 -1.66
123 A Ohio State 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.91
124 A Ohio State 6- 1 5 -1 +++ 6.09
130 A Bowl Green 3- 3 0 -1 0.53
131 H Bowl Green 2- 2 0 -1 0.51
206 H Wisconsin 5- 6 -1 -2 0.89
207 H Wisconsin 4- 5 -1 -2 0.89
213 A Minnesota 2- 2 0 -1 0.72
214 A Minnesota 3- 2 1 -1 1.72
219 H Michigan St 2- 4 -2 -2 0.36
220 H Michigan St 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.64
227 A Penn State 3- 3 0 -1 1.36
228 A Penn State 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.36
305 H Ohio State 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.07
306 H Ohio State 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.07
311 H Michigan 1- 6 -5 -3 - -2.31
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1206 A Wisconsin 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -5.09 1011 A Quinnipiac 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.41 1107 H Minnesota 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.30 1108 H Minnesota 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.30 220 H Michigan St 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.64 311 H Michigan 1- 6 -5 -3 - -2.31 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 124 A Ohio State 6- 1 5 -1 +++ 6.09 1016 A St Lawrence 8- 2 6 2 ++ 4.07 1024 A Rob Morris 6- 3 3 1 + 2.26 228 A Penn State 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.36 305 H Ohio State 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.07 306 H Ohio State 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.07 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 3- 5 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 0.98 -1.06
3 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 2- 7 -1.13 3.52 0.01 0.98 -0.55
3 A St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 8- 2 -4.65 1.00 0.01 0.98 1.98
3 A St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 3- 0 -4.65 1.00 0.01 0.98 1.98
3 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 6- 3 -3.46 1.18 0.01 0.98 2.34
3 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 2- 2 -3.46 1.18 0.01 0.98 0.00
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 3- 5 -0.02 4.63 0.01 0.98 -0.00
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 2 -0.02 4.63 0.01 0.98 -0.00
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 0- 3 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 -0.99
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 1- 4 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 -0.99
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 -0.34 4.31 0.01 0.98 -0.16
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 3 -0.34 4.31 0.01 0.98 -0.16
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 5- 4 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 0.98 5.20
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 3- 5 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 0.98 -0.70
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 4- 7 -0.81 3.84 0.01 0.98 -0.39
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 2- 9 -0.81 3.84 0.01 0.98 -0.39
3 A Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 0- 4 -0.21 4.44 0.01 0.98 -0.10
3 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 0- 4 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 0.98 -0.11
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 5 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.98 -0.01
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 4- 7 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.98 -0.01
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 1- 4 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 0.98 -0.67
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 3- 6 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 0.98 -0.67
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 2- 4 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.98 -0.79
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 6- 1 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.98 5.95
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 3- 3 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.98 0.00
3 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 2- 2 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 0.98 0.00
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 5- 6 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.98 -0.40
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 4- 5 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.98 -0.40
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 2- 2 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.98 0.00
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 3- 2 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.98 5.22
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 4 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 0.98 -0.17
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 8 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 0.98 -0.17
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 3- 3 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.98 0.00
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 4- 3 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.98 6.47
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 5- 4 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 0.98 5.91
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 4- 3 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 0.98 5.91
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 6 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.98 -0.01
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32.02
|
winning pts = 40.9478 losing points = -8.9256
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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