Omaha
W-L: (12-24) PR = 97.7455Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 6- 2 1011 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 4 1024 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 4- 5 1025 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 5- 2 1031 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 3- 2 1101 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 5- 4 1107 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 7 1108 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 1114 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 2- 5 1115 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 2- 0 1121 A Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 2- 7 1122 A Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 2- 4 1128 H Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 1- 2 1129 H Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 3- 1 1212 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 1213 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 3 1219 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 4- 7 1220 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 4- 1 102 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 4- 6 103 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 2- 3 109 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 6- 2 110 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 1- 2 116 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 0- 3 117 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 2- 6 123 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 3- 1 124 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 1- 3 130 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 2- 5 131 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 4- 1 213 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 2- 5 214 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 1- 3 220 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 4- 2 221 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 3- 6 227 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 5- 3 228 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 2- 4 306 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 5 307 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 A Minn St 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.38
1011 A Minn St 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.62
1024 A UMass 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.48
1025 A UMass 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.52
1031 H Colorado Col 3- 2 1 -1 1.80
1101 H Colorado Col 5- 4 1 -1 1.80
1107 A North Dakota 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.15
1108 A North Dakota 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.15
1114 H Minn Duluth 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.49
1115 H Minn Duluth 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.51
1121 A Western Mich 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.05
1122 A Western Mich 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.05
1128 H Yale 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.51
1129 H Yale 3- 1 2 2 0.49
1212 H North Dakota 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.17
1213 H North Dakota 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.17
1219 H Augustana 4- 7 -3 -1 - -2.28
1220 H Augustana 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.72
102 H Cornell 4- 6 -2 -1 -1.29
103 H Cornell 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.29
109 A St Cloud St 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.62
110 A St Cloud St 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.38
116 H Miami 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.58
117 H Miami 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.58
123 A Colorado Col 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.82
124 A Colorado Col 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.18
130 H Western Mich 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.07
131 H Western Mich 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.93
213 A Denver 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.84
214 A Denver 1- 3 -2 -2 0.16
220 H Arizona St 4- 2 2 0 + 2.00
221 H Arizona St 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.00
227 A Miami 5- 3 2 0 + 2.44
228 A Miami 2- 4 -2 0 -1.56
306 H North Dakota 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.17
307 H North Dakota 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.17
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A Minn St 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.62 1107 A North Dakota 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.15 1121 A Western Mich 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.05 1128 H Yale 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.51 1219 H Augustana 4- 7 -3 -1 - -2.28 116 H Miami 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.58 117 H Miami 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.58 221 H Arizona St 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.00 307 H North Dakota 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.17 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1010 A Minn St 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.38 109 A St Cloud St 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.62 131 H Western Mich 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.93 1025 A UMass 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.52 1115 H Minn Duluth 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.51 1220 H Augustana 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.72 123 A Colorado Col 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.82 220 H Arizona St 4- 2 2 0 + 2.00 227 A Miami 5- 3 2 0 + 2.44 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 6- 2 -1.78 2.87 0.01 1.01 5.80
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 4 -1.78 2.87 0.01 1.01 -0.89
3 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 4- 5 -1.64 3.00 0.01 1.01 -0.82
3 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 5- 2 -1.64 3.00 0.01 1.01 6.08
3 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 3- 2 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 1.01 6.65
3 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 5- 4 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 1.01 6.65
3 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 7 -0.31 4.34 0.01 1.01 -0.15
3 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 -0.31 4.34 0.01 1.01 -0.15
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 2- 5 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 1.01 -0.33
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 2- 0 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 1.01 8.07
3 A Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 2- 7 -0.21 4.44 0.01 1.01 -0.10
3 A Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 2- 4 -0.21 4.44 0.01 1.01 -0.10
3 H Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 1- 2 -3.66 1.00 -0.01 1.01 -1.85
3 H Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 3- 1 -3.66 1.00 -0.01 1.01 2.00
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 1.01 -0.16
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 3 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 1.01 -0.16
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 7 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.01 -0.72
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 1 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.01 6.49
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 4- 6 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.01 -0.73
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 2- 3 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.01 -0.73
3 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 6- 2 -1.54 3.11 0.01 1.01 6.28
3 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 1- 2 -1.54 3.11 0.01 1.01 -0.77
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 0- 3 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 1.01 -0.87
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 2- 6 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 1.01 -0.87
3 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 3- 1 -1.34 3.31 0.01 1.01 6.69
3 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 3 -1.34 3.31 0.01 1.01 -0.67
3 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 2- 5 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 1.01 -0.11
3 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 4- 1 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 1.01 8.93
3 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 2- 5 -0.00 4.65 0.01 1.01 -0.01
3 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 1- 3 -0.00 4.65 0.01 1.01 -0.01
3 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 4- 2 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 1.01 5.04
3 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 3- 6 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 1.01 -1.08
3 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 5- 3 -1.73 2.92 0.01 1.01 5.91
3 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 2- 4 -1.73 2.92 0.01 1.01 -0.86
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 5 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 1.01 -0.16
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 5 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 1.01 -0.16
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62.08
|
winning pts = 74.5711 losing points = -12.4937
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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