Ohio State
W-L: (15-20) PR = 98.2722Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 5- 2 1011 A No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 3- 1 1017 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 2- 3 1018 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 4- 2 1024 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 1- 2 1025 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 3- 0 1030 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 2- 3 1031 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 3- 4 1114 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 5- 1 1115 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 5- 6 1121 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 5 1122 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 8 1128 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 2- 3 1129 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 3- 4 1204 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 3- 6 1205 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 6- 5 102 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 2- 2 103 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 3- 5 109 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 6 110 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 1 123 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 2 124 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 1- 6 130 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 4- 6 131 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 3 206 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 6- 2 207 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 2- 1 213 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 2- 4 214 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 3- 2 220 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 4- 1 221 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 4- 5 227 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 5- 1 228 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 3- 3 305 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 5 306 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 3- 4 311 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 7- 1 314 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 3- 2 321 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 3- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 A No Mich 5- 2 3 3 0.35
1011 A No Mich 3- 1 2 3 -0.65
1017 H Connecticut 2- 3 -1 0 -0.81
1018 H Connecticut 4- 2 2 0 + 2.19
1024 A Sacred Heart 1- 2 -1 1 -1.84
1025 A Sacred Heart 3- 0 3 1 + 2.16
1030 A Penn State 2- 3 -1 0 -0.72
1031 A Penn State 3- 4 -1 0 -0.72
1114 H Wisconsin 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.81
1115 H Wisconsin 5- 6 -1 -1 -0.19
1121 H Michigan 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.40
1122 H Michigan 1- 8 -7 -2 -- -5.40
1128 H Arizona St 2- 3 -1 1 -1.52
1129 H Arizona St 3- 4 -1 1 -1.52
1204 A Minnesota 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.36
1205 A Minnesota 6- 5 1 0 0.64
102 A Bowl Green 2- 2 0 1 -0.55
103 H Bowl Green 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.57
109 A Michigan St 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.71
110 A Michigan St 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.29
123 H Notre Dame 4- 2 2 1 0.91
124 H Notre Dame 1- 6 -5 1 --- -6.09
130 A Michigan 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.38
131 A Michigan 2- 3 -1 -2 0.62
206 H Minnesota 6- 2 4 0 + 3.62
207 H Minnesota 2- 1 1 0 0.62
213 A Wisconsin 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.17
214 A Wisconsin 3- 2 1 -1 1.83
220 H Penn State 4- 1 3 0 + 3.26
221 H Penn State 4- 5 -1 0 -0.74
227 H Michigan St 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 5.27
228 H Michigan St 3- 3 0 -1 1.27
305 A Notre Dame 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.07
306 A Notre Dame 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.07
311 H Wisconsin 7- 1 6 -1 +++ 6.81
314 H Michigan St 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.27
321 H Michigan 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 124 H Notre Dame 1- 6 -5 1 --- -6.09 1122 H Michigan 1- 8 -7 -2 -- -5.40 1204 A Minnesota 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.36 103 H Bowl Green 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.57 109 A Michigan St 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.71 305 A Notre Dame 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.07 306 A Notre Dame 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.07 321 H Michigan 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Wisconsin 7- 1 6 -1 +++ 6.81 1114 H Wisconsin 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.81 227 H Michigan St 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 5.27 1018 H Connecticut 4- 2 2 0 + 2.19 1025 A Sacred Heart 3- 0 3 1 + 2.16 110 A Michigan St 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.29 206 H Minnesota 6- 2 4 0 + 3.62 220 H Penn State 4- 1 3 0 + 3.26 314 H Michigan St 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.27 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 5- 2 -4.29 1.00 0.01 0.98 1.98
3 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 3- 1 -4.29 1.00 0.01 0.98 1.98
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 2- 3 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 0.98 -0.70
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 4- 2 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 0.98 6.30
3 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 1- 2 -2.47 2.18 0.01 0.98 -1.21
3 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 3- 0 -2.47 2.18 0.01 0.98 4.29
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 2- 3 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.98 -0.66
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 3- 4 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.98 -0.66
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 5- 1 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.98 7.51
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 5- 6 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.98 -0.40
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 5 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.98 -0.01
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 8 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.98 -0.01
3 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 2- 3 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 0.98 -1.06
3 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 3- 4 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 0.98 -1.06
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 3- 6 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.98 -0.98
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 6- 5 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.98 5.22
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 2- 2 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.98 0.00
3 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 3- 5 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 0.98 -1.08
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 6 -0.34 4.31 0.01 0.98 -0.16
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 1 -0.34 4.31 0.01 0.98 8.46
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 2 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.98 3.78
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 1- 6 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.98 -1.33
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 4- 6 -0.02 4.63 0.01 0.98 -0.00
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 3 -0.02 4.63 0.01 0.98 -0.00
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 6- 2 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 5.18
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 2- 1 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 5.18
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 2- 4 -0.81 3.84 0.01 0.98 -0.39
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 3- 2 -0.81 3.84 0.01 0.98 7.55
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 4- 1 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 0.98 6.43
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 4- 5 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 0.98 -0.67
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 5- 1 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 0.98 8.42
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 5 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.98 -1.33
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 3- 4 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.98 -1.33
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 7- 1 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.98 7.51
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 3- 2 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 0.98 8.42
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 3- 7 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.98 -0.01
------
75.14
|
winning pts = 88.2031 losing points = -13.0644
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------