Providence
W-L: (22-11) PR = 98.9486Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 5 1011 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 3 1018 H RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 5- 1 1024 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 2- 2 1025 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 7- 4 1031 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 5- 2 1101 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 1- 5 1107 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 4- 1 1108 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 2- 2 1114 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 4- 2 1115 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 2- 3 1120 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 1- 2 1122 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 5- 1 1128 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 2- 3 1129 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 2- 1 1209 H Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 4- 2 102 A Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 5- 2 103 A Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 1- 5 109 A Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 6- 1 110 A Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 3- 0 116 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 4- 3 117 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 4- 3 123 A Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 4- 3 124 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 4- 0 131 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 3- 2 206 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 6- 1 207 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 6- 1 213 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 2- 4 214 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 4- 1 220 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 5- 2 227 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 0- 1 228 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 3- 2 307 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 3- 1 314 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 2- 3 326 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 2- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 A Michigan 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.05
1011 A Michigan 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.05
1018 H RPI 5- 1 4 3 1.35
1024 H St. Thomas 2- 2 0 1 -1.02
1025 H St. Thomas 7- 4 3 1 1.98
1031 A UMass Lowell 5- 2 3 2 1.16
1101 H UMass Lowell 1- 5 -4 2 -- -5.86
1107 H Connecticut 4- 1 3 0 + 2.51
1108 A Connecticut 2- 2 0 0 -0.47
1114 A Merrimack 4- 2 2 1 0.97
1115 H Merrimack 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.05
1120 A UMass 1- 2 -1 1 -1.68
1122 H UMass 5- 1 4 1 + 3.30
1128 H Colorado Col 2- 3 -1 0 -1.40
1129 H Colorado Col 2- 1 1 0 0.60
1209 H Brown 4- 2 2 3 -1.46
102 A Alaska 5- 2 3 2 1.39
103 A Alaska 1- 5 -4 2 -- -5.61
109 A Maine 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.51
110 A Maine 3- 0 3 0 + 2.51
116 H Boston Col 4- 3 1 0 0.53
117 A Boston Col 4- 3 1 0 0.55
123 A Boston Univ 4- 3 1 1 -0.31
124 H Boston Univ 4- 0 4 1 + 2.67
131 H Maine 3- 2 1 1 0.49
206 H New Hamp 6- 1 5 2 + 2.61
207 A Vermont 6- 1 5 2 + 2.54
213 A North Eastern 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.08
214 A North Eastern 4- 1 3 1 1.92
220 H Vermont 5- 2 3 2 0.52
228 H New Hamp 3- 2 1 2 -1.39
307 A Connecticut 3- 1 2 0 1.53
314 A Merrimack 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.03
326 A Quinnipiac 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.17
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1101 H UMass Lowell 1- 5 -4 2 -- -5.86 103 A Alaska 1- 5 -4 2 -- -5.61 1010 A Michigan 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.05 1115 H Merrimack 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.05 213 A North Eastern 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.08 314 A Merrimack 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.03 326 A Quinnipiac 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.17 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 109 A Maine 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.51 1107 H Connecticut 4- 1 3 0 + 2.51 1122 H UMass 5- 1 4 1 + 3.30 110 A Maine 3- 0 3 0 + 2.51 124 H Boston Univ 4- 0 4 1 + 2.67 206 H New Hamp 6- 1 5 2 + 2.61 207 A Vermont 6- 1 5 2 + 2.54 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 5 -0.02 4.63 0.01 1.04 -0.00
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 3 -0.02 4.63 0.01 1.04 -0.00
3 H RPI (11-23, 96.3) 5- 1 -3.59 1.06 -0.01 1.04 2.17
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 2- 2 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 1.04 0.00
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 7- 4 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 1.04 5.56
3 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 5- 2 -2.80 1.85 0.01 1.04 3.85
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 1- 5 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 1.04 -1.46
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 4- 1 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 1.04 6.66
3 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 2- 2 -1.43 3.22 0.01 1.04 0.00
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 4- 2 -1.99 2.66 0.01 1.04 5.54
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 2- 3 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 1.04 -1.04
3 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 1- 2 -1.64 3.00 0.01 1.04 -0.85
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 5- 1 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 1.04 6.21
3 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 3 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 1.04 -0.70
3 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 1 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 1.04 6.84
3 H Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 4- 2 -4.40 1.00 -0.01 1.04 2.05
3 A Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 5- 2 -2.58 2.07 0.01 1.04 4.32
3 A Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 1- 5 -2.58 2.07 0.01 1.04 -1.33
3 A Maine (18-14, 98.4) 6- 1 -1.45 3.19 0.01 1.04 6.64
3 A Maine (18-14, 98.4) 3- 0 -1.45 3.19 0.01 1.04 6.64
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 4- 3 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 1.04 6.70
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 4- 3 -1.41 3.24 0.01 1.04 6.74
3 A Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 4- 3 -2.28 2.37 0.01 1.04 4.94
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 4- 0 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 1.04 4.90
3 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 3- 2 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 1.04 6.60
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 6- 1 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 1.04 2.71
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 6- 1 -3.43 1.22 0.01 1.04 2.56
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 2- 4 -2.04 2.61 0.01 1.04 -1.05
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 4- 1 -2.04 2.61 0.01 1.04 5.44
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 5- 2 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 1.04 2.52
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 0- 1 -3.33 1.32 0.01 1.04 -1.72
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 1.04 2.71
3 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 3- 1 -1.43 3.22 0.01 1.04 6.70
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 2- 3 -1.99 2.66 0.01 1.04 -1.03
3 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 2- 5 -1.13 3.52 0.01 1.04 -0.58
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99.26
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winning pts = 109.0169 losing points = -9.7552
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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