Penn State
W-L: (20-15) PR = 98.5380Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 6- 3 1004 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 4- 2 1009 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 4- 6 1010 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 5- 2 1017 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 5- 4 1018 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 3- 0 1024 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 3- 2 1025 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 4- 2 1030 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 3- 2 1031 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 4- 3 1107 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 2 1108 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 0- 5 1114 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 7 1115 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 4- 2 1121 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 2- 3 1122 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 2- 1 103 H RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 0- 1 104 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 7- 3 109 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 3- 0 110 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 5- 2 116 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 1 117 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 6- 3 123 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 7- 2 124 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 3- 1 130 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 3- 6 131 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 4- 5 213 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 4- 4 214 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 3- 6 220 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 1- 4 221 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 5- 4 227 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 3- 3 228 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 3- 4 305 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 3- 7 306 A Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 2- 5 311 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 6- 2 314 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 5 327 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 1- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 H Arizona St 6- 3 3 1 + 2.21
1004 H Arizona St 4- 2 2 1 1.21
1009 A Clarkson 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.36
1010 A Clarkson 5- 2 3 1 1.64
1017 A LIU 5- 4 1 2 -0.86
1018 A LIU 3- 0 3 2 1.14
1024 A Stonehill 3- 2 1 2 -1.07
1025 A Stonehill 4- 2 2 2 -0.07
1030 H Ohio State 3- 2 1 0 0.72
1031 H Ohio State 4- 3 1 0 0.72
1107 H Michigan St 1- 2 -1 -1 0.01
1108 H Michigan St 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.99
1114 A Michigan 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -4.64
1115 A Michigan 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.36
1121 H Minnesota 2- 3 -1 1 -1.65
1122 H Minnesota 2- 1 1 1 0.35
104 A RIT 7- 3 4 2 + 2.10
109 A Minnesota 3- 0 3 1 + 2.37
110 A Minnesota 5- 2 3 1 + 2.37
116 A Notre Dame 4- 1 3 1 1.66
117 A Notre Dame 6- 3 3 1 1.66
123 H Wisconsin 7- 2 5 -1 ++ 5.54
124 H Wisconsin 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.54
130 A Michigan St 3- 6 -3 -1 -1.97
131 A Michigan St 4- 5 -1 -1 0.03
213 H Michigan 4- 4 0 -1 1.34
214 H Michigan 3- 6 -3 -1 -1.66
220 A Ohio State 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.26
221 A Ohio State 5- 4 1 0 0.74
227 H Notre Dame 3- 3 0 1 -1.36
228 H Notre Dame 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.36
305 A Wisconsin 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.44
306 A Wisconsin 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.44
311 A Minnesota 6- 2 4 1 + 3.37
314 H Michigan 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.66
327 H Minn Duluth 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.28
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 A Michigan 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -4.64 1009 A Clarkson 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.36 1108 H Michigan St 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.99 220 A Ohio State 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.26 228 H Notre Dame 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.36 305 A Wisconsin 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.44 306 A Wisconsin 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 123 H Wisconsin 7- 2 5 -1 ++ 5.54 1003 H Arizona St 6- 3 3 1 + 2.21 1115 A Michigan 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.36 104 A RIT 7- 3 4 2 + 2.10 109 A Minnesota 3- 0 3 1 + 2.37 110 A Minnesota 5- 2 3 1 + 2.37 124 H Wisconsin 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.54 311 A Minnesota 6- 2 4 1 + 3.37 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 6- 3 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 0.98 4.90
3 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 4- 2 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 0.98 4.90
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 4- 6 -2.73 1.92 0.01 0.98 -1.33
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 5- 2 -2.73 1.92 0.01 0.98 3.79
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 5- 4 -3.24 1.41 0.01 0.98 2.79
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 3- 0 -3.24 1.41 0.01 0.98 2.79
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 3- 2 -3.44 1.20 0.01 0.98 2.38
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 4- 2 -3.44 1.20 0.01 0.98 2.38
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 3- 2 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 0.98 5.91
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 4- 3 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 0.98 5.91
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 2 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 0.98 -0.17
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 0- 5 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 0.98 -0.17
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 7 -0.02 4.63 0.01 0.98 -0.00
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 4- 2 -0.02 4.63 0.01 0.98 9.11
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 2- 3 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 -0.99
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 2- 1 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.98 5.18
3 H RIT (17-17, 96.6) 0- 1 -3.27 1.38 -0.01 0.98 -1.61
3 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 7- 3 -3.27 1.38 0.01 0.98 2.73
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 3- 0 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.98 5.22
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 5- 2 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.98 5.22
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 1 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.98 3.82
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 6- 3 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.98 3.82
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 7- 2 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.98 7.51
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 3- 1 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.98 7.51
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 3- 6 -0.34 4.31 0.01 0.98 -0.16
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 4- 5 -0.34 4.31 0.01 0.98 -0.16
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 3- 6 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.98 -0.01
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 1- 4 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.98 -0.79
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 5- 4 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.98 5.95
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 3- 3 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.98 0.00
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 3- 4 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.98 -1.33
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 3- 7 -0.81 3.84 0.01 0.98 -0.39
3 A Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 2- 5 -0.81 3.84 0.01 0.98 -0.39
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 6- 2 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.98 5.22
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 5 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.98 -0.01
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 1- 3 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 0.98 -0.32
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89.14
|
winning pts = 97.0051 losing points = -7.8611
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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