RIT
W-L: (17-17) PR = 96.6309Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 0- 1 1011 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 1- 6 1018 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 6- 2 1024 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 5- 1 1025 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 7- 3 1031 H Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 3- 1 1101 H Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 4- 1 1107 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 1 1108 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 3- 2 1114 H Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 2- 1 1115 H Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 3- 2 1118 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 1- 2 1121 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 2- 3 1128 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 0- 4 1129 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 0- 3 1205 A Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 3- 1 1206 H Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 2- 4 1229 H Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 2- 3 103 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 1- 0 104 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 3- 7 109 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 4- 1 110 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 3- 2 116 H Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 3- 5 117 A Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 1- 4 123 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 4- 2 124 A Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 3- 3 130 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 2- 2 131 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 3- 1 206 H Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 2- 6 207 H Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 3- 2 210 A Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 2- 1 220 A Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 3- 4 227 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 1- 5 228 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 2- 3 306 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 1- 2 307 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 4- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1011 A Sacred Heart 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.19
1018 A Clarkson 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.55
1024 A Air Force 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.53
1025 A Air Force 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 4.53
1031 H Colgate 3- 1 2 0 1.95
1101 H Colgate 4- 1 3 0 + 2.95
1107 A Mercyhurst 4- 1 3 1 1.73
1108 A Mercyhurst 3- 2 1 1 -0.27
1114 H Rob Morris 2- 1 1 0 0.79
1115 H Rob Morris 3- 2 1 0 0.79
1118 H Niagara 1- 2 -1 1 -1.55
1121 H Bentley 2- 3 -1 -1 0.00
1128 H Miami 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.47
1129 A Sacred Heart 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.19
1205 A Canisius 3- 1 2 0 + 2.00
1206 H Canisius 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.02
1229 H Clarkson 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.47
104 H Penn State 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.10
109 A Rob Morris 4- 1 3 0 + 2.81
110 A Rob Morris 3- 2 1 0 0.81
116 H Canisius 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.02
117 A Canisius 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.00
123 H Niagara 4- 2 2 1 1.45
124 A Niagara 3- 3 0 1 -0.53
130 H Mercyhurst 2- 2 0 1 -1.29
131 H Mercyhurst 3- 1 2 1 0.71
206 H Army 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.79
207 H Army 3- 2 1 0 1.21
210 A Niagara 2- 1 1 1 0.47
220 A Bentley 3- 4 -1 -1 0.02
227 H Holy Cross 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.61
228 H Holy Cross 2- 3 -1 0 -0.61
306 H Holy Cross 1- 2 -1 0 -0.61
307 H Holy Cross 4- 5 -1 0 -0.61
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A Sacred Heart 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.19 1128 H Miami 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.47 1129 A Sacred Heart 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.19 1206 H Canisius 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.02 104 H Penn State 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.10 116 H Canisius 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.02 117 A Canisius 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.00 206 H Army 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.79 227 H Holy Cross 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.61 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 A Clarkson 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.55 1024 A Air Force 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.53 1025 A Air Force 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 4.53 1101 H Colgate 4- 1 3 0 + 2.95 1205 A Canisius 3- 1 2 0 + 2.00 109 A Rob Morris 4- 1 3 0 + 2.81 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 0- 1 -2.47 2.18 0.01 1.01 -1.24
3 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 1- 6 -2.47 2.18 0.01 1.01 -1.24
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 6- 2 -2.73 1.92 0.01 1.01 3.89
3 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 5- 1 -2.75 1.90 0.01 1.01 3.86
3 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 7- 3 -2.75 1.90 0.01 1.01 3.86
3 H Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 3- 1 -3.31 1.34 -0.01 1.01 2.68
3 H Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 4- 1 -3.31 1.34 -0.01 1.01 2.68
3 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 1 -4.55 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 3- 2 -4.55 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 2- 1 -3.46 1.18 -0.01 1.01 2.37
3 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 3- 2 -3.46 1.18 -0.01 1.01 2.37
3 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 1- 2 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 1.01 -1.93
3 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 2- 3 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 1.01 -1.14
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 0- 4 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 1.01 -0.87
3 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 0- 3 -2.47 2.18 0.01 1.01 -1.24
3 A Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 3- 1 -3.28 1.37 0.01 1.01 2.79
3 H Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 2- 4 -3.28 1.37 -0.01 1.01 -1.66
3 H Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 2- 3 -2.73 1.92 -0.01 1.01 -1.38
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 1- 0 -1.36 3.29 0.01 1.01 6.65
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 3- 7 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 1.01 -0.69
3 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 4- 1 -3.46 1.18 0.01 1.01 2.41
3 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 3- 2 -3.46 1.18 0.01 1.01 2.41
3 H Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 3- 5 -3.28 1.37 -0.01 1.01 -1.66
3 A Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 1- 4 -3.28 1.37 0.01 1.01 -1.65
3 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 4- 2 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 1.01 2.00
3 A Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 3- 3 -3.81 1.00 0.01 1.01 0.00
3 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 2- 2 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 1.01 0.00
3 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 3- 1 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 1.01 2.00
3 H Army (12-17, 96.9) 2- 6 -3.04 1.60 -0.01 1.01 -1.54
3 H Army (12-17, 96.9) 3- 2 -3.04 1.60 -0.01 1.01 3.21
3 A Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 2- 1 -3.81 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 A Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 3- 4 -2.26 2.39 0.01 1.01 -1.13
3 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 1- 5 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.01 -1.45
3 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 2- 3 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.01 -1.45
3 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 1- 2 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.01 -1.45
3 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 4- 5 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.01 -1.45
------
26.09
|
winning pts = 49.2574 losing points = -23.1681
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------