Rob Morris
W-L: (17-20) PR = 96.4353Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1016 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 4 1017 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 1 1024 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 3- 6 1025 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 2- 2 1031 A Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 4- 2 1101 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 4- 3 1107 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 3- 6 1108 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 0- 2 1114 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 1- 2 1115 A RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 2- 3 1121 H Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 2- 6 1122 H Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 3- 5 1128 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 3- 1 1129 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 1- 1 1205 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 1- 4 1206 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 6- 3 1230 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 2- 5 103 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 1- 3 109 H RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 1- 4 110 H RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 2- 3 116 H Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 2- 3 117 H Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 3- 0 123 A Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 5- 2 124 A Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 1- 0 130 A Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 0- 5 131 A Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 3- 3 206 A Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 1- 0 207 A Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 6- 4 213 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 2- 5 214 A Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 5- 1 220 H Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 4- 1 221 H Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 0- 7 227 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 3 228 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 1 306 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 2- 3 307 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 4- 1 308 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 5- 2 313 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 1- 5 314 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 5- 2 315 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 0- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1016 H Michigan 2- 4 -2 -3 1.44
1017 H Michigan 2- 1 1 -3 ++ 4.44
1024 H Notre Dame 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.26
1025 H Notre Dame 2- 2 0 -1 0.74
1031 A Niagara 4- 2 2 0 1.66
1101 H Niagara 4- 3 1 0 0.64
1107 A LIU 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.76
1108 A LIU 0- 2 -2 0 -1.76
1114 A RIT 1- 2 -1 0 -0.79
1115 A RIT 2- 3 -1 0 -0.79
1121 H Lindenwood 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.42
1122 H Lindenwood 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.42
1128 H Mercyhurst 3- 1 2 1 0.91
1129 A Mercyhurst 1- 1 0 1 -1.07
1205 H Air Force 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.29
1206 H Air Force 6- 3 3 -1 + 3.71
1230 H Sacred Heart 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.02
103 A Sacred Heart 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.00
109 H RIT 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.81
110 H RIT 2- 3 -1 0 -0.81
116 H Army 2- 3 -1 0 -0.59
117 H Army 3- 0 3 0 + 3.41
123 A Holy Cross 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.61
130 A Bentley 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.78
131 A Bentley 3- 3 0 -1 1.22
207 A Canisius 6- 4 2 0 + 2.20
213 H Niagara 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.36
214 A Niagara 5- 1 4 0 + 3.66
220 H Canisius 4- 1 3 0 + 3.18
221 H Canisius 0- 7 -7 0 --- -6.82
227 A Mercyhurst 5- 3 2 1 0.93
228 H Mercyhurst 4- 1 3 1 1.91
306 A Air Force 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.27
307 A Air Force 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.73
308 A Air Force 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.73
313 H Sacred Heart 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.02
314 H Sacred Heart 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.98
315 H Sacred Heart 0- 5 -5 -1 -- -4.02
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Canisius 0- 7 -7 0 --- -6.82 315 H Sacred Heart 0- 5 -5 -1 -- -4.02 1024 H Notre Dame 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.26 1107 A LIU 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.76 1121 H Lindenwood 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.42 1205 H Air Force 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.29 1230 H Sacred Heart 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.02 109 H RIT 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.81 130 A Bentley 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.78 213 H Niagara 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.36 313 H Sacred Heart 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.02 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1017 H Michigan 2- 1 1 -3 ++ 4.44 1206 H Air Force 6- 3 3 -1 + 3.71 117 H Army 3- 0 3 0 + 3.41 123 A Holy Cross 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.61 207 A Canisius 6- 4 2 0 + 2.20 214 A Niagara 5- 1 4 0 + 3.66 220 H Canisius 4- 1 3 0 + 3.18 307 A Air Force 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.73 308 A Air Force 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.73 314 H Sacred Heart 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.98 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 4 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.91 -0.01
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 2- 1 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.91 8.39
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 3- 6 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.91 -1.23
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 2- 2 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.91 0.00
3 A Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 4- 2 -3.81 1.00 0.01 0.91 1.83
3 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 4- 3 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 0.91 1.80
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 3- 6 -3.24 1.41 0.01 0.91 -1.46
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 0- 2 -3.24 1.41 0.01 0.91 -1.46
3 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 1- 2 -3.27 1.38 0.01 0.91 -1.48
3 A RIT (17-17, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.27 1.38 0.01 0.91 -1.48
3 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 2- 6 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 0.91 -1.31
3 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 3- 5 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 0.91 -1.31
3 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 3- 1 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 0.91 1.80
3 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 1- 1 -4.55 1.00 0.01 0.91 0.00
3 H Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 1- 4 -2.75 1.90 -0.01 0.91 -1.25
3 H Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 6- 3 -2.75 1.90 -0.01 0.91 3.43
3 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 2- 5 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 0.91 -1.13
3 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 1- 3 -2.47 2.18 0.01 0.91 -1.12
3 H RIT (17-17, 96.6) 1- 4 -3.27 1.38 -0.01 0.91 -1.49
3 H RIT (17-17, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.27 1.38 -0.01 0.91 -1.49
3 H Army (12-17, 96.9) 2- 3 -3.04 1.60 -0.01 0.91 -1.39
3 H Army (12-17, 96.9) 3- 0 -3.04 1.60 -0.01 0.91 2.89
3 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 5- 2 -2.87 1.78 0.01 0.91 3.26
3 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 1- 0 -2.87 1.78 0.01 0.91 3.26
3 A Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 0- 5 -2.26 2.39 0.01 0.91 -1.02
3 A Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 3- 3 -2.26 2.39 0.01 0.91 0.00
3 A Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 1- 0 -3.28 1.37 0.01 0.91 2.51
3 A Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 6- 4 -3.28 1.37 0.01 0.91 2.51
3 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 2- 5 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 0.91 -1.73
3 A Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 5- 1 -3.81 1.00 0.01 0.91 1.83
3 H Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 4- 1 -3.28 1.37 -0.01 0.91 2.47
3 H Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 0- 7 -3.28 1.37 -0.01 0.91 -1.49
3 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 3 -4.55 1.00 0.01 0.91 1.83
3 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 1 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 0.91 1.80
3 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 2- 3 -2.75 1.90 0.01 0.91 -1.24
3 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 4- 1 -2.75 1.90 0.01 0.91 3.47
3 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 5- 2 -2.75 1.90 0.01 0.91 3.47
3 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 1- 5 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 0.91 -1.13
3 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 5- 2 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 0.91 3.93
3 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 0- 5 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 0.91 -1.13
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25.13
|
winning pts = 50.4706 losing points = -25.3368
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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