Sacred Heart
W-L: (23-14) PR = 97.4269Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 H RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 1- 0 1011 H RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 6- 1 1018 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 2- 3 1024 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 2- 1 1025 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 0- 3 1030 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 2- 5 1031 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 2- 2 1107 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 1- 4 1108 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 2- 3 1114 A Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 6- 1 1115 A Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 3- 2 1122 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 7- 2 1128 A Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 1- 8 1129 H RIT AH (17-17, 96.6) 3- 0 1205 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 3- 3 1206 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 0- 2 1230 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 5- 2 103 H Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 3- 1 109 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 5- 4 110 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 4- 2 116 A Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 3- 2 117 A Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 4- 4 123 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 1- 5 124 H Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 3- 2 130 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 2- 5 131 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 0- 2 206 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 1 207 A Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 1- 2 213 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 4- 0 214 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 1- 5 220 A Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 5- 1 221 A Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 5- 2 227 H Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 3- 2 228 H Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 4- 3 306 A Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 3- 1 307 A Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 2- 1 313 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 5- 1 314 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 2- 5 315 A Rob Morris AH (17-20, 96.4) 5- 0 321 H Bentley AH (23-12, 97.6) 2- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1011 H RIT 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.19
1018 A Stonehill 2- 3 -1 1 -1.96
1024 H Ohio State 2- 1 1 -1 1.84
1025 H Ohio State 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.16
1030 H Holy Cross 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.40
1031 H Holy Cross 2- 2 0 0 -0.40
1107 A Air Force 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.26
1108 A Air Force 2- 3 -1 0 -1.26
1114 A Canisius 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.21
1115 A Canisius 3- 2 1 1 0.21
1122 A LIU 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.25
1128 A Union 1- 8 -7 0 --- -6.60
1129 H RIT 3- 0 3 1 + 2.19
1205 A Army 3- 3 0 1 -0.56
1206 A Army 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.56
1230 A Rob Morris 5- 2 3 1 + 2.02
103 H Rob Morris 3- 1 2 1 1.00
109 H Niagara 5- 4 1 1 -0.35
110 H Niagara 4- 2 2 1 0.65
116 A Bentley 3- 2 1 0 1.23
117 A Bentley 4- 4 0 0 0.23
123 H Quinnipiac 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.67
124 H Yale 3- 2 1 1 -0.20
130 H Air Force 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.28
131 H Air Force 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.28
206 A Mercyhurst 5- 1 4 2 1.93
207 A Mercyhurst 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.07
213 H Bentley 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.21
214 H Bentley 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.79
220 A Holy Cross 5- 1 4 0 + 3.62
221 A Holy Cross 5- 2 3 0 + 2.62
227 H Army 3- 2 1 1 0.42
228 H Army 4- 3 1 1 0.42
306 A Niagara 3- 1 2 1 0.67
307 A Niagara 2- 1 1 1 -0.33
313 A Rob Morris 5- 1 4 1 + 3.02
314 A Rob Morris 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.98
315 A Rob Morris 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.02
321 H Bentley 2- 3 -1 0 -0.79
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1128 A Union 1- 8 -7 0 --- -6.60 1025 H Ohio State 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.16 1030 H Holy Cross 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.40 1107 A Air Force 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.26 1206 A Army 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.56 123 H Quinnipiac 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.67 130 H Air Force 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.28 131 H Air Force 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.28 207 A Mercyhurst 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.07 214 H Bentley 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.79 314 A Rob Morris 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.98 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 H RIT 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.19 1114 A Canisius 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.21 1122 A LIU 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.25 213 H Bentley 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.21 315 A Rob Morris 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.02 1129 H RIT 3- 0 3 1 + 2.19 1230 A Rob Morris 5- 2 3 1 + 2.02 220 A Holy Cross 5- 1 4 0 + 3.62 221 A Holy Cross 5- 2 3 0 + 2.62 313 A Rob Morris 5- 1 4 1 + 3.02 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H RIT (17-17, 96.6) 1- 0 -3.27 1.38 -0.01 0.91 2.49
3 H RIT (17-17, 96.6) 6- 1 -3.27 1.38 -0.01 0.91 2.49
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 2- 3 -3.44 1.20 0.01 0.91 -1.56
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 2- 1 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 0.91 5.46
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 0- 3 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 0.91 -0.74
3 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 2- 5 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 0.91 -1.30
3 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 2- 2 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 0.91 0.00
3 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 1- 4 -2.75 1.90 0.01 0.91 -1.24
3 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 2- 3 -2.75 1.90 0.01 0.91 -1.24
3 A Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 6- 1 -3.28 1.37 0.01 0.91 2.51
3 A Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.28 1.37 0.01 0.91 2.51
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 7- 2 -3.24 1.41 0.01 0.91 2.58
3 A Union (22-14, 97.8) 1- 8 -2.08 2.57 0.01 0.91 -0.94
3 H RIT (17-17, 96.6) 3- 0 -3.27 1.38 -0.01 0.91 2.49
3 A Army (12-17, 96.9) 3- 3 -3.04 1.60 0.01 0.91 0.00
3 A Army (12-17, 96.9) 0- 2 -3.04 1.60 0.01 0.91 -1.38
3 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 5- 2 -3.46 1.18 0.01 0.91 2.17
3 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 3- 1 -3.46 1.18 -0.01 0.91 2.13
3 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 5- 4 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 0.91 1.80
3 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 4- 2 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 0.91 1.80
3 A Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 3- 2 -2.26 2.39 0.01 0.91 4.36
3 A Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 4- 4 -2.26 2.39 0.01 0.91 0.00
3 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 1- 5 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 0.91 -0.52
3 H Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 3- 2 -3.66 1.00 -0.01 0.91 1.80
3 H Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 2- 5 -2.75 1.90 -0.01 0.91 -1.25
3 H Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 0- 2 -2.75 1.90 -0.01 0.91 -1.25
3 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 1 -4.55 1.00 0.01 0.91 1.83
3 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 1- 2 -4.55 1.00 0.01 0.91 -2.06
3 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 4- 0 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 0.91 4.32
3 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 1- 5 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 0.91 -1.03
3 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 5- 1 -2.87 1.78 0.01 0.91 3.26
3 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 5- 2 -2.87 1.78 0.01 0.91 3.26
3 H Army (12-17, 96.9) 3- 2 -3.04 1.60 -0.01 0.91 2.89
3 H Army (12-17, 96.9) 4- 3 -3.04 1.60 -0.01 0.91 2.89
3 A Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 3- 1 -3.81 1.00 0.01 0.91 1.83
3 A Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 2- 1 -3.81 1.00 0.01 0.91 1.83
3 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 5- 1 -3.46 1.18 0.01 0.91 2.17
3 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 2- 5 -3.46 1.18 0.01 0.91 -1.57
3 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.4) 5- 0 -3.46 1.18 0.01 0.91 2.17
3 H Bentley (23-12, 97.6) 2- 3 -2.26 2.39 -0.01 0.91 -1.03
------
43.91
|
winning pts = 61.0123 losing points = -17.1013
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------