St Cloud St
W-L: (16-19) PR = 98.3581Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1004 A St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 3- 4 1010 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 3- 2 1011 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 4- 2 1017 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 1- 2 1018 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 4- 0 1024 A Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 5- 2 1025 A Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 5- 1 1031 A Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 5- 6 1101 A Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 5- 1 1107 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 0- 4 1108 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 2- 3 1111 H St. Thomas CCH (20-13, 97.9) 1- 3 1121 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 5- 6 1122 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 4- 2 1205 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 4 1206 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 4 1212 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 1- 5 1213 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 4- 3 102 A Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 6- 2 103 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 3- 2 109 H Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 2- 6 110 H Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 2- 1 116 A Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 6- 0 117 A Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 3- 5 123 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 4- 2 124 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 0- 6 130 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 1- 2 131 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 1- 3 206 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 4- 1 207 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 4- 3 213 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 6- 5 214 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 1- 4 220 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 4 221 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 6 306 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 3- 4 307 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 1- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 A St. Thomas 3- 4 -1 0 -1.41
1010 H Bemidji St 3- 2 1 1 -0.25
1011 A Bemidji St 4- 2 2 1 0.77
1017 A Vermont 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.87
1018 A Vermont 4- 0 4 2 + 2.13
1024 A Alaska Anch 5- 2 3 3 0.03
1025 A Alaska Anch 5- 1 4 3 1.03
1031 A Western Mich 5- 6 -1 -1 0.34
1101 A Western Mich 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 5.34
1107 H Minn Duluth 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.10
1108 H Minn Duluth 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.10
1111 H St. Thomas 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.43
1121 H Miami 5- 6 -1 0 -1.19
1122 H Miami 4- 2 2 0 1.81
1205 A North Dakota 3- 4 -1 -1 0.24
1206 A North Dakota 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.76
1212 A Denver 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.45
1213 A Denver 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.55
102 A Yale 6- 2 4 2 1.89
103 H UMass Lowell 3- 2 1 1 -0.27
109 H Omaha 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.62
110 H Omaha 2- 1 1 1 0.38
116 A Minn Duluth 6- 0 6 -1 +++ 6.92
117 A Minn Duluth 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.08
123 H Denver 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.53
124 H Denver 0- 6 -6 -2 -- -4.47
130 A Miami 1- 2 -1 0 -1.17
131 A Miami 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.17
206 H Arizona St 4- 1 3 1 + 2.39
207 H Arizona St 4- 3 1 1 0.39
213 A Colorado Col 6- 5 1 0 1.21
214 A Colorado Col 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.79
220 H North Dakota 4- 4 0 -1 1.22
221 H North Dakota 4- 6 -2 -1 -0.78
306 H Minn Duluth 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.10
307 H Minn Duluth 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.10
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 109 H Omaha 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.62 124 H Denver 0- 6 -6 -2 -- -4.47 1017 A Vermont 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.87 1107 H Minn Duluth 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.10 1111 H St. Thomas 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.43 1212 A Denver 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.45 131 A Miami 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.17 214 A Colorado Col 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.79 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 116 A Minn Duluth 6- 0 6 -1 +++ 6.92 1101 A Western Mich 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 5.34 1018 A Vermont 4- 0 4 2 + 2.13 1213 A Denver 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.55 123 H Denver 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.53 206 H Arizona St 4- 1 3 1 + 2.39 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 3- 4 -1.96 2.69 0.01 1.01 -0.98
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 3- 2 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 1.01 3.74
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 4- 2 -2.79 1.86 0.01 1.01 3.78
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 1- 2 -3.43 1.22 0.01 1.01 -1.72
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 4- 0 -3.43 1.22 0.01 1.01 2.49
3 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 5- 2 -4.53 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 5- 1 -4.53 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 A Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 5- 6 -0.21 4.44 0.01 1.01 -0.10
3 A Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 5- 1 -0.21 4.44 0.01 1.01 8.97
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 0- 4 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 1.01 -0.33
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 2- 3 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 1.01 -0.33
3 H St. Thomas (20-13, 97.9) 1- 3 -1.96 2.69 -0.01 1.01 -0.99
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 5- 6 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 1.01 -0.87
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 4- 2 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 1.01 5.87
3 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 4 -0.31 4.34 0.01 1.01 -0.15
3 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 4 -0.31 4.34 0.01 1.01 -0.15
3 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 1- 5 -0.00 4.65 0.01 1.01 -0.01
3 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 4- 3 -0.00 4.65 0.01 1.01 9.39
3 A Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 6- 2 -3.66 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 3- 2 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 1.01 3.70
3 H Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 2- 6 -2.15 2.49 -0.01 1.01 -1.09
3 H Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 2- 1 -2.15 2.49 -0.01 1.01 5.01
3 A Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 6- 0 -0.64 4.01 0.01 1.01 8.11
3 A Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 3- 5 -0.64 4.01 0.01 1.01 -0.32
3 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 4- 2 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 1.01 9.35
3 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 0- 6 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 1.01 -0.01
3 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 1- 2 -1.73 2.92 0.01 1.01 -0.86
3 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 1- 3 -1.73 2.92 0.01 1.01 -0.86
3 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 4- 1 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 1.01 5.04
3 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 4- 3 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 1.01 5.04
3 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 6- 5 -1.34 3.31 0.01 1.01 6.69
3 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 4 -1.34 3.31 0.01 1.01 -0.67
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 6 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 1.01 -0.16
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 3- 4 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 1.01 -0.33
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 1- 2 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 1.01 -0.33
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73.01
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winning pts = 83.2740 losing points = -10.2610
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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