St Lawrence 
W-L: ( 7-25) PR = 95.2506
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1004 H Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 2- 5
1005 H Canisius AH (17-16, 96.6) 2- 4
1010 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 1- 2
1012 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 5- 2
1016 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 2- 8
1017 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 0- 3
1031 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 3- 3
1101 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 0- 3
1107 H RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 4- 3
1108 H Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 2- 5
1114 A Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 6
1115 A Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 3- 4
1121 H Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 4- 7
1122 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 2- 4
1128 H Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 0- 2
1129 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 3- 7
1205 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 2- 4
1206 A Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 2- 7
102 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 2- 6
103 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 3- 3
109 H Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 1- 8
110 H Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 1- 4
116 H Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 1- 5
117 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 0- 4
123 H Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 5- 5
124 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 5- 2
130 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 0- 7
131 A Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 6- 2
206 A Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 1- 4
207 A RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 7- 3
220 A Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 1
221 A Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 5- 2
227 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 1- 5
228 H Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 3- 7
306 H Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 3- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 H Niagara 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.17
1005 H Canisius 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.64
1010 H Vermont 1- 2 -1 -1 0.21
1012 A Vermont 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.23
1016 H Notre Dame 2- 8 -6 -2 -- -4.07
1017 H Notre Dame 0- 3 -3 -2 -1.07
1031 A L Superor 3- 3 0 -1 1.44
1101 A Mich Tech 0- 3 -3 -3 -0.34
1107 H RPI 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.05
1108 H Union 2- 5 -3 -3 -0.44
1114 A Dartmouth 1- 6 -5 -3 -1.76
1115 A Harvard 3- 4 -1 -2 1.02
1121 H Princeton 4- 7 -3 -2 -0.58
1122 H Quinnipiac 2- 4 -2 -4 1.51
1128 H Alaska 0- 2 -2 -2 0.06
1129 H UMass Lowell 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.16
1205 A Colgate 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.65
1206 A Cornell 2- 7 -5 -3 -1.78
102 A Stonehill 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.79
103 A Stonehill 3- 3 0 -1 1.21
109 H Yale 1- 8 -7 -1 --- -6.02
110 H Brown 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.76
116 H Harvard 1- 5 -4 -2 -2.00
117 H Dartmouth 0- 4 -4 -3 -0.78
123 H Clarkson 5- 5 0 -2 1.91
124 A Clarkson 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 4.93
130 A Quinnipiac 0- 7 -7 -4 - -3.47
131 A Princeton 6- 2 4 -2 +++ 6.44
206 A Union 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.42
207 A RPI 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.07
220 A Brown 3- 1 2 0 + 2.26
221 A Yale 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.00
227 H Cornell 1- 5 -4 -3 -0.80
228 H Colgate 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.67
306 H Harvard 3- 4 -1 -2 1.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
109 H Yale 1- 8 -7 -1 --- -6.02
1016 H Notre Dame 2- 8 -6 -2 -- -4.07
1004 H Niagara 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.17
1129 H UMass Lowell 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.16
102 A Stonehill 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.79
110 H Brown 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.76
130 A Quinnipiac 0- 7 -7 -4 - -3.47
228 H Colgate 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.67
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
131 A Princeton 6- 2 4 -2 +++ 6.44
1012 A Vermont 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.23
124 A Clarkson 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 4.93
207 A RPI 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.07
221 A Yale 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.00
1107 H RPI 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.05
220 A Brown 3- 1 2 0 + 2.26
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 2- 5 -3.81 1.00 -0.01 1.04 -1.98
3 H Canisius (17-16, 96.6) 2- 4 -3.28 1.37 -0.01 1.04 -1.70
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 1- 2 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 1.04 -1.78
3 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 5- 2 -3.43 1.22 0.01 1.04 2.56
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 2- 8 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 1.04 -1.41
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 0- 3 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 1.04 -1.41
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 3- 3 -3.22 1.43 0.01 1.04 0.00
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 0- 3 -2.00 2.65 0.01 1.04 -1.03
3 H RPI (11-23, 96.3) 4- 3 -3.59 1.06 -0.01 1.04 2.17
3 H Union (22-14, 97.8) 2- 5 -2.08 2.57 -0.01 1.04 -1.08
3 A Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 6 -1.42 3.23 0.01 1.04 -0.73
3 A Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 3- 4 -2.64 2.01 0.01 1.04 -1.36
3 H Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 4- 7 -2.22 2.43 -0.01 1.04 -1.15
3 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 2- 4 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 1.04 -0.59
3 H Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 0- 2 -2.58 2.07 -0.01 1.04 -1.34
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 3- 7 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 1.04 -1.46
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 2- 4 -3.31 1.34 0.01 1.04 -1.71
3 A Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 2- 7 -1.44 3.21 0.01 1.04 -0.74
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 2- 6 -3.44 1.20 0.01 1.04 -1.78
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 3- 3 -3.44 1.20 0.01 1.04 0.00
3 H Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 1- 8 -3.66 1.00 -0.01 1.04 -1.90
3 H Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 1- 4 -4.40 1.00 -0.01 1.04 -2.29
3 H Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 1- 5 -2.64 2.01 -0.01 1.04 -1.37
3 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 0- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.04 -0.74
3 H Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 5- 5 -2.73 1.92 -0.01 1.04 0.00
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 5- 2 -2.73 1.92 0.01 1.04 4.00
3 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 0- 7 -1.13 3.52 0.01 1.04 -0.58
3 A Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 6- 2 -2.22 2.43 0.01 1.04 5.07
3 A Union (22-14, 97.8) 1- 4 -2.08 2.57 0.01 1.04 -1.07
3 A RPI (11-23, 96.3) 7- 3 -3.59 1.06 0.01 1.04 2.22
3 A Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 1 -4.40 1.00 0.01 1.04 2.09
3 A Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 5- 2 -3.66 1.00 0.01 1.04 2.09
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 1- 5 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.04 -0.75
3 H Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 3- 7 -3.31 1.34 -0.01 1.04 -1.72
3 H Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 3- 4 -2.64 2.01 -0.01 1.04 -1.37
------
-12.86
|
winning pts = 20.2043 losing points = -33.0634
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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