Stonehill 
W-L: (10-22) PR = 96.4554
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1004 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 3- 5
1005 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 2- 3
1010 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 1- 4
1012 H Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 1- 6
1018 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 3- 2
1024 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 2- 3
1025 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 2- 4
1101 A Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 2- 5
1104 H Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 2- 6
1107 H North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 0- 2
1108 H North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 2- 4
1115 H Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 2- 3
1118 A Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 0- 4
1125 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 3- 3
1129 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 2- 3
102 H St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 6- 2
103 H St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 3- 3
111 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 2- 3
116 H Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 2- 6
117 H Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 1- 5
124 A Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 2
130 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 2- 3
131 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 0- 2
203 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 5- 9
206 A Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 1- 3
207 A Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 5- 1
213 H LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 3- 1
214 H LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 3- 5
220 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 5- 1
221 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 3- 2
227 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 9- 3
228 A Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 5- 2
305 A Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 3- 0
306 H Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 4- 4
307 H LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 3- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 A L Superor 3- 5 -2 0 -1.76
1005 A L Superor 2- 3 -1 0 -0.76
1010 A UMass 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.19
1012 H Army 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.61
1018 H Sacred Heart 3- 2 1 -1 1.96
1024 H Penn State 2- 3 -1 -2 1.07
1025 H Penn State 2- 4 -2 -2 0.07
1101 A Dartmouth 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.96
1104 H Harvard 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.20
1107 H North Eastern 0- 2 -2 -1 -0.60
1108 H North Eastern 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.60
1115 H Princeton 2- 3 -1 -1 0.22
1118 A Alaska Anch 0- 4 -4 1 -- -5.07
1125 H Connecticut 3- 3 0 -2 + 2.01
1129 H Quinnipiac 2- 3 -1 -2 1.31
102 H St Lawrence 6- 2 4 1 + 2.79
103 H St Lawrence 3- 3 0 1 -1.21
111 A LIU 2- 3 -1 0 -0.78
116 H Lindenwood 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.44
117 H Lindenwood 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.44
124 A Brown 3- 2 1 1 0.05
130 H Vermont 2- 3 -1 0 -0.99
131 H Vermont 0- 2 -2 0 -1.99
203 A Merrimack 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.53
206 A Lindenwood 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.42
207 A Lindenwood 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.58
213 H LIU 3- 1 2 0 + 2.20
214 H LIU 3- 5 -2 0 -1.80
220 A LIU 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.22
221 A LIU 3- 2 1 0 1.22
227 A Quinnipiac 9- 3 6 -2 +++ 8.33
228 A Union 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.38
305 A Alaska Anch 3- 0 3 1 1.93
306 H Alaska 4- 4 0 -1 0.86
307 H LIU 3- 4 -1 0 -0.80
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1012 H Army 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.61
1118 A Alaska Anch 0- 4 -4 1 -- -5.07
1104 H Harvard 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.20
116 H Lindenwood 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.44
117 H Lindenwood 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.44
203 A Merrimack 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.53
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 A Quinnipiac 9- 3 6 -2 +++ 8.33
207 A Lindenwood 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.58
220 A LIU 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.22
228 A Union 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.38
1125 H Connecticut 3- 3 0 -2 + 2.01
102 H St Lawrence 6- 2 4 1 + 2.79
213 H LIU 3- 1 2 0 + 2.20
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 3- 5 -3.22 1.43 0.01 1.04 -1.66
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 2- 3 -3.22 1.43 0.01 1.04 -1.66
3 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 1- 4 -1.64 3.00 0.01 1.04 -0.85
3 H Army (12-17, 96.9) 1- 6 -3.04 1.60 -0.01 1.04 -1.58
3 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 3- 2 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 1.04 4.49
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 2- 3 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 1.04 -0.71
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 2- 4 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 1.04 -0.71
3 A Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 2- 5 -1.42 3.23 0.01 1.04 -0.73
3 H Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 2- 6 -2.64 2.01 -0.01 1.04 -1.37
3 H North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 0- 2 -2.04 2.61 -0.01 1.04 -1.06
3 H North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 2- 4 -2.04 2.61 -0.01 1.04 -1.06
3 H Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 2- 3 -2.22 2.43 -0.01 1.04 -1.15
3 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 0- 4 -4.53 1.00 0.01 1.04 -2.34
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 3- 3 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 1.04 0.00
3 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 2- 3 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 1.04 -0.59
3 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 6- 2 -4.65 1.00 -0.01 1.04 2.05
3 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 3- 3 -4.65 1.00 -0.01 1.04 0.00
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 2- 3 -3.24 1.41 0.01 1.04 -1.67
3 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 2- 6 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.04 -1.49
3 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 1- 5 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 1.04 -1.49
3 A Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 2 -4.40 1.00 0.01 1.04 2.09
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 2- 3 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 1.04 -1.78
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 0- 2 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 1.04 -1.78
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 5- 9 -1.99 2.66 0.01 1.04 -1.03
3 A Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 1- 3 -2.87 1.78 0.01 1.04 -1.48
3 A Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 5- 1 -2.87 1.78 0.01 1.04 3.70
3 H LIU (11-16, 96.7) 3- 1 -3.24 1.41 -0.01 1.04 2.91
3 H LIU (11-16, 96.7) 3- 5 -3.24 1.41 -0.01 1.04 -1.68
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 5- 1 -3.24 1.41 0.01 1.04 2.95
3 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 3- 2 -3.24 1.41 0.01 1.04 2.95
3 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 9- 3 -1.13 3.52 0.01 1.04 7.32
3 A Union (22-14, 97.8) 5- 2 -2.08 2.57 0.01 1.04 5.35
3 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 3- 0 -4.53 1.00 0.01 1.04 2.09
3 H Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 4- 4 -2.58 2.07 -0.01 1.04 0.00
3 H LIU (11-16, 96.7) 3- 4 -3.24 1.41 -0.01 1.04 -1.68
------
6.33
|
winning pts = 35.9196 losing points = -29.5873
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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