St. Thomas
W-L: (20-13) PR = 97.9413Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1004 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 4- 3 1010 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 6 1012 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 1017 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 1- 2 1018 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 2- 6 1024 A Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 2- 2 1025 A Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 4- 7 1031 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 3 1101 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 4- 3 1111 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 3- 1 1115 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 4- 4 1121 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 2- 3 1122 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 6- 2 1128 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 3- 3 1129 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 2- 1 1205 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 3- 5 1206 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 4- 1 1212 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 0 1213 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 3 102 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 3 103 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 8- 4 110 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 4- 2 116 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 5- 1 117 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 3- 2 123 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 7- 4 124 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 5- 0 130 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 4- 2 131 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 3- 4 206 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 3- 2 207 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 1- 3 220 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 3- 3 221 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 0- 4 227 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 1- 3 228 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 2- 2 306 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 4- 3 307 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 5- 2 314 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 2- 1 320 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 H St Cloud St 4- 3 1 0 1.41
1010 H North Dakota 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.36
1012 A North Dakota 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.34
1017 H Air Force 1- 2 -1 1 -1.80
1018 H Air Force 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.80
1024 A Providence 2- 2 0 -1 1.02
1025 A Providence 4- 7 -3 -1 -1.98
1031 A Minn St 1- 3 -2 0 -1.81
1101 H Minn St 4- 3 1 0 1.17
1111 A St Cloud St 3- 1 2 0 + 2.43
1115 H Augustana 4- 4 0 -1 0.53
1121 A Bowl Green 2- 3 -1 0 -1.22
1122 A Bowl Green 6- 2 4 0 + 3.78
1128 H Mich Tech 3- 3 0 0 -0.05
1129 H Mich Tech 2- 1 1 0 0.95
1205 A L Superor 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.25
1206 A L Superor 4- 1 3 1 1.75
1212 H No Mich 2- 0 2 2 -0.34
1213 H No Mich 4- 3 1 2 -1.34
102 A Ferris St 5- 3 2 1 0.61
103 A Ferris St 8- 4 4 1 + 2.61
110 H Minn St 4- 2 2 0 + 2.17
116 A Bemidji St 5- 1 4 1 + 3.18
117 A Bemidji St 3- 2 1 1 0.18
123 H L Superor 7- 4 3 1 1.73
124 H L Superor 5- 0 5 1 + 3.73
130 A Mich Tech 4- 2 2 0 1.97
131 A Mich Tech 3- 4 -1 0 -1.03
206 H Bowl Green 3- 2 1 0 0.76
207 H Bowl Green 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.24
220 A Augustana 3- 3 0 -1 0.55
221 A Augustana 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.45
227 H Bemidji St 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.84
228 H Bemidji St 2- 2 0 1 -0.84
306 A L Superor 4- 3 1 1 -0.25
307 A L Superor 5- 2 3 1 1.75
314 A Augustana 2- 1 1 -1 1.55
320 H Minn St 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.83
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Air Force 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.80 1010 H North Dakota 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.36 1205 A L Superor 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.25 207 H Bowl Green 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.24 221 A Augustana 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.45 227 H Bemidji St 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.84 320 H Minn St 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.83 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 A St Cloud St 3- 1 2 0 + 2.43 1122 A Bowl Green 6- 2 4 0 + 3.78 103 A Ferris St 8- 4 4 1 + 2.61 110 H Minn St 4- 2 2 0 + 2.17 116 A Bemidji St 5- 1 4 1 + 3.18 124 H L Superor 5- 0 5 1 + 3.73 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 4- 3 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 0.95 5.92
3 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 6 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 0.95 -0.15
3 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 -0.31 4.34 0.01 0.95 -0.14
3 H Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 1- 2 -2.75 1.90 -0.01 0.95 -1.32
3 H Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 2- 6 -2.75 1.90 -0.01 0.95 -1.32
3 A Providence (22-11, 98.9) 2- 2 -0.95 3.70 0.01 0.95 0.00
3 A Providence (22-11, 98.9) 4- 7 -0.95 3.70 0.01 0.95 -0.45
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 3 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.95 -0.85
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 4- 3 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.95 5.45
3 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 3- 1 -1.54 3.11 0.01 0.95 5.95
3 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 0.00
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 2- 3 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.95 -1.04
3 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 6- 2 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.95 4.71
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 3- 3 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.95 0.00
3 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 2- 1 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.95 5.04
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 3- 5 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.95 -1.53
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 4- 1 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.95 2.75
3 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 0 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 0.95 1.89
3 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 3 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 0.95 1.89
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 3 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.95 2.49
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 8- 4 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.95 2.49
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 4- 2 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.95 5.45
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 5- 1 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.95 3.58
3 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 3- 2 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.95 3.58
3 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 7- 4 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 0.95 2.71
3 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 5- 0 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 0.95 2.71
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 4- 2 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.95 5.07
3 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 3- 4 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.95 -0.95
3 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 3- 2 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 0.95 4.67
3 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 1- 3 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 0.95 -1.05
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 3- 3 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.95 0.00
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 0- 4 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.95 -0.67
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 1- 3 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.95 -1.33
3 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 2- 2 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.95 0.00
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 4- 3 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.95 2.75
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 5- 2 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.95 2.75
3 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 2- 1 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.95 6.18
3 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 4 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.95 -0.86
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66.39
|
winning pts = 78.0568 losing points = -11.6695
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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