UMass Lowell
W-L: (13-22) PR = 97.0960Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 4- 0 1010 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 1- 4 1017 A Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 1- 2 1018 A Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 0- 6 1024 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 0 1025 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 3 1031 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 2- 5 1101 A Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 5- 1 1107 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 0- 2 1108 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 6- 1 1114 H Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 1- 7 1115 H RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 0- 2 1128 H Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 0- 2 1129 A St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 7- 3 1205 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 1- 3 1206 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 1- 3 1210 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 4- 5 102 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 3- 1 103 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 2- 3 109 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 5- 3 110 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 1- 5 116 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 4- 3 117 A Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 0- 3 123 A Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 0- 2 124 A Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 5- 6 201 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 4- 6 206 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 3- 1 207 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 2- 5 213 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 4- 2 214 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 5- 2 220 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 0- 2 221 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 2- 8 305 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 3- 5 307 A Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 4- 3 311 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 3- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 A Merrimack 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 4.83
1010 H Merrimack 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.19
1017 A Western Mich 1- 2 -1 -3 1.60
1018 A Western Mich 0- 6 -6 -3 - -3.40
1024 H Mercyhurst 4- 0 4 2 + 2.24
1025 H Mercyhurst 4- 3 1 2 -0.76
1031 H Providence 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.16
1101 A Providence 5- 1 4 -2 ++ 5.86
1107 A New Hamp 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.52
1108 H New Hamp 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.46
1114 H Union 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -5.28
1115 H RPI 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.80
1128 H Clarkson 0- 2 -2 0 -1.93
1129 A St Lawrence 7- 3 4 2 + 2.16
1205 A Boston Col 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.59
1206 H Boston Col 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.61
1210 H Maine 4- 5 -1 -1 0.34
102 A Minn St 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.03
103 A St Cloud St 2- 3 -1 -1 0.27
109 H Connecticut 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.37
110 A Connecticut 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.61
116 H Boston Univ 4- 3 1 -1 1.52
117 A Boston Univ 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.46
123 A Maine 0- 2 -2 -1 -0.64
124 A Maine 5- 6 -1 -1 0.36
201 H UMass 4- 6 -2 -1 -0.85
206 A UMass 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.17
207 H UMass 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.85
213 H Vermont 4- 2 2 1 1.37
214 H Vermont 5- 2 3 1 + 2.37
220 A North Eastern 0- 2 -2 -1 -1.22
221 A North Eastern 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -5.22
305 H Merrimack 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.19
307 A Boston Univ 4- 3 1 -1 1.54
311 H Merrimack 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 H Union 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -5.28 221 A North Eastern 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -5.22 1010 H Merrimack 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.19 1018 A Western Mich 0- 6 -6 -3 - -3.40 1107 A New Hamp 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.52 1115 H RPI 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.80 110 A Connecticut 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.61 117 A Boston Univ 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1003 A Merrimack 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 4.83 1101 A Providence 5- 1 4 -2 ++ 5.86 1108 H New Hamp 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.46 1024 H Mercyhurst 4- 0 4 2 + 2.24 1129 A St Lawrence 7- 3 4 2 + 2.16 102 A Minn St 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.03 109 H Connecticut 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.37 206 A UMass 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.17 214 H Vermont 5- 2 3 1 + 2.37 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 4- 0 -1.99 2.66 0.01 1.04 5.54
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 1- 4 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 1.04 -1.04
3 A Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 1- 2 -0.21 4.44 0.01 1.04 -0.10
3 A Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 0- 6 -0.21 4.44 0.01 1.04 -0.10
3 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 0 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 1.04 2.05
3 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 4- 3 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 1.04 2.05
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 2- 5 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 1.04 -0.50
3 A Providence (22-11, 98.9) 5- 1 -0.95 3.70 0.01 1.04 7.69
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 0- 2 -3.33 1.32 0.01 1.04 -1.72
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 6- 1 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 1.04 2.71
3 H Union (22-14, 97.8) 1- 7 -2.08 2.57 -0.01 1.04 -1.08
3 H RPI (11-23, 96.3) 0- 2 -3.59 1.06 -0.01 1.04 -1.87
3 H Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 0- 2 -2.73 1.92 -0.01 1.04 -1.42
3 A St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 7- 3 -4.65 1.00 0.01 1.04 2.09
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 1- 3 -1.41 3.24 0.01 1.04 -0.73
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 1- 3 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 1.04 -0.74
3 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 4- 5 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 1.04 -0.76
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 3- 1 -1.78 2.87 0.01 1.04 5.96
3 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 2- 3 -1.54 3.11 0.01 1.04 -0.79
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 5- 3 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 1.04 6.66
3 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 1- 5 -1.43 3.22 0.01 1.04 -0.73
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 4- 3 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 1.04 4.90
3 A Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 0- 3 -2.28 2.37 0.01 1.04 -1.17
3 A Maine (18-14, 98.4) 0- 2 -1.45 3.19 0.01 1.04 -0.75
3 A Maine (18-14, 98.4) 5- 6 -1.45 3.19 0.01 1.04 -0.75
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 4- 6 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 1.04 -0.86
3 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 3- 1 -1.64 3.00 0.01 1.04 6.25
3 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 2- 5 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 1.04 -0.86
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 4- 2 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 1.04 2.52
3 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 5- 2 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 1.04 2.52
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 0- 2 -2.04 2.61 0.01 1.04 -1.05
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 2- 8 -2.04 2.61 0.01 1.04 -1.05
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 3- 5 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 1.04 -1.04
3 A Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 4- 3 -2.28 2.37 0.01 1.04 4.94
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 3- 5 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 1.04 -1.04
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35.75
|
winning pts = 55.8909 losing points = -20.1410
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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