Union
W-L: (22-14) PR = 97.8216Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1004 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 1- 1 1010 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 2 1011 H Mercyhurst AH ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 3 1017 A Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 3- 2 1018 A Niagara AH (13-23, 96.1) 6- 0 1031 A RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 2- 5 1101 H RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 3- 0 1107 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 1- 5 1108 A St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 5- 2 1114 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 7- 1 1115 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 6- 0 1121 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 1- 2 1122 H Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 4- 4 1128 H Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 8- 1 1129 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 2- 3 1205 A Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 1- 5 1206 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 4- 0 1212 A Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 5- 1 1213 A Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 3- 2 109 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 2- 7 110 H Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 4- 2 116 A Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 4- 0 117 A Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 1- 4 119 H Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 0- 4 124 H RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 5- 4 130 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 2- 4 206 H St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 4- 1 207 H Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 7- 8 213 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 7- 6 214 A Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 4- 1 220 A Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 4- 1 221 A Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 3- 3 227 H Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 5- 4 228 H Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 0 228 H Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 2- 5 228 H Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 1- 5 307 A Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 9- 0 313 H Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 2- 5 314 H Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 2- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 A Army 1- 1 0 1 -0.96
1010 H Mercyhurst 5- 2 3 2 0.52
1011 H Mercyhurst 5- 3 2 2 -0.48
1017 A Niagara 3- 2 1 2 -0.72
1018 A Niagara 6- 0 6 2 ++ 4.28
1031 A RPI 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.50
1101 H RPI 3- 0 3 2 1.48
1107 A Clarkson 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.64
1108 A St Lawrence 5- 2 3 3 0.44
1114 A UMass Lowell 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.28
1115 A New Hamp 6- 0 6 1 ++ 4.76
1121 H Cornell 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.37
1122 H Colgate 4- 4 0 1 -1.24
1128 H Sacred Heart 8- 1 7 0 +++ 6.60
1129 H Miami 2- 3 -1 0 -0.66
1205 A Princeton 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.13
1206 A Quinnipiac 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 4.96
1212 A Alaska 5- 1 4 0 + 3.51
1213 A Alaska 3- 2 1 0 0.51
109 H Quinnipiac 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.06
110 H Princeton 4- 2 2 0 1.85
116 A Brown 4- 0 4 2 1.69
117 A Yale 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.57
119 H Harvard 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.57
124 H RPI 5- 4 1 2 -0.52
130 H Dartmouth 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.35
206 H St Lawrence 4- 1 3 3 0.42
207 H Clarkson 7- 8 -1 1 -1.66
213 A Colgate 7- 6 1 1 -0.22
214 A Cornell 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.65
220 A Harvard 4- 1 3 1 + 2.45
221 A Dartmouth 3- 3 0 -1 0.67
227 H Yale 5- 4 1 2 -0.59
228 H Brown 3- 0 3 2 0.67
228 H Stonehill 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.38
228 H Alaska 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.51
307 A Brown 9- 0 9 2 +++ 6.69
313 H Princeton 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.15
314 H Princeton 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1031 A RPI 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.50 1107 A Clarkson 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.64 1205 A Princeton 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.13 109 H Quinnipiac 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.06 117 A Yale 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.57 119 H Harvard 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.57 228 H Stonehill 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.38 228 H Alaska 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.51 313 H Princeton 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.15 314 H Princeton 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.15 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1128 H Sacred Heart 8- 1 7 0 +++ 6.60 307 A Brown 9- 0 9 2 +++ 6.69 1018 A Niagara 6- 0 6 2 ++ 4.28 1114 A UMass Lowell 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.28 1115 A New Hamp 6- 0 6 1 ++ 4.76 1206 A Quinnipiac 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 4.96 1212 A Alaska 5- 1 4 0 + 3.51 214 A Cornell 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.65 220 A Harvard 4- 1 3 1 + 2.45 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Army (12-17, 96.9) 1- 1 -3.04 1.60 0.01 0.93 0.00
3 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 2 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 0.93 1.84
3 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.4) 5- 3 -4.55 1.00 -0.01 0.93 1.84
3 A Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 3- 2 -3.81 1.00 0.01 0.93 1.88
3 A Niagara (13-23, 96.1) 6- 0 -3.81 1.00 0.01 0.93 1.88
3 A RPI (11-23, 96.3) 2- 5 -3.59 1.06 0.01 0.93 -1.67
3 H RPI (11-23, 96.3) 3- 0 -3.59 1.06 -0.01 0.93 1.95
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 1- 5 -2.73 1.92 0.01 0.93 -1.26
3 A St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 5- 2 -4.65 1.00 0.01 0.93 1.88
3 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 7- 1 -2.80 1.85 0.01 0.93 3.45
3 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 6- 0 -3.33 1.32 0.01 0.93 2.47
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 1- 2 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 0.93 -0.67
3 H Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 4- 4 -3.31 1.34 -0.01 0.93 0.00
3 H Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 8- 1 -2.47 2.18 -0.01 0.93 4.03
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 2- 3 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 0.93 -0.81
3 A Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 1- 5 -2.22 2.43 0.01 0.93 -1.03
3 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 4- 0 -1.13 3.52 0.01 0.93 6.57
3 A Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 5- 1 -2.58 2.07 0.01 0.93 3.88
3 A Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 3- 2 -2.58 2.07 0.01 0.93 3.88
3 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 2- 7 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 0.93 -0.53
3 H Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 4- 2 -2.22 2.43 -0.01 0.93 4.51
3 A Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 4- 0 -4.40 1.00 0.01 0.93 1.88
3 A Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 1- 4 -3.66 1.00 0.01 0.93 -1.70
3 H Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 0- 4 -2.64 2.01 -0.01 0.93 -1.23
3 H RPI (11-23, 96.3) 5- 4 -3.59 1.06 -0.01 0.93 1.95
3 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 2- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.93 -0.66
3 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 4- 1 -4.65 1.00 -0.01 0.93 1.84
3 H Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 7- 8 -2.73 1.92 -0.01 0.93 -1.27
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 7- 6 -3.31 1.34 0.01 0.93 2.51
3 A Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 4- 1 -1.44 3.21 0.01 0.93 6.00
3 A Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 4- 1 -2.64 2.01 0.01 0.93 3.77
3 H Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 5- 4 -3.66 1.00 -0.01 0.93 1.84
3 H Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 0 -4.40 1.00 -0.01 0.93 1.84
3 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 2- 5 -3.44 1.20 -0.01 0.93 -1.61
3 H Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 1- 5 -2.58 2.07 -0.01 0.93 -1.20
3 A Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 9- 0 -4.40 1.00 0.01 0.93 1.88
3 H Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 2- 5 -2.22 2.43 -0.01 0.93 -1.04
3 H Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 2- 5 -2.22 2.43 -0.01 0.93 -1.04
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47.86
|
winning pts = 63.5750 losing points = -15.7131
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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