Vermont
W-L: (13-21) PR = 96.4736Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 A St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 2- 1 1012 H St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 2- 5 1017 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 2- 1 1018 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 0- 4 1031 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 2- 4 1101 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 2- 1 1107 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 1- 2 1108 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 0- 5 1114 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 0- 7 1115 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 2- 1 1122 A Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 1- 5 1128 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 2- 7 1205 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 1- 2 1206 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 3- 2 1213 A Army AH (12-17, 96.9) 0- 3 1229 A Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 4- 5 103 A RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 3- 0 109 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 3- 2 110 A North Eastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 5- 3 116 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 1- 4 117 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 4- 2 123 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 0- 4 124 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 0- 1 130 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 3- 2 131 A Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 2- 0 206 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 6- 1 207 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 1- 6 213 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 2- 4 214 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 2- 5 220 A Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 2- 5 221 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 3- 5 227 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 2- 5 228 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 4- 4 307 A Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 5- 3 311 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 1- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 A St Lawrence 2- 1 1 1 -0.21
1012 H St Lawrence 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.23
1017 H St Cloud St 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.87
1018 H St Cloud St 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.13
1031 H New Hamp 2- 4 -2 0 -1.91
1101 H New Hamp 2- 1 1 0 1.09
1107 A Boston Col 1- 2 -1 -2 1.03
1108 A Boston Col 0- 5 -5 -2 - -2.97
1114 H Maine 0- 7 -7 -2 -- -5.04
1115 H Maine 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.96
1122 A Harvard 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.20
1128 H Dartmouth 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.00
1205 H Boston Univ 1- 2 -1 -1 0.14
1206 H Boston Univ 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.14
1213 A Army 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.61
1229 A Merrimack 4- 5 -1 -1 0.45
103 A RPI 3- 0 3 0 + 2.85
109 A North Eastern 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.40
110 A North Eastern 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.40
116 H Connecticut 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.01
117 H Connecticut 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.99
123 A UMass 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.21
130 A Stonehill 3- 2 1 0 0.99
131 A Stonehill 2- 0 2 0 1.99
206 H Boston Col 6- 1 5 -2 +++ 7.01
207 H Providence 1- 6 -5 -2 - -2.54
213 A UMass Lowell 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.37
214 A UMass Lowell 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.37
220 A Providence 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.52
221 A Boston Col 3- 5 -2 -2 0.03
227 H Merrimack 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.57
228 H Merrimack 4- 4 0 -1 1.43
307 A Maine 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.98
311 H Boston Univ 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.86
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1012 H St Lawrence 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.23 1114 H Maine 0- 7 -7 -2 -- -5.04 1018 H St Cloud St 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.13 1108 A Boston Col 0- 5 -5 -2 - -2.97 1122 A Harvard 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.20 1128 H Dartmouth 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.00 1213 A Army 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.61 123 A UMass 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.21 207 H Providence 1- 6 -5 -2 - -2.54 214 A UMass Lowell 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.37 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Boston Col 6- 1 5 -2 +++ 7.01 1017 H St Cloud St 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.87 1115 H Maine 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.96 1206 H Boston Univ 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.14 103 A RPI 3- 0 3 0 + 2.85 109 A North Eastern 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.40 110 A North Eastern 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.40 117 H Connecticut 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.99 307 A Maine 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.98 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 2- 1 -4.65 1.00 0.01 1.04 2.09
3 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 2- 5 -4.65 1.00 -0.01 1.04 -2.42
3 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 2- 1 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 1.04 6.42
3 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 0- 4 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 1.04 -0.80
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 2- 4 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 1.04 -1.73
3 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 2- 1 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 1.04 2.71
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 1- 2 -1.41 3.24 0.01 1.04 -0.73
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 0- 5 -1.41 3.24 0.01 1.04 -0.73
3 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 0- 7 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 1.04 -0.76
3 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 2- 1 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 1.04 6.60
3 A Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 1- 5 -2.64 2.01 0.01 1.04 -1.36
3 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 2- 7 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.04 -0.74
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 1- 2 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 1.04 -1.18
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 3- 2 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 1.04 4.90
3 A Army (12-17, 96.9) 0- 3 -3.04 1.60 0.01 1.04 -1.57
3 A Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 4- 5 -1.99 2.66 0.01 1.04 -1.03
3 A RPI (11-23, 96.3) 3- 0 -3.59 1.06 0.01 1.04 2.22
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 3- 2 -2.04 2.61 0.01 1.04 5.44
3 A North Eastern (18-18, 97.9) 5- 3 -2.04 2.61 0.01 1.04 5.44
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 1- 4 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 1.04 -0.74
3 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 4- 2 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 1.04 6.66
3 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 0- 4 -1.64 3.00 0.01 1.04 -0.85
3 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 0- 1 -1.64 3.00 0.01 1.04 -0.85
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 3- 2 -3.44 1.20 0.01 1.04 2.52
3 A Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 2- 0 -3.44 1.20 0.01 1.04 2.52
3 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 6- 1 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 1.04 6.70
3 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 1- 6 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 1.04 -0.50
3 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 2- 4 -2.80 1.85 0.01 1.04 -1.45
3 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 2- 5 -2.80 1.85 0.01 1.04 -1.45
3 A Providence (22-11, 98.9) 2- 5 -0.95 3.70 0.01 1.04 -0.49
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 3- 5 -1.41 3.24 0.01 1.04 -0.73
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 2- 5 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 1.04 -1.04
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 4- 4 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 1.04 0.00
3 A Maine (18-14, 98.4) 5- 3 -1.45 3.19 0.01 1.04 6.64
3 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 1- 4 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 1.04 -1.18
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38.56
|
winning pts = 60.8696 losing points = -22.3136
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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