Western Mich
W-L: (27-11) PR = 99.6899Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1009 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 2- 3 1010 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 6- 4 1017 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 2- 1 1018 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 6- 0 1023 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 0- 4 1024 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 5- 2 1031 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 6- 5 1101 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 1- 5 1107 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 1- 3 1108 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 3- 6 1114 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 5- 2 1115 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 6- 2 1121 H Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 7- 2 1122 H Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 4- 2 1205 A Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 1- 4 1206 A Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 3- 2 1228 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 5- 3 1229 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 4- 1 102 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 0 103 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 0 109 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 4- 1 110 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 6- 2 123 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 4- 3 124 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 4- 3 130 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 5- 2 131 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 1- 4 206 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 2- 3 207 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 3- 1 213 A Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 6- 2 214 A Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 7- 2 220 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 1- 1 221 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 2- 0 227 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 5 228 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 3 306 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 5- 2 307 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 2- 1 314 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 1- 2 327 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 3- 1 328 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 2- 6
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1009 A Ferris St 2- 3 -1 3 -- -4.13
1010 H Ferris St 6- 4 2 3 -1.15
1017 H UMass Lowell 2- 1 1 3 -1.60
1018 H UMass Lowell 6- 0 6 3 + 3.40
1023 H Michigan 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.82
1024 A Michigan 5- 2 3 0 + 3.20
1031 H St Cloud St 6- 5 1 1 -0.34
1101 H St Cloud St 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.34
1107 A Denver 1- 3 -2 0 -1.78
1108 A Denver 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.78
1114 A Miami 5- 2 3 2 1.49
1115 A Miami 6- 2 4 2 + 2.49
1121 H Omaha 7- 2 5 2 + 3.05
1122 H Omaha 4- 2 2 2 0.05
1205 A Minn Duluth 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.42
1206 A Minn Duluth 3- 2 1 0 0.58
1228 A Boston Col 5- 3 2 1 0.81
1229 H Wisconsin 4- 1 3 1 + 2.39
102 H Notre Dame 4- 0 4 3 1.49
103 A Notre Dame 4- 0 4 2 1.51
109 H Denver 4- 1 3 0 + 3.20
110 H Denver 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.20
123 H Minn Duluth 4- 3 1 0 0.56
124 H Minn Duluth 4- 3 1 0 0.56
130 A Omaha 5- 2 3 2 1.07
131 A Omaha 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.93
206 H Miami 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.53
207 H Miami 3- 1 2 2 0.47
213 A Arizona St 6- 2 4 2 + 2.08
214 A Arizona St 7- 2 5 2 + 3.08
220 H Colorado Col 1- 1 0 1 -1.14
221 H Colorado Col 2- 0 2 1 0.86
227 A North Dakota 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.09
228 A North Dakota 4- 3 1 0 0.91
306 A Colorado Col 5- 2 3 1 1.88
307 A Colorado Col 2- 1 1 1 -0.12
314 H Denver 1- 2 -1 0 -0.80
327 A Minn St 3- 1 2 2 0.44
328 A Denver 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.78
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1009 A Ferris St 2- 3 -1 3 -- -4.13 1101 H St Cloud St 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.34 131 A Omaha 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.93 1023 H Michigan 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.82 1108 A Denver 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.78 1205 A Minn Duluth 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.42 206 H Miami 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.53 227 A North Dakota 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.09 328 A Denver 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.78 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 H Denver 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.20 1018 H UMass Lowell 6- 0 6 3 + 3.40 1024 A Michigan 5- 2 3 0 + 3.20 1115 A Miami 6- 2 4 2 + 2.49 1121 H Omaha 7- 2 5 2 + 3.05 1229 H Wisconsin 4- 1 3 1 + 2.39 109 H Denver 4- 1 3 0 + 3.20 213 A Arizona St 6- 2 4 2 + 2.08 214 A Arizona St 7- 2 5 2 + 3.08 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 2- 3 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.93 -1.56
3 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 6- 4 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 0.93 2.39
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 2- 1 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 0.93 3.42
3 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 6- 0 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 0.93 3.42
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 0- 4 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.93 -0.01
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 5- 2 -0.02 4.63 0.01 0.93 8.64
3 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 6- 5 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 0.93 5.76
3 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 1- 5 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 0.93 -0.72
3 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 1- 3 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.93 -0.00
3 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 3- 6 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.93 -0.00
3 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 5- 2 -1.73 2.92 0.01 0.93 5.46
3 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 6- 2 -1.73 2.92 0.01 0.93 5.46
3 H Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 7- 2 -2.15 2.49 -0.01 0.93 4.62
3 H Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 4- 2 -2.15 2.49 -0.01 0.93 4.62
3 A Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 1- 4 -0.64 4.01 0.01 0.93 -0.29
3 A Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 3- 2 -0.64 4.01 0.01 0.93 7.49
3 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 5- 3 -1.41 3.24 0.01 0.93 6.05
3 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 4- 1 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.93 7.12
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 0 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.93 3.59
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 0 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.93 3.62
3 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 4- 1 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 0.93 8.63
3 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 6- 2 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 0.93 8.63
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 4- 3 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 0.93 7.45
3 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 4- 3 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 0.93 7.45
3 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 5- 2 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.93 4.66
3 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 1- 4 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.93 -1.00
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 2- 3 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 0.93 -0.81
3 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 3- 1 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 0.93 5.42
3 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 6- 2 -2.14 2.51 0.01 0.93 4.69
3 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 7- 2 -2.14 2.51 0.01 0.93 4.69
3 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 1 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 0.93 0.00
3 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 0 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 0.93 6.14
3 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 5 -0.31 4.34 0.01 0.93 -0.14
3 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 3 -0.31 4.34 0.01 0.93 8.09
3 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 5- 2 -1.34 3.31 0.01 0.93 6.17
3 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 1 -1.34 3.31 0.01 0.93 6.17
3 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 1- 2 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 0.93 -0.00
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 3- 1 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.93 5.35
3 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 2- 6 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.93 -0.00
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150.65
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winning pts = 155.1997 losing points = -4.5457
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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