Wisconsin
W-L: (25-12) PR = 99.0884Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 H Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 3- 0 1003 H Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 9- 2 1003 H Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 5- 1 1004 H Lindenwood IND (14-14, 97.0) 7- 2 1016 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 1 1017 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 2- 2 1024 A Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 5- 3 1025 A Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 4- 1 1030 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 5- 2 1101 A Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 4- 0 1107 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 4- 7 1108 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 6- 1 1114 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 1- 5 1115 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 6- 5 1121 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 5- 4 1122 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 1 1205 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 7- 4 1206 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 9- 2 1228 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 3- 2 1229 A Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 1- 4 109 A Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 5- 0 110 A Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 3- 2 115 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 3- 4 116 A Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 123 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 2- 7 124 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 1- 3 130 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 1- 4 131 H Minnesota B10 (11-22, 97.9) 4- 8 206 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 6- 5 207 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 5- 4 213 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 4- 2 214 H Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 2- 3 220 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 4- 1 221 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 3 305 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 7- 3 306 H Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 5- 2 311 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 1- 7 326 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 5- 1 328 H Michigan St B10 (26- 9, 99.6) 4- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 H Lindenwood 3- 0 3 2 0.93
1003 H Alaska Anch 9- 2 7 4 + 3.28
1003 H Alaska 5- 1 4 2 + 2.23
1004 H Lindenwood 7- 2 5 2 + 2.93
1016 A Minn St 1- 1 0 1 -0.96
1017 A Minn St 2- 2 0 1 -0.96
1024 A Alaska 5- 3 2 2 0.25
1025 A Alaska 4- 1 3 2 1.25
1030 A Minnesota 5- 2 3 1 1.82
1101 A Minnesota 4- 0 4 1 + 2.82
1107 H Michigan 4- 7 -3 -1 - -2.21
1108 H Michigan 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.79
1114 A Ohio State 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.81
1115 A Ohio State 6- 5 1 1 0.19
1121 H Michigan St 5- 4 1 0 1.46
1122 H Michigan St 2- 1 1 0 1.46
1205 H Notre Dame 7- 4 3 2 1.09
1206 H Notre Dame 9- 2 7 2 ++ 5.09
1228 A L Superor 3- 2 1 2 -1.40
1229 A Western Mich 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.39
109 A Alaska Anch 5- 0 5 4 1.30
110 A Alaska Anch 3- 2 1 4 - -2.70
115 A Michigan St 3- 4 -1 0 -0.52
116 A Michigan St 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.52
123 A Penn State 2- 7 -5 1 -- -5.54
124 A Penn State 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.54
130 H Minnesota 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.20
131 H Minnesota 4- 8 -4 1 -- -5.20
206 A Notre Dame 6- 5 1 2 -0.89
207 A Notre Dame 5- 4 1 2 -0.89
213 H Ohio State 4- 2 2 1 1.17
214 H Ohio State 2- 3 -1 1 -1.83
220 A Michigan 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.81
221 A Michigan 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.19
305 H Penn State 7- 3 4 1 + 3.44
306 H Penn State 5- 2 3 1 + 2.44
311 A Ohio State 1- 7 -6 1 --- -6.81
326 H Dartmouth 5- 1 4 1 + 3.39
328 H Michigan St 4- 3 1 0 1.46
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 A Ohio State 1- 7 -6 1 --- -6.81 1114 A Ohio State 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.81 123 A Penn State 2- 7 -5 1 -- -5.54 130 H Minnesota 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.20 131 H Minnesota 4- 8 -4 1 -- -5.20 1107 H Michigan 4- 7 -3 -1 - -2.21 1229 A Western Mich 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.39 110 A Alaska Anch 3- 2 1 4 - -2.70 116 A Michigan St 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.52 124 A Penn State 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.54 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 H Michigan 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.79 1206 H Notre Dame 9- 2 7 2 ++ 5.09 1003 H Alaska Anch 9- 2 7 4 + 3.28 1003 H Alaska 5- 1 4 2 + 2.23 1004 H Lindenwood 7- 2 5 2 + 2.93 1101 A Minnesota 4- 0 4 1 + 2.82 220 A Michigan 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.81 305 H Penn State 7- 3 4 1 + 3.44 306 H Penn State 5- 2 3 1 + 2.44 326 H Dartmouth 5- 1 4 1 + 3.39 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 3- 0 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 0.93 3.29
3 H Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 9- 2 -4.53 1.00 -0.01 0.93 1.84
3 H Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 5- 1 -2.58 2.07 -0.01 0.93 3.84
3 H Lindenwood (14-14, 97.0) 7- 2 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 0.93 3.29
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 1 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.93 0.00
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 2- 2 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.93 0.00
3 A Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 5- 3 -2.58 2.07 0.01 0.93 3.88
3 A Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 4- 1 -2.58 2.07 0.01 0.93 3.88
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 5- 2 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.93 4.95
3 A Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 4- 0 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.93 4.95
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 4- 7 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.93 -0.01
3 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 6- 1 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.93 8.60
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 1- 5 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.93 -0.75
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 6- 5 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.93 5.64
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 5- 4 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 0.93 7.99
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 2- 1 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 0.93 7.99
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 7- 4 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.93 3.59
3 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 9- 2 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.93 3.59
3 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 3- 2 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.93 2.68
3 A Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 1- 4 -0.21 4.44 0.01 0.93 -0.09
3 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 5- 0 -4.53 1.00 0.01 0.93 1.88
3 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 3- 2 -4.53 1.00 0.01 0.93 1.88
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 3- 4 -0.34 4.31 0.01 0.93 -0.16
3 A Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 -0.34 4.31 0.01 0.93 -0.16
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 2- 7 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.93 -0.63
3 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 1- 3 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.93 -0.63
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 1- 4 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.93 -0.94
3 H Minnesota (11-22, 97.9) 4- 8 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.93 -0.94
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 6- 5 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.93 3.62
3 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 5- 4 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.93 3.62
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 4- 2 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 0.93 5.60
3 H Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 2- 3 -1.63 3.02 -0.01 0.93 -0.76
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 4- 1 -0.02 4.63 0.01 0.93 8.64
3 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 1- 3 -0.02 4.63 0.01 0.93 -0.00
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 7- 3 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 0.93 6.10
3 H Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 5- 2 -1.36 3.29 -0.01 0.93 6.10
3 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 1- 7 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.93 -0.75
3 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 5- 1 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.93 6.00
3 H Michigan St (26- 9, 99.6) 4- 3 -0.34 4.31 -0.01 0.93 7.99
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115.62
|
winning pts = 121.4327 losing points = -5.8140
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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