Yale
W-L: ( 8-22) PR = 96.2410Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1102 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 6 1107 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 4- 2 1108 A Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 2- 1 1114 H Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 3- 4 1115 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 2- 5 1121 H Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 2- 4 1122 A Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 1 1128 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 2- 1 1129 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 1- 3 1205 H Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 2- 3 1206 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 6 1212 H Merrimack HE (21-16, 97.9) 1- 4 102 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 2- 6 103 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 3- 4 109 A St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 8- 1 110 A Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 2- 3 116 H RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 8- 3 117 H Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 4- 1 123 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 2- 5 124 A Sacred Heart AH (23-14, 97.4) 2- 3 130 A Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 2- 5 131 A Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 3- 6 206 H Princeton ECAC (21-14, 97.7) 1- 3 207 H Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 0- 8 213 A Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 4- 4 214 A Harvard ECAC (16-15, 97.3) 3- 2 220 H Clarkson ECAC (18-19, 97.2) 1- 4 221 H St Lawrence ECAC ( 7-25, 95.3) 2- 5 227 A Union ECAC (22-14, 97.8) 4- 5 228 A RPI ECAC (11-23, 96.3) 2- 4 307 H Colgate ECAC (13-21, 96.6) 2- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1102 H Dartmouth 1- 6 -5 -2 - -2.77
1107 A Quinnipiac 4- 2 2 -3 ++ 4.54
1108 A Princeton 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.45
1114 H Colgate 3- 4 -1 0 -0.66
1115 H Cornell 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.79
1121 H Brown 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.75
1122 A Brown 3- 1 2 1 1.27
1128 A Omaha 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.51
1129 A Omaha 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.49
1205 H Harvard 2- 3 -1 -1 0.01
1206 H Dartmouth 1- 6 -5 -2 - -2.77
1212 H Merrimack 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.34
102 H St Cloud St 2- 6 -4 -2 -1.89
103 A Minn St 3- 4 -1 -2 0.89
109 A St Lawrence 8- 1 7 1 +++ 6.02
110 A Clarkson 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.06
116 H RPI 8- 3 5 0 ++ 5.06
117 H Union 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.57
123 A Connecticut 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.76
124 A Sacred Heart 2- 3 -1 -1 0.20
130 A Cornell 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.77
131 A Colgate 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.64
206 H Princeton 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.57
207 H Quinnipiac 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -5.48
213 A Dartmouth 4- 4 0 -2 + 2.25
214 A Harvard 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.03
220 H Clarkson 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.08
221 H St Lawrence 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.00
227 A Union 4- 5 -1 -2 0.59
228 A RPI 2- 4 -2 0 -1.92
307 H Colgate 2- 3 -1 0 -0.66
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Quinnipiac 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -5.48 221 H St Lawrence 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.00 1102 H Dartmouth 1- 6 -5 -2 - -2.77 1121 H Brown 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.75 1206 H Dartmouth 1- 6 -5 -2 - -2.77 131 A Colgate 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.64 220 H Clarkson 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 109 A St Lawrence 8- 1 7 1 +++ 6.02 1107 A Quinnipiac 4- 2 2 -3 ++ 4.54 116 H RPI 8- 3 5 0 ++ 5.06 117 H Union 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.57 1108 A Princeton 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.45 1128 A Omaha 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.51 213 A Dartmouth 4- 4 0 -2 + 2.25 214 A Harvard 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.03 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 6 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.17 -0.83
3 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 4- 2 -1.13 3.52 0.01 1.17 8.27
3 A Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 2- 1 -2.22 2.43 0.01 1.17 5.72
3 H Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 3- 4 -3.31 1.34 -0.01 1.17 -1.94
3 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 2- 5 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.17 -0.85
3 H Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 2- 4 -4.40 1.00 -0.01 1.17 -2.58
3 A Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 1 -4.40 1.00 0.01 1.17 2.36
3 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 2- 1 -2.15 2.49 0.01 1.17 5.86
3 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 1- 3 -2.15 2.49 0.01 1.17 -1.26
3 H Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 2- 3 -2.64 2.01 -0.01 1.17 -1.55
3 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 6 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.17 -0.83
3 H Merrimack (21-16, 97.9) 1- 4 -1.99 2.66 -0.01 1.17 -1.17
3 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 2- 6 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 1.17 -0.91
3 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 3- 4 -1.78 2.87 0.01 1.17 -1.04
3 A St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 8- 1 -4.65 1.00 0.01 1.17 2.36
3 A Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 2- 3 -2.73 1.92 0.01 1.17 -1.59
3 H RPI (11-23, 96.3) 8- 3 -3.59 1.06 -0.01 1.17 2.45
3 H Union (22-14, 97.8) 4- 1 -2.08 2.57 -0.01 1.17 6.00
3 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 2- 5 -1.43 3.22 0.01 1.17 -0.83
3 A Sacred Heart (23-14, 97.4) 2- 3 -2.47 2.18 0.01 1.17 -1.44
3 A Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 2- 5 -1.44 3.21 0.01 1.17 -0.83
3 A Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 3- 6 -3.31 1.34 0.01 1.17 -1.93
3 H Princeton (21-14, 97.7) 1- 3 -2.22 2.43 -0.01 1.17 -1.30
3 H Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 0- 8 -1.13 3.52 -0.01 1.17 -0.67
3 A Harvard (16-15, 97.3) 3- 2 -2.64 2.01 0.01 1.17 4.74
3 H Clarkson (18-19, 97.2) 1- 4 -2.73 1.92 -0.01 1.17 -1.60
3 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.3) 2- 5 -4.65 1.00 -0.01 1.17 -2.73
3 A Union (22-14, 97.8) 4- 5 -2.08 2.57 0.01 1.17 -1.21
3 A RPI (11-23, 96.3) 2- 4 -3.59 1.06 0.01 1.17 -2.10
3 H Colgate (13-21, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.31 1.34 -0.01 1.17 -1.94
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6.63
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winning pts = 37.7665 losing points = -31.1397
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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