UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Akron
  
Akron                 
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 90.6252

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 1- 9 206 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 3- 8 207 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 3- 4 208 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 3-21 209 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 2-10 220 H Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 1- 4 221 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 3- 7 221 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 9- 2 227 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 3- 4 228 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 8- 7 306 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 1- 9 307 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 0- 4 421 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 9- 5 515 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 0- 8 516 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 1- 0 516 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 6- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Arkansas                1- 9      -8   -10           1.78
   206 A Coastal Carolina        3- 8      -5    -2    -     -3.40
   207 A Virginia                3- 4      -1    -5    +      3.61
   208 H Arkansas                3-21     -18    -8    --    -5.70
   209 A Coastal Carolina        2-10      -8    -2    ---   -6.40
   220 H Illinois                1- 4      -3     1    --    -4.37
   221 A NC State                3- 7      -4    -3          -1.11
   221 A Illinois                9- 2       7     0    +++    7.12
   227 A Middle Tennessee        3- 4      -1     0          -0.63
   228 A Middle Tennessee        8- 7       1     0           1.37
   306 A Marshall                1- 9      -8    -4    --    -4.02
   307 A Marshall                0- 4      -4    -4          -0.02
   421 A Ohio State              9- 5       4    -4    +++    7.97
   515 A LSU                     0- 8      -8    -7          -0.86
   516 H Virginia Tech           6- 7      -1    -6    ++     4.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Coastal Carolina        2-10      -8    -2    ---   -6.40
   208 H Arkansas                3-21     -18    -8    --    -5.70
   220 H Illinois                1- 4      -3     1    --    -4.37
   306 A Marshall                1- 9      -8    -4    --    -4.02
   206 A Coastal Carolina        3- 8      -5    -2    -     -3.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Illinois                9- 2       7     0    +++    7.12
   421 A Ohio State              9- 5       4    -4    +++    7.97
   516 H Virginia Tech           6- 7      -1    -6    ++     4.66
   207 A Virginia                3- 4      -1    -5    +      3.61

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Arkansas        (48-12, 99.7)     1- 9       -0.23      19.14       0.74         1.58            -0.40
   3 A Coastal Caroli  (27-28, 91.5)     3- 8       -8.42      10.95       0.74         1.58            -6.05
   3 A Virginia        (40-18, 94.5)     3- 4       -5.41      13.96       0.74         1.58            -3.68
   3 H Arkansas        (48-12, 99.7)     3-21       -0.23      19.14      -0.74         1.58            -0.77
   3 A Coastal Caroli  (27-28, 91.5)     2-10       -8.42      10.95       0.74         1.58            -6.05
   3 H Illinois        (16-39, 90.0)     1- 4       -9.90       9.47      -0.74         1.58            -8.38
   3 A NC State        (28-26, 92.8)     3- 7       -7.13      12.24       0.74         1.58            -5.03
   3 A Illinois        (16-39, 90.0)     9- 2       -9.90       9.47       0.74         1.58            32.18
   3 A Middle Tenness  (22-27, 90.2)     3- 4       -9.65       9.72       0.74         1.58            -7.02
   3 A Middle Tenness  (22-27, 90.2)     8- 7       -9.65       9.72       0.74         1.58            32.96
   3 A Marshall        (37-19, 93.9)     1- 9       -6.03      13.34       0.74         1.58            -4.17
   3 A Marshall        (37-19, 93.9)     0- 4       -6.03      13.34       0.74         1.58            -4.17
   3 A Ohio State      (24-28, 93.8)     9- 5       -6.05      13.32       0.74         1.58            44.30
   3 A LSU             (37-21, 97.0)     0- 8       -2.88      16.49       0.74         1.58            -1.68
   3 A South Alabama   (29-27, 92.4)     1- 0       -7.52      11.85       0.74         1.58            39.68
   3 H Virginia Tech   (48-12, 97.0)     6- 7       -2.87      16.50      -0.74         1.58            -2.85
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        98.89

winning pts = 149.1142 losing points = -50.2268

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------