App State
W-L: (29-22) PR = 92.6659Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A UNC Wilmington CA ( 2-11, 89.9) 4- 3 206 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 5- 3 207 A George Washington A10 ( 2- 3, 88.4) 11- 0 208 A UNC Wilmington CA ( 2-11, 89.9) 15- 9 212 A UNC Greensboro SO ( 7- 9, 91.1) 7- 6 213 A Columbia IVY ( 1- 3, 87.5) 12- 0 213 H Fairfield MAAC ( 0- 5, 86.3) 9- 1 214 H Columbia IVY ( 1- 3, 87.5) 4- 2 214 A UNC Greensboro SO ( 7- 9, 91.1) 3- 6 220 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 3- 5 220 A Princeton IVY ( 2- 7, 90.6) 3- 2 221 H Princeton IVY ( 2- 7, 90.6) 6- 3 221 A Rider MAAC ( 0- 4, 85.4) 9- 3 227 A North Carolina Central MEAC ( 0-13, 84.9) 9- 0 227 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 9 228 H North Carolina Central MEAC ( 0-13, 84.9) 9- 3 228 A Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 5-10 301 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 2- 6 301 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 2- 6 306 H Furman SO ( 0- 8, 84.7) 10- 0 307 H Furman SO ( 0- 8, 84.7) 15- 1 308 H Queens University ASUN ( 0-11, 85.7) 11- 3 308 H Queens University ASUN ( 0-11, 85.7) 11- 3 310 A Charleston CA ( 2-13, 87.9) 12- 2 311 A Charleston Southern BSO ( 0- 9, 85.8) 10- 0 313 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 7- 3 314 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 2- 3 315 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 7- 8 320 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 17- 4 321 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 4-13 322 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 10-13 327 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 7-13 328 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 11- 2 329 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 8- 7 402 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 1- 3 403 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 4-12 404 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 6-10 407 H Gardner-Webb BSO ( 2- 4, 87.4) 20- 3 410 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 0- 2 411 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 0- 2 412 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 1- 2 415 H North Carolina Central MEAC ( 0-13, 84.9) 10- 0 417 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 5- 2 418 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 3- 9 419 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 10- 9 424 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 7- 5 425 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 2- 5 426 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 5- 6 430 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 2- 4 501 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 13-12 501 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 1-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A UNC Wilmington 4- 3 1 2 -1.04
206 H Kennesaw State 5- 3 2 5 - -3.42
207 A George Washington 11- 0 11 4 +++ 7.46
208 A UNC Wilmington 15- 9 6 2 + 3.96
212 A UNC Greensboro 7- 6 1 1 0.23
213 A Columbia 12- 0 12 4 +++ 7.60
213 H Fairfield 9- 1 8 7 0.84
214 H Columbia 4- 2 2 6 - -3.88
214 A UNC Greensboro 3- 6 -3 1 - -3.77
220 A North Carolina 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.14
220 A Princeton 3- 2 1 1 -0.32
221 H Princeton 6- 3 3 3 0.19
221 A Rider 9- 3 6 7 -0.55
227 A North Carolina Central 9- 0 9 7 1.93
227 A Tennessee 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.01
228 H North Carolina Central 9- 3 6 9 - -2.55
228 A Penn State 5-10 -5 -3 -1.96
301 A Tennessee 2- 6 -4 -5 0.99
301 A Tennessee 2- 6 -4 -5 0.99
306 H Furman 10- 0 10 9 1.28
307 H Furman 15- 1 14 9 ++ 5.28
308 H Queens University 11- 3 8 8 0.33
308 H Queens University 11- 3 8 8 0.33
310 A Charleston 12- 2 10 4 ++ 5.96
311 A Charleston Southern 10- 0 10 6 + 3.91
313 A Coastal Carolina 7- 3 4 0 + 3.56
314 A Coastal Carolina 2- 3 -1 0 -1.44
315 A Coastal Carolina 7- 8 -1 0 -1.44
320 H Southern Miss 17- 4 13 2 +++ 11.25
321 H Southern Miss 4-13 -9 2 --- -10.75
322 H Southern Miss 10-13 -3 2 -- -4.75
327 A Boise State 7-13 -6 -1 -- -5.49
328 A South Carolina 11- 2 9 -3 +++ 12.04
329 H Georgia State 8- 7 1 2 -1.01
402 A Marshall 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.06
403 A Marshall 4-12 -8 -2 --- -6.06
404 A Marshall 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.06
407 H Gardner-Webb 20- 3 17 6 +++ 7.95
410 A UL Monroe 0- 2 -2 -1 -1.28
411 A UL Monroe 0- 2 -2 -1 -1.28
412 A UL Monroe 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.28
415 H North Carolina Central 10- 0 10 9 1.45
417 H James Madison 5- 2 3 1 + 2.32
418 H James Madison 3- 9 -6 1 --- -6.68
419 H James Madison 10- 9 1 1 0.32
424 A Georgia Southern 7- 5 2 1 0.72
425 H Texas State 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.80
426 H Texas State 5- 6 -1 0 -0.80
430 A North Texas 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.47
501 H Texas State 13-12 1 0 1.20
501 H Texas State 1-15 -14 0 --- -13.80
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Southern Miss 4-13 -9 2 --- -10.75 403 A Marshall 4-12 -8 -2 --- -6.06 418 H James Madison 3- 9 -6 1 --- -6.68 501 H Texas State 1-15 -14 0 --- -13.80 322 H Southern Miss 10-13 -3 2 -- -4.75 327 A Boise State 7-13 -6 -1 -- -5.49 206 H Kennesaw State 5- 3 2 5 - -3.42 214 H Columbia 4- 2 2 6 - -3.88 214 A UNC Greensboro 3- 6 -3 1 - -3.77 227 A Tennessee 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.01 228 H North Carolina Central 9- 3 6 9 - -2.55 404 A Marshall 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.06 425 H Texas State 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.80 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A George Washington 11- 0 11 4 +++ 7.46 213 A Columbia 12- 0 12 4 +++ 7.60 320 H Southern Miss 17- 4 13 2 +++ 11.25 328 A South Carolina 11- 2 9 -3 +++ 12.04 407 H Gardner-Webb 20- 3 17 6 +++ 7.95 307 H Furman 15- 1 14 9 ++ 5.28 310 A Charleston 12- 2 10 4 ++ 5.96 208 A UNC Wilmington 15- 9 6 2 + 3.96 311 A Charleston Southern 10- 0 10 6 + 3.91 313 A Coastal Carolina 7- 3 4 0 + 3.56 417 H James Madison 5- 2 3 1 + 2.32 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UNC Wilmington ( 2-11, 89.9) 4- 3 -10.02 9.35 0.74 0.49 9.98
3 H Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 5- 3 -11.91 7.46 -0.74 0.49 6.64
3 A George Washing ( 2- 3, 88.4) 11- 0 -11.52 7.85 0.74 0.49 8.49
3 A UNC Wilmington ( 2-11, 89.9) 15- 9 -10.02 9.35 0.74 0.49 9.98
3 A UNC Greensboro ( 7- 9, 91.1) 7- 6 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.49 11.23
3 A Columbia ( 1- 3, 87.5) 12- 0 -12.37 7.00 0.74 0.49 7.65
3 H Fairfield ( 0- 5, 86.3) 9- 1 -13.65 5.72 -0.74 0.49 4.92
3 H Columbia ( 1- 3, 87.5) 4- 2 -12.37 7.00 -0.74 0.49 6.18
3 A UNC Greensboro ( 7- 9, 91.1) 3- 6 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.49 -1.98
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 3- 5 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.49 -1.33
3 A Princeton ( 2- 7, 90.6) 3- 2 -9.30 10.07 0.74 0.49 10.69
3 H Princeton ( 2- 7, 90.6) 6- 3 -9.30 10.07 -0.74 0.49 9.22
3 A Rider ( 0- 4, 85.4) 9- 3 -14.53 4.84 0.74 0.49 5.52
3 A North Carolina ( 0-13, 84.9) 9- 0 -15.04 4.33 0.74 0.49 5.01
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 1- 9 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.49 -0.55
3 H North Carolina ( 0-13, 84.9) 9- 3 -15.04 4.33 -0.74 0.49 3.54
3 A Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 5-10 -4.94 14.43 0.74 0.49 -1.04
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 2- 6 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.49 -0.55
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 2- 6 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.49 -0.55
3 H Furman ( 0- 8, 84.7) 10- 0 -15.22 4.15 -0.74 0.49 3.37
3 H Furman ( 0- 8, 84.7) 15- 1 -15.22 4.15 -0.74 0.49 3.37
3 H Queens Univers ( 0-11, 85.7) 11- 3 -14.16 5.21 -0.74 0.49 4.42
3 H Queens Univers ( 0-11, 85.7) 11- 3 -14.16 5.21 -0.74 0.49 4.42
3 A Charleston ( 2-13, 87.9) 12- 2 -12.02 7.35 0.74 0.49 8.00
3 A Charleston Sou ( 0- 9, 85.8) 10- 0 -14.07 5.30 0.74 0.49 5.97
3 A Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 7- 3 -8.42 10.95 0.74 0.49 11.56
3 A Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 2- 3 -8.42 10.95 0.74 0.49 -1.90
3 A Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 7- 8 -8.42 10.95 0.74 0.49 -1.90
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 17- 4 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.49 10.27
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 4-13 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.49 -2.22
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 10-13 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.49 -2.22
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 7-13 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.49 -1.66
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 11- 2 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.49 15.00
3 H Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 8- 7 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.49 10.01
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 1- 3 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.49 -1.31
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 4-12 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.49 -1.31
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 6-10 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.49 -1.31
3 H Gardner-Webb ( 2- 4, 87.4) 20- 3 -12.54 6.83 -0.74 0.49 6.02
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 0- 2 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.49 -1.61
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 0- 2 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.49 -1.61
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 1- 2 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.49 -1.61
3 H North Carolina ( 0-13, 84.9) 10- 0 -15.04 4.33 -0.74 0.49 3.54
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 5- 2 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.49 11.32
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 3- 9 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.49 -1.96
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 10- 9 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.49 11.32
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 7- 5 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.49 10.73
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 2- 5 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.49 -1.74
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 5- 6 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.49 -1.74
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 2- 4 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.49 -1.66
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 13-12 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.49 12.19
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 1-15 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.49 -1.74
------
197.09
|
winning pts = 230.5666 losing points = -33.4778
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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