Arizona State
W-L: (45-18) PR = 96.4496Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Toledo MA ( 2-13, 89.9) 4- 1 205 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 1- 2 206 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 3- 2 207 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 8- 0 208 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 4- 3 212 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 7- 6 212 H Portland State BSKY ( 2- 9, 88.5) 11- 5 213 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 7- 6 214 H Portland State BSKY ( 2- 9, 88.5) 20- 2 214 H Pacific WC ( 2-12, 89.7) 9- 6 215 H Pacific WC ( 2-12, 89.7) 8- 0 220 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 8- 9 220 H Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 11-10 221 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 8- 0 221 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 9- 1 222 A UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 5- 1 226 H UC Riverside BW ( 2-11, 89.5) 9- 1 227 H Eastern Illinois OV ( 3-13, 90.0) 9- 5 227 H UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 9- 2 228 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 15- 7 228 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 10- 5 301 H Cal State Bakersfield BW ( 0-18, 86.8) 2- 1 301 H Cal State Bakersfield BW ( 0-18, 86.8) 2- 1 306 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 5- 9 307 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 0-15 308 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 6-11 310 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 10- 1 313 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 3- 2 314 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 5- 4 315 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 0- 4 320 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 16- 5 321 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 8- 9 322 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 4- 6 325 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 7- 3 327 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 3- 4 327 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 9- 9 328 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 12- 3 328 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 15- 8 402 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 8- 5 402 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 7-11 404 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 4- 5 407 H UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 13- 0 410 H UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 7- 1 411 H UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 1- 8 412 H UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 3- 4 414 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 5- 1 417 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 5- 2 418 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 16- 8 419 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 10- 0 424 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0- 6 425 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 5- 9 426 A Hofstra CA ( 3- 4, 91.9) 1- 2 430 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 9- 5 501 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 10- 2 502 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 11- 3 507 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 2- 1 508 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 11- 7 509 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 4- 0 515 H McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 8- 0 516 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 4- 3 517 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 9- 1 522 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 4- 1 523 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 3- 4 524 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 0- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Toledo 4- 1 3 7 -- -4.33
205 H Oklahoma 1- 2 -1 -3 1.71
206 H Texas State 3- 2 1 4 - -2.58
207 H Northwestern 8- 0 8 2 +++ 6.23
208 H Memphis 4- 3 1 8 --- -6.73
212 H Indiana 7- 6 1 1 0.04
212 H Portland State 11- 5 6 9 - -2.74
213 H Nevada 7- 6 1 2 -0.75
214 H Portland State 20- 2 18 9 ++ 5.26
214 H Pacific 9- 6 3 7 -- -4.46
215 H Pacific 8- 0 8 7 0.54
220 H Michigan 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.44
220 H Southern Utah 11-10 1 6 -- -5.48
221 H Michigan 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.56
221 H New Mexico State 9- 1 8 5 + 2.72
222 A UC San Diego 5- 1 4 5 -1.30
226 H UC Riverside 9- 1 8 8 0.27
227 H Eastern Illinois 9- 5 4 7 - -3.23
227 H UNLV 9- 2 7 6 1.32
228 H Wisconsin 15- 7 8 3 ++ 4.64
228 H California Baptist 10- 5 5 4 1.02
301 H Cal State Bakersfield 2- 1 1 10 --- -9.40
301 H Cal State Bakersfield 2- 1 1 10 --- -9.40
306 H Utah 5- 9 -4 2 -- -5.87
307 H Utah 0-15 -15 2 --- -15.87
308 H Utah 6-11 -5 2 --- -6.87
310 A UTEP 10- 1 9 7 1.93
313 H Oklahoma State 3- 2 1 0 0.91
314 H Oklahoma State 5- 4 1 0 0.91
315 H Oklahoma State 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.09
320 A Arizona 16- 5 11 -1 +++ 12.36
321 A Arizona 8- 9 -1 -1 0.36
322 A Arizona 4- 6 -2 -1 -0.64
325 A NC State 7- 3 4 3 1.06
327 A Stanford 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.38
327 H Ohio State 9- 9 0 3 - -3.34
328 H California Baptist 12- 3 9 4 ++ 5.02
328 H Florida Atlantic 15- 8 7 3 ++ 4.47
402 A Kansas 8- 5 3 1 + 2.48
402 A Kansas 7-11 -4 1 -- -4.52
404 A Kansas 4- 5 -1 1 -1.52
407 H UTEP 13- 0 13 9 ++ 4.45
410 H UCF 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.06
411 H UCF 1- 8 -7 1 --- -7.94
412 H UCF 3- 4 -1 1 -1.94
414 A Grand Canyon 5- 1 4 0 + 3.96
417 A Houston 5- 2 3 5 -1.60
418 A Houston 16- 8 8 5 + 3.40
419 A Houston 10- 0 10 5 ++ 5.40
424 H Texas Tech 0- 6 -6 -2 - -3.95
425 A Stanford 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.38
426 A Hofstra 1- 2 -1 4 -- -4.85
430 H Colorado State 9- 5 4 6 -1.76
501 A BYU 10- 2 8 4 + 3.72
502 A BYU 11- 3 8 4 + 3.72
507 A Arizona 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.36
508 A Oklahoma State 11- 7 4 -1 ++ 5.40
509 A Texas Tech 4- 0 4 -4 +++ 7.53
515 H McNeese 8- 0 8 4 + 3.62
516 A Texas A&M 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.08
517 H Texas A&M 9- 1 8 0 +++ 7.59
522 A Texas 4- 1 3 -3 +++ 6.25
523 H Texas 3- 4 -1 -2 0.76
524 A Texas 0- 5 -5 -3 -1.75
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H Memphis 4- 3 1 8 --- -6.73 301 H Cal State Bakersfield 2- 1 1 10 --- -9.40 301 H Cal State Bakersfield 2- 1 1 10 --- -9.40 307 H Utah 0-15 -15 2 --- -15.87 308 H Utah 6-11 -5 2 --- -6.87 411 H UCF 1- 8 -7 1 --- -7.94 205 H Toledo 4- 1 3 7 -- -4.33 214 H Pacific 9- 6 3 7 -- -4.46 220 H Southern Utah 11-10 1 6 -- -5.48 306 H Utah 5- 9 -4 2 -- -5.87 315 H Oklahoma State 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.09 402 A Kansas 7-11 -4 1 -- -4.52 426 A Hofstra 1- 2 -1 4 -- -4.85 206 H Texas State 3- 2 1 4 - -2.58 212 H Portland State 11- 5 6 9 - -2.74 220 H Michigan 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.44 227 H Eastern Illinois 9- 5 4 7 - -3.23 327 H Ohio State 9- 9 0 3 - -3.34 424 H Texas Tech 0- 6 -6 -2 - -3.95 425 A Stanford 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.38 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Northwestern 8- 0 8 2 +++ 6.23 320 A Arizona 16- 5 11 -1 +++ 12.36 509 A Texas Tech 4- 0 4 -4 +++ 7.53 517 H Texas A&M 9- 1 8 0 +++ 7.59 522 A Texas 4- 1 3 -3 +++ 6.25 214 H Portland State 20- 2 18 9 ++ 5.26 221 H Michigan 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.56 228 H Wisconsin 15- 7 8 3 ++ 4.64 328 H California Baptist 12- 3 9 4 ++ 5.02 328 H Florida Atlantic 15- 8 7 3 ++ 4.47 407 H UTEP 13- 0 13 9 ++ 4.45 410 H UCF 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.06 419 A Houston 10- 0 10 5 ++ 5.40 508 A Oklahoma State 11- 7 4 -1 ++ 5.40 221 H New Mexico State 9- 1 8 5 + 2.72 402 A Kansas 8- 5 3 1 + 2.48 414 A Grand Canyon 5- 1 4 0 + 3.96 418 A Houston 16- 8 8 5 + 3.40 501 A BYU 10- 2 8 4 + 3.72 502 A BYU 11- 3 8 4 + 3.72 507 A Arizona 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.36 515 H McNeese 8- 0 8 4 + 3.62 516 A Texas A&M 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.08 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Toledo ( 2-13, 89.9) 4- 1 -10.04 9.33 -0.74 0.39 6.76
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 1- 2 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.39 -0.15
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 3- 2 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.39 9.72
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 8- 0 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.39 11.15
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 4- 3 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.39 6.45
3 H Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 7- 6 -3.67 15.70 -0.74 0.39 11.78
3 H Portland State ( 2- 9, 88.5) 11- 5 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 0.39 5.66
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 7- 6 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.39 11.16
3 H Portland State ( 2- 9, 88.5) 20- 2 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 0.39 5.66
3 H Pacific ( 2-12, 89.7) 9- 6 -10.17 9.20 -0.74 0.39 6.66
3 H Pacific ( 2-12, 89.7) 8- 0 -10.17 9.20 -0.74 0.39 6.66
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 8- 9 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 0.39 -1.16
3 H Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 11-10 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.39 7.43
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 8- 0 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 0.39 10.62
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 9- 1 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.39 8.38
3 A UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 5- 1 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.39 8.36
3 H UC Riverside ( 2-11, 89.5) 9- 1 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.39 6.45
3 H Eastern Illino ( 3-13, 90.0) 9- 5 -9.94 9.43 -0.74 0.39 6.84
3 H UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 9- 2 -8.39 10.98 -0.74 0.39 8.06
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 15- 7 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.39 9.89
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 10- 5 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.39 9.40
3 H Cal State Bake ( 0-18, 86.8) 2- 1 -13.11 6.26 -0.74 0.39 4.34
3 H Cal State Bake ( 0-18, 86.8) 2- 1 -13.11 6.26 -0.74 0.39 4.34
3 H Utah (36-19, 95.3) 5- 9 -4.58 14.79 -0.74 0.39 -1.05
3 H Utah (36-19, 95.3) 0-15 -4.58 14.79 -0.74 0.39 -1.05
3 H Utah (36-19, 95.3) 6-11 -4.58 14.79 -0.74 0.39 -1.05
3 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 10- 1 -11.26 8.11 0.74 0.39 6.97
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 3- 2 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.39 12.47
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 5- 4 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.39 12.47
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 0- 4 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.39 -0.70
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 16- 5 -2.83 16.54 0.74 0.39 13.61
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 8- 9 -2.83 16.54 0.74 0.39 -0.41
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 4- 6 -2.83 16.54 0.74 0.39 -0.41
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 7- 3 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.39 10.23
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 3- 4 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.39 -0.56
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 9- 9 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.39 0.00
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 12- 3 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.39 9.40
3 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 15- 8 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.39 10.54
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 8- 5 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.39 12.13
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 7-11 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.39 -0.78
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 4- 5 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.39 -0.78
3 H UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 13- 0 -11.26 8.11 -0.74 0.39 5.80
3 H UCF (40-20, 96.2) 7- 1 -3.65 15.72 -0.74 0.39 11.80
3 H UCF (40-20, 96.2) 1- 8 -3.65 15.72 -0.74 0.39 -0.86
3 H UCF (40-20, 96.2) 3- 4 -3.65 15.72 -0.74 0.39 -0.86
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 5- 1 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.39 12.51
3 A Houston (20-30, 91.1) 5- 2 -8.79 10.58 0.74 0.39 8.92
3 A Houston (20-30, 91.1) 16- 8 -8.79 10.58 0.74 0.39 8.92
3 A Houston (20-30, 91.1) 10- 0 -8.79 10.58 0.74 0.39 8.92
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0- 6 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.39 -0.28
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 5- 9 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.39 -0.56
3 A Hofstra ( 3- 4, 91.9) 1- 2 -8.05 11.32 0.74 0.39 -1.44
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 9- 5 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.39 8.00
3 A BYU (19-29, 91.4) 10- 2 -8.48 10.89 0.74 0.39 9.16
3 A BYU (19-29, 91.4) 11- 3 -8.48 10.89 0.74 0.39 9.16
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 2- 1 -2.83 16.54 0.74 0.39 13.61
3 A Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 11- 7 -2.79 16.58 0.74 0.39 13.64
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 4- 0 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.39 15.32
3 H McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 8- 0 -7.09 12.28 -0.74 0.39 9.09
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 4- 3 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.39 13.39
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 9- 1 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 0.39 12.22
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 4- 1 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.39 15.10
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 3- 4 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.39 -0.33
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 0- 5 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.39 -0.04
------
416.72
|
winning pts = 429.1779 losing points = -12.4601
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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