Auburn
W-L: (29-27) PR = 94.7522Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A North Florida ASUN ( 6- 5, 93.8) 3-11 206 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 5- 4 206 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 9- 6 207 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 10- 5 207 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 11-12 208 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 4- 3 212 H Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 8- 0 213 H Campbell CA ( 5- 9, 92.1) 11- 3 213 H Bradley MV ( 1- 6, 89.3) 14- 3 214 H Binghamton AE ( 1-13, 88.3) 11- 1 214 H Bradley MV ( 1- 6, 89.3) 13- 5 219 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 10- 5 219 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 1-23 220 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 10- 1 221 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 2- 5 221 H Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 2- 1 222 A California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 19- 5 226 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 8- 7 227 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 10- 4 227 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 5- 9 228 H USC Upstate BSO ( 3-11, 90.6) 13- 5 228 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 2- 6 301 H USC Upstate BSO ( 3-11, 90.6) 2- 1 301 H USC Upstate BSO ( 3-11, 90.6) 2- 1 306 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 3- 8 307 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 6- 2 307 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 6- 5 313 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 5-13 314 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 5- 8 315 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 2-14 317 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 11- 2 318 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 10- 3 323 H Florida A&M SWAC ( 3- 8, 87.6) 8- 3 325 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 6- 3 327 A Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 0- 1 328 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 3- 5 329 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 4- 6 404 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 0-10 405 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 0- 4 406 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 1- 4 410 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 1 411 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 4 412 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 9 417 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 1- 9 418 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 4- 0 419 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 1- 7 422 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 0- 2 424 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 2- 6 425 A Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 11- 2 426 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 13- 5 430 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 0- 8 502 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 0-25 502 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 2- 7 505 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 6- 2 506 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 11- 8 507 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 9-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A North Florida 3-11 -8 0 --- -8.21
206 A Notre Dame 5- 4 1 1 -0.02
206 A Michigan State 9- 6 3 3 -0.42
207 A Clemson 10- 5 5 0 ++ 4.90
207 H Pittsburgh 11-12 -1 5 -- -5.78
208 H Penn State 4- 3 1 1 0.47
212 H Illinois 8- 0 8 5 + 2.51
213 H Campbell 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.59
213 H Bradley 14- 3 11 6 ++ 4.79
214 H Binghamton 11- 1 10 7 + 2.83
214 H Bradley 13- 5 8 6 1.79
219 A Oregon 10- 5 5 -2 +++ 7.49
219 A UCLA 1-23 -22 -6 --- -8.46
220 H BYU 10- 1 9 4 ++ 4.93
221 H Washington 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.75
221 H Cal State Fullerton 2- 1 1 1 0.33
222 A California 19- 5 14 3 +++ 11.32
226 H Troy 8- 7 1 3 -1.74
227 H Troy 10- 4 6 3 + 3.26
227 H Virginia Tech 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.47
228 H USC Upstate 13- 5 8 5 + 3.14
228 H Virginia Tech 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.47
301 H USC Upstate 2- 1 1 5 - -3.86
301 H USC Upstate 2- 1 1 5 - -3.86
306 H Kentucky 3- 8 -5 2 --- -6.77
307 H Kentucky 6- 2 4 2 + 2.23
307 H Kentucky 6- 5 1 2 -0.77
313 A Oklahoma 5-13 -8 -6 - -2.11
314 A Oklahoma 5- 8 -3 -6 + 2.89
315 A Oklahoma 2-14 -12 -6 --- -6.11
317 A South Alabama 11- 2 9 2 +++ 7.37
318 H Jacksonville State 10- 3 7 1 +++ 6.27
323 H Florida A&M 8- 3 5 8 - -2.91
325 H South Alabama 6- 3 3 3 -0.11
328 A South Alabama 3- 5 -2 2 - -3.63
329 H Missouri 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.00
404 A Arkansas 0-10 -10 -6 -- -4.34
405 A Arkansas 0- 4 -4 -6 1.66
406 A Arkansas 1- 4 -3 -6 + 2.66
411 H Alabama 0- 4 -4 -4 -0.36
412 H Alabama 1- 9 -8 -4 -- -4.36
417 A Florida 1- 9 -8 -4 -- -4.32
418 A Florida 4- 0 4 -4 +++ 7.68
419 A Florida 1- 7 -6 -4 - -2.32
422 A Troy 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.25
424 H Ole Miss 2- 6 -4 0 -- -4.19
425 A Iowa State 11- 2 9 0 +++ 9.04
426 A East Carolina 13- 5 8 3 ++ 5.27
430 H SE Louisiana 0- 8 -8 2 --- -9.83
502 A LSU 0-25 -25 -3 --- -10.99
502 A LSU 2- 7 -5 -3 -1.99
505 A Missouri 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.49
506 A Texas A&M 11- 8 3 -3 ++ 5.77
507 A Florida 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.68
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 A North Florida 3-11 -8 0 --- -8.21 219 A UCLA 1-23 -22 -6 --- -8.46 306 H Kentucky 3- 8 -5 2 --- -6.77 315 A Oklahoma 2-14 -12 -6 --- -6.11 430 H SE Louisiana 0- 8 -8 2 --- -9.83 502 A LSU 0-25 -25 -3 --- -10.99 207 H Pittsburgh 11-12 -1 5 -- -5.78 404 A Arkansas 0-10 -10 -6 -- -4.34 412 H Alabama 1- 9 -8 -4 -- -4.36 417 A Florida 1- 9 -8 -4 -- -4.32 424 H Ole Miss 2- 6 -4 0 -- -4.19 227 H Virginia Tech 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.47 228 H Virginia Tech 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.47 301 H USC Upstate 2- 1 1 5 - -3.86 301 H USC Upstate 2- 1 1 5 - -3.86 313 A Oklahoma 5-13 -8 -6 - -2.11 323 H Florida A&M 8- 3 5 8 - -2.91 328 A South Alabama 3- 5 -2 2 - -3.63 329 H Missouri 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.00 419 A Florida 1- 7 -6 -4 - -2.32 422 A Troy 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.25 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 A Oregon 10- 5 5 -2 +++ 7.49 222 A California 19- 5 14 3 +++ 11.32 317 A South Alabama 11- 2 9 2 +++ 7.37 318 H Jacksonville State 10- 3 7 1 +++ 6.27 418 A Florida 4- 0 4 -4 +++ 7.68 425 A Iowa State 11- 2 9 0 +++ 9.04 207 A Clemson 10- 5 5 0 ++ 4.90 213 H Campbell 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.59 213 H Bradley 14- 3 11 6 ++ 4.79 220 H BYU 10- 1 9 4 ++ 4.93 426 A East Carolina 13- 5 8 3 ++ 5.27 505 A Missouri 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.49 506 A Texas A&M 11- 8 3 -3 ++ 5.77 212 H Illinois 8- 0 8 5 + 2.51 214 H Binghamton 11- 1 10 7 + 2.83 227 H Troy 10- 4 6 3 + 3.26 228 H USC Upstate 13- 5 8 5 + 3.14 307 H Kentucky 6- 2 4 2 + 2.23 314 A Oklahoma 5- 8 -3 -6 + 2.89 406 A Arkansas 1- 4 -3 -6 + 2.66 507 A Florida 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.68 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A North Florida ( 6- 5, 93.8) 3-11 -6.10 13.27 0.74 0.45 -1.21
3 A Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 5- 4 -6.91 12.46 0.74 0.45 11.88
3 A Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 9- 6 -9.31 10.06 0.74 0.45 9.72
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 10- 5 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.45 12.72
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 11-12 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.45 -2.23
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 4- 3 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.45 12.32
3 H Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 8- 0 -9.90 9.47 -0.74 0.45 7.86
3 H Campbell ( 5- 9, 92.1) 11- 3 -7.81 11.56 -0.74 0.45 9.74
3 H Bradley ( 1- 6, 89.3) 14- 3 -10.61 8.76 -0.74 0.45 7.22
3 H Binghamton ( 1-13, 88.3) 11- 1 -11.57 7.80 -0.74 0.45 6.35
3 H Bradley ( 1- 6, 89.3) 13- 5 -10.61 8.76 -0.74 0.45 7.22
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 10- 5 -3.40 15.97 0.74 0.45 15.04
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 1-23 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.45 -0.09
3 H BYU (19-29, 91.4) 10- 1 -8.48 10.89 -0.74 0.45 9.14
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 2- 5 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.45 -0.88
3 H Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 2- 1 -5.08 14.29 -0.74 0.45 12.20
3 A California (17-34, 91.3) 19- 5 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.45 10.39
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 8- 7 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 0.45 10.34
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 10- 4 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 0.45 10.34
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 5- 9 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.45 -0.81
3 H USC Upstate ( 3-11, 90.6) 13- 5 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.45 8.43
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 2- 6 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.45 -0.81
3 H USC Upstate ( 3-11, 90.6) 2- 1 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.45 8.43
3 H USC Upstate ( 3-11, 90.6) 2- 1 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.45 8.43
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 3- 8 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.45 -1.56
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 6- 2 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.45 11.21
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 6- 5 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.45 11.21
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 5-13 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.45 -0.17
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 5- 8 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.45 -0.17
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 2-14 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.45 -0.17
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 11- 2 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.45 11.34
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 10- 3 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.45 12.15
3 H Florida A&M ( 3- 8, 87.6) 8- 3 -12.31 7.06 -0.74 0.45 5.68
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 6- 3 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 0.45 10.00
3 A Iowa State (33-21, 94.1) 0- 1 -5.85 13.52 0.74 0.45 -1.15
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 3- 5 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.45 -1.52
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 4- 6 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.45 -1.38
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 0-10 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.45 -0.11
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 0- 4 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.45 -0.11
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 1- 4 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.45 -0.11
3 H Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 1 -0.76 18.61 -0.74 0.45 -0.34
3 H Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 4 -0.76 18.61 -0.74 0.45 -0.34
3 H Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 9 -0.76 18.61 -0.74 0.45 -0.34
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 1- 9 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.45 -0.33
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 4- 0 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.45 16.12
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 1- 7 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.45 -0.33
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 0- 2 -7.14 12.23 0.74 0.45 -1.44
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 2- 6 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.45 -1.20
3 A Iowa State (33-21, 94.1) 11- 2 -5.85 13.52 0.74 0.45 12.84
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 13- 5 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.45 10.34
3 H SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 0- 8 -6.23 13.14 -0.74 0.45 -1.57
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 0-25 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.45 -0.48
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 2- 7 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.45 -0.48
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 6- 2 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.45 13.24
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 11- 8 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.45 15.30
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 9-10 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.45 -0.33
------
287.51
|
winning pts = 307.1797 losing points = -19.6702
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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