Ball State
W-L: ( 4- 5) PR = 91.7397Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 3- 5 213 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 6- 2 227 H Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 7- 6 228 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 4- 6 301 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 2- 4 301 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 2- 4 306 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 7- 5 307 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 1- 8 308 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 3- 1
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Charlotte 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.70
213 A Memphis 6- 2 4 2 + 2.46
227 H Illinois 7- 6 1 2 -1.48
228 A Western Kentucky 4- 6 -2 -3 0.59
301 A Illinois 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.00
301 A Illinois 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.00
306 A Louisville 7- 5 2 -5 +++ 6.56
307 A Louisville 1- 8 -7 -5 - -2.44
308 A Illinois 3- 1 2 1 1.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Illinois 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.00 301 A Illinois 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.00 307 A Louisville 1- 8 -7 -5 - -2.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Louisville 7- 5 2 -5 +++ 6.56 213 A Memphis 6- 2 4 2 + 2.46 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 3- 5 -7.60 11.77 0.74 2.80 -9.60
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 6- 2 -10.44 8.93 0.74 2.80 54.17
3 H Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 7- 6 -9.90 9.47 -0.74 2.80 48.90
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 4- 6 -6.31 13.06 0.74 2.80 -7.80
3 A Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 2- 4 -9.90 9.47 0.74 2.80 -12.82
3 A Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 2- 4 -9.90 9.47 0.74 2.80 -12.82
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 7- 5 -4.35 15.02 0.74 2.80 88.30
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 1- 8 -4.35 15.02 0.74 2.80 -5.05
3 A Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 3- 1 -9.90 9.47 0.74 2.80 57.21
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200.48
|
winning pts = 248.5721 losing points = -48.0889
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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