Baylor
W-L: (32-26) PR = 94.2256Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 0-10 206 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 8- 7 206 H Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 3- 2 207 H Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 9- 8 208 H Northwestern State SL ( 3-11, 90.0) 9- 1 210 H South Dakota State SM ( 8-14, 92.0) 10- 2 212 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 3- 4 213 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 11- 2 213 H Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 5- 4 214 A Fordham A10 ( 0- 9, 89.7) 6- 1 214 H North Dakota SM ( 4- 5, 91.6) 2- 0 220 A Lipscomb ASUN ( 1-10, 88.6) 6- 4 221 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 3- 2 221 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 0- 8 222 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 0- 3 225 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 6- 3 228 H McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 4- 5 228 H McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 2- 6 301 H McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 8- 0 301 H McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 8- 0 303 H Stephen F. Austin SL ( 6- 5, 92.9) 4- 0 306 H Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 8- 1 306 H Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 4- 2 311 A Stetson ASUN ( 1-13, 91.5) 9- 1 313 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 3- 4 314 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 12- 3 315 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 8- 2 320 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 2-10 321 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 0-11 324 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 8- 0 327 H Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 2- 4 328 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 7- 5 329 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 3- 6 331 H Incarnate Word SL ( 4-10, 90.2) 11- 9 402 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 2- 3 403 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 7- 2 404 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 1-10 406 H Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 8-10 408 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 4- 5 410 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 8- 7 410 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 0- 1 411 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 4- 5 415 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 3-10 417 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 9- 1 418 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 2- 8 419 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 3- 2 422 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 4- 3 424 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 2- 4 425 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 1- 9 426 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 1- 0 430 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 3 501 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 8- 7 502 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0- 8 507 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0- 7 515 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 1- 2 516 H Wagner NE ( 0- 4, 90.0) 9- 0 516 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 5- 2 517 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 0- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Mississippi State 0-10 -10 -2 --- -8.44
206 H New Mexico 8- 7 1 3 -1.77
206 H Wichita State 3- 2 1 0 0.69
207 H Wichita State 9- 8 1 0 0.69
208 H Northwestern State 9- 1 8 5 + 3.06
210 H South Dakota State 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.08
212 A San Diego State 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.23
213 A San Diego State 11- 2 9 1 +++ 7.77
213 H Oregon State 5- 4 1 4 - -3.36
214 A Fordham 6- 1 5 4 1.27
214 H North Dakota 2- 0 2 3 -1.40
220 A Lipscomb 6- 4 2 5 - -2.87
221 H Coastal Carolina 3- 2 1 3 - -2.49
221 A Clemson 0- 8 -8 0 --- -7.57
222 A Clemson 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.57
225 A Sam Houston 6- 3 3 2 1.16
228 H McNeese 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.15
228 H McNeese 2- 6 -4 2 --- -6.15
301 H McNeese 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.85
301 H McNeese 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.85
303 H Stephen F. Austin 4- 0 4 2 1.91
306 H Iowa State 8- 1 7 1 +++ 6.08
306 H Iowa State 4- 2 2 1 1.08
311 A Stetson 9- 1 8 2 +++ 6.02
313 A UCF 3- 4 -1 -3 1.77
314 A UCF 12- 3 9 -3 +++ 11.77
315 A UCF 8- 2 6 -3 +++ 8.77
320 A Texas 2-10 -8 -5 - -2.53
321 H Texas 0-11 -11 -4 --- -7.01
324 H UT Arlington 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.18
327 H Nebraska 2- 4 -2 -4 1.72
328 H New Mexico State 7- 5 2 3 -1.05
329 A Arizona 3- 6 -3 -4 0.59
331 H Incarnate Word 11- 9 2 5 - -2.75
402 H Houston 2- 3 -1 4 -- -4.86
403 H Houston 7- 2 5 4 1.14
404 H Houston 1-10 -9 4 --- -12.86
406 H Lamar 8-10 -2 2 -- -4.34
408 A UT Arlington 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.34
410 A Kansas 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.71
411 A Kansas 4- 5 -1 -2 0.71
415 H Texas A&M 3-10 -7 -2 -- -5.18
417 H Utah 9- 1 8 0 +++ 8.35
418 H Utah 2- 8 -6 0 -- -5.65
419 H Utah 3- 2 1 0 1.35
422 A Texas State 4- 3 1 0 1.12
424 H Oklahoma State 2- 4 -2 -2 0.14
425 H Oklahoma State 1- 9 -8 -2 -- -5.86
430 H Alabama 0- 3 -3 -4 1.17
501 A Texas Tech 8- 7 1 -6 +++ 6.76
502 A Texas Tech 0- 8 -8 -6 - -2.24
507 A Texas Tech 0- 7 -7 -6 -1.24
515 A Wisconsin 1- 2 -1 0 -0.66
516 H Wagner 9- 0 9 5 + 3.99
516 H Wisconsin 5- 2 3 1 1.86
517 H Texas 0- 7 -7 -4 - -3.01
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 H Mississippi State 0-10 -10 -2 --- -8.44 221 A Clemson 0- 8 -8 0 --- -7.57 228 H McNeese 2- 6 -4 2 --- -6.15 321 H Texas 0-11 -11 -4 --- -7.01 404 H Houston 1-10 -9 4 --- -12.86 402 H Houston 2- 3 -1 4 -- -4.86 406 H Lamar 8-10 -2 2 -- -4.34 415 H Texas A&M 3-10 -7 -2 -- -5.18 418 H Utah 2- 8 -6 0 -- -5.65 425 H Oklahoma State 1- 9 -8 -2 -- -5.86 212 A San Diego State 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.23 213 H Oregon State 5- 4 1 4 - -3.36 220 A Lipscomb 6- 4 2 5 - -2.87 221 H Coastal Carolina 3- 2 1 3 - -2.49 222 A Clemson 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.57 228 H McNeese 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.15 320 A Texas 2-10 -8 -5 - -2.53 331 H Incarnate Word 11- 9 2 5 - -2.75 408 A UT Arlington 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.34 502 A Texas Tech 0- 8 -8 -6 - -2.24 517 H Texas 0- 7 -7 -4 - -3.01 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A San Diego State 11- 2 9 1 +++ 7.77 306 H Iowa State 8- 1 7 1 +++ 6.08 311 A Stetson 9- 1 8 2 +++ 6.02 314 A UCF 12- 3 9 -3 +++ 11.77 315 A UCF 8- 2 6 -3 +++ 8.77 417 H Utah 9- 1 8 0 +++ 8.35 501 A Texas Tech 8- 7 1 -6 +++ 6.76 210 H South Dakota State 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.08 301 H McNeese 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.85 301 H McNeese 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.85 324 H UT Arlington 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.18 208 H Northwestern State 9- 1 8 5 + 3.06 410 A Kansas 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.71 516 H Wagner 9- 0 9 5 + 3.99 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 0-10 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.43 -0.89
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 8- 7 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.43 9.49
3 H Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 3- 2 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.43 11.63
3 H Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 9- 8 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.43 11.63
3 H Northwestern S ( 3-11, 90.0) 9- 1 -9.87 9.50 -0.74 0.43 7.61
3 H South Dakota S ( 8-14, 92.0) 10- 2 -7.86 11.51 -0.74 0.43 9.36
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 3- 4 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.43 -1.50
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 11- 2 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.43 10.83
3 H Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 5- 4 -9.29 10.08 -0.74 0.43 8.11
3 A Fordham ( 0- 9, 89.7) 6- 1 -10.15 9.22 0.74 0.43 8.66
3 H North Dakota ( 4- 5, 91.6) 2- 0 -8.33 11.04 -0.74 0.43 8.95
3 A Lipscomb ( 1-10, 88.6) 6- 4 -11.29 8.08 0.74 0.43 7.67
3 H Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 3- 2 -8.42 10.95 -0.74 0.43 8.87
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 0- 8 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.43 -1.14
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 0- 3 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.43 -1.14
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 6- 3 -8.26 11.11 0.74 0.43 10.30
3 H McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 4- 5 -7.09 12.28 -0.74 0.43 -1.70
3 H McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 2- 6 -7.09 12.28 -0.74 0.43 -1.70
3 H McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 8- 0 -7.09 12.28 -0.74 0.43 10.03
3 H McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 8- 0 -7.09 12.28 -0.74 0.43 10.03
3 H Stephen F. Aus ( 6- 5, 92.9) 4- 0 -7.02 12.35 -0.74 0.43 10.09
3 H Iowa State (33-21, 94.1) 8- 1 -5.85 13.52 -0.74 0.43 11.11
3 H Iowa State (33-21, 94.1) 4- 2 -5.85 13.52 -0.74 0.43 11.11
3 A Stetson ( 1-13, 91.5) 9- 1 -8.40 10.97 0.74 0.43 10.18
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 3- 4 -3.65 15.72 0.74 0.43 -0.63
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 12- 3 -3.65 15.72 0.74 0.43 14.31
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 8- 2 -3.65 15.72 0.74 0.43 14.31
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 2-10 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.43 -0.04
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 0-11 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.43 -0.37
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 8- 0 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.43 8.58
3 H Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 2- 4 -1.22 18.15 -0.74 0.43 -0.43
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 7- 5 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.43 9.25
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 3- 6 -2.83 16.54 0.74 0.43 -0.45
3 H Incarnate Word ( 4-10, 90.2) 11- 9 -9.68 9.69 -0.74 0.43 7.78
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 2- 3 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.43 -2.07
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 7- 2 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.43 8.55
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 1-10 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.43 -2.07
3 H Lamar (10- 7, 92.6) 8-10 -7.27 12.10 -0.74 0.43 -1.74
3 A UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 4- 5 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.43 -1.74
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 8- 7 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.43 13.39
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 0- 1 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.43 -0.86
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 4- 5 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.43 -0.86
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 3-10 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 0.43 -0.84
3 H Utah (36-19, 95.3) 9- 1 -4.58 14.79 -0.74 0.43 12.21
3 H Utah (36-19, 95.3) 2- 8 -4.58 14.79 -0.74 0.43 -1.16
3 H Utah (36-19, 95.3) 3- 2 -4.58 14.79 -0.74 0.43 12.21
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 4- 3 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.43 12.01
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 2- 4 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.43 -0.77
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 1- 9 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.43 -0.77
3 A Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 1- 0 -6.05 13.32 0.74 0.43 12.22
3 H Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 3 -0.76 18.61 -0.74 0.43 -0.33
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 8- 7 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.43 16.91
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0- 8 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.43 -0.02
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0- 7 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.43 -0.02
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 1- 2 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.43 -1.16
3 H Wagner ( 0- 4, 90.0) 9- 0 -9.94 9.43 -0.74 0.43 7.55
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 5- 2 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.43 10.91
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 0- 7 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.43 -0.37
------
311.09
|
winning pts = 335.8566 losing points = -24.7625
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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