UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Belmont
  
Belmont               
W-L: ( 5- 5) PR = 93.3038

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 9- 0 207 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 0-12 207 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 3- 0 208 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 2- 1 220 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 1- 0 221 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 1- 4 303 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 0- 1 515 A SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 2- 0 516 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 3 516 H USC Upstate BSO ( 3-11, 90.6) 1-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Missouri State          9- 0       9     2    +++    7.24
   207 A Georgia                 0-12     -12    -5    ---   -6.87
   207 H Missouri State          3- 0       3     3          -0.25
   208 A Georgia                 2- 1       1    -5    +++    6.13
   221 A Mississippi State       1- 4      -3    -4           0.97
   515 A SE Louisiana            2- 0       2    -1    +      3.11
   516 H Alabama                 0- 3      -3    -5    +      2.09
   516 H USC Upstate             1-10      -9     3    ---  -12.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Georgia                 0-12     -12    -5    ---   -6.87
   516 H USC Upstate             1-10      -9     3    ---  -12.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Missouri State          9- 0       9     2    +++    7.24
   208 A Georgia                 2- 1       1    -5    +++    6.13
   515 A SE Louisiana            2- 0       2    -1    +      3.11
   516 H Alabama                 0- 3      -3    -5    +      2.09

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Missouri State  (20-30, 90.8)     9- 0       -9.10      10.27       0.74         2.52            55.50
   3 A Georgia         (44-17, 97.7)     0-12       -2.21      17.16       0.74         2.52            -1.85
   3 H Missouri State  (20-30, 90.8)     3- 0       -9.10      10.27      -0.74         2.52            48.02
   3 A Georgia         (44-17, 97.7)     2- 1       -2.21      17.16       0.74         2.52            90.26
   3 A Mississippi St  (43-20, 96.5)     1- 0       -3.37      16.00       0.74         2.52            84.38
   3 A Mississippi St  (43-20, 96.5)     1- 4       -3.37      16.00       0.74         2.52            -3.32
   3 A Tennessee       (45-15, 96.9)     0- 1       -2.99      16.38       0.74         2.52            -2.83
   3 A SE Louisiana    (12-15, 93.7)     2- 0       -6.23      13.14       0.74         2.52            69.96
   3 H Alabama         (58- 8, 99.1)     0- 3       -0.76      18.61      -0.74         2.52            -1.90
   3 H USC Upstate     ( 3-11, 90.6)     1-10       -9.27      10.10      -0.74         2.52           -12.61
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       325.62

winning pts = 348.1192 losing points = -22.4983

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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