Boise State
W-L: (26-30) PR = 92.4324Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 0- 3 206 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 3- 2 206 A Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 5- 6 207 H Portland State BSKY ( 2- 9, 88.5) 10- 2 207 A Cal State Northridge BW ( 3- 6, 88.7) 24- 6 208 A Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 4- 1 213 H Fairleigh Dickinson NE ( 0- 3, 85.2) 2- 0 213 A Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 6- 3 214 H Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 7- 8 214 A Omaha SM (12- 7, 95.8) 0- 2 215 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 5- 1 219 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 2-11 220 A Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 8- 2 221 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 0-10 221 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 5- 4 222 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 2- 3 227 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 1-10 227 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 1- 4 228 H Omaha SM (12- 7, 95.8) 6-12 228 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 1-10 301 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 6- 3 301 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 6- 3 305 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 1- 5 305 H Portland State BSKY ( 2- 9, 88.5) 8- 1 306 H Portland State BSKY ( 2- 9, 88.5) 1- 4 307 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 9- 5 307 H St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 1- 4 308 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 9- 1 313 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 6- 2 314 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 0- 8 315 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 4- 9 317 A Sacramento State BSKY ( 3-12, 90.8) 4- 1 317 A Sacramento State BSKY ( 3-12, 90.8) 5- 1 320 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 5- 3 321 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 3- 2 322 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 1- 7 327 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 13- 7 328 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 3- 6 329 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 6- 7 402 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 1- 6 403 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 2- 9 404 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 2- 6 408 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 11- 6 408 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 13- 2 410 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 4- 9 411 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 1- 6 414 A Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 3- 5 417 H UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 5- 6 418 H UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 6-10 419 H UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 6- 9 424 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 5- 4 425 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 1- 8 426 H Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 5- 8 430 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 11- 2 501 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 7- 5 502 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 11- 0
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A Loyola Marymount 0- 3 -3 -2 -0.89
206 H Ole Miss 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.12
206 A Cal State Fullerton 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.13
207 H Portland State 10- 2 8 5 + 3.28
207 A Cal State Northridge 24- 6 18 3 +++ 11.04
208 A Cal State Fullerton 4- 1 3 -3 +++ 6.13
213 H Fairleigh Dickinson 2- 0 2 8 -- -6.00
213 A Weber State 6- 3 3 4 -0.74
214 H Southern Utah 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.46
214 A Omaha 0- 2 -2 -4 + 2.08
215 H San José State 5- 1 4 3 0.74
219 H Arizona 2-11 -9 -4 -- -5.10
220 A Santa Clara 8- 2 6 1 ++ 4.62
221 H Texas 0-10 -10 -6 -- -4.22
221 A Stanford 5- 4 1 -5 ++ 5.64
222 A Stanford 2- 3 -1 -5 + 3.64
227 A Arkansas 1-10 -9 -8 -1.02
227 A Kansas 1- 4 -3 -4 0.50
228 H Omaha 6-12 -6 -3 - -3.40
228 H Kansas 1-10 -9 -2 --- -6.98
301 A Charlotte 6- 3 3 -1 + 3.61
301 A Charlotte 6- 3 3 -1 + 3.61
305 H California Baptist 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.96
305 H Portland State 8- 1 7 5 + 2.28
306 H Portland State 1- 4 -3 5 --- -7.72
307 H Weber State 9- 5 4 5 -1.22
307 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 1- 4 -3 -3 0.12
308 H Weber State 9- 1 8 5 + 2.78
313 A Nevada 6- 2 4 -4 +++ 7.76
314 A Nevada 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.24
315 A Nevada 4- 9 -5 -4 -1.24
317 A Sacramento State 4- 1 3 1 + 2.13
317 A Sacramento State 5- 1 4 1 + 3.13
320 H Fresno State 5- 3 2 2 0.42
321 H Fresno State 3- 2 1 2 -0.58
322 H Fresno State 1- 7 -6 2 --- -7.58
327 H App State 13- 7 6 1 ++ 5.49
328 H Sam Houston 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.53
329 A Colorado State 6- 7 -1 0 -1.26
402 H New Mexico 1- 6 -5 1 -- -5.98
403 H New Mexico 2- 9 -7 1 --- -7.98
404 H New Mexico 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.98
408 A Utah State 11- 6 5 2 + 2.71
408 A Utah State 13- 2 11 2 +++ 8.71
410 A Grand Canyon 4- 9 -5 -4 -1.02
411 A Grand Canyon 1- 6 -5 -4 -1.02
414 A Idaho State 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.36
417 H UNLV 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.67
418 H UNLV 6-10 -4 2 -- -5.67
419 H UNLV 6- 9 -3 2 -- -4.67
424 A San Diego State 5- 4 1 -1 1.56
425 H Arizona 1- 8 -7 -4 - -3.10
426 H Oregon 5- 8 -3 -3 0.33
430 A San Diego State 11- 2 9 -1 +++ 9.56
501 H San José State 7- 5 2 3 -1.26
502 H San José State 11- 0 11 3 +++ 7.74
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Kansas 1-10 -9 -2 --- -6.98 306 H Portland State 1- 4 -3 5 --- -7.72 322 H Fresno State 1- 7 -6 2 --- -7.58 403 H New Mexico 2- 9 -7 1 --- -7.98 213 H Fairleigh Dickinson 2- 0 2 8 -- -6.00 219 H Arizona 2-11 -9 -4 -- -5.10 221 H Texas 0-10 -10 -6 -- -4.22 314 A Nevada 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.24 328 H Sam Houston 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.53 402 H New Mexico 1- 6 -5 1 -- -5.98 404 H New Mexico 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.98 418 H UNLV 6-10 -4 2 -- -5.67 419 H UNLV 6- 9 -3 2 -- -4.67 214 H Southern Utah 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.46 228 H Omaha 6-12 -6 -3 - -3.40 305 H California Baptist 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.96 414 A Idaho State 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.36 417 H UNLV 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.67 425 H Arizona 1- 8 -7 -4 - -3.10 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Cal State Northridge 24- 6 18 3 +++ 11.04 208 A Cal State Fullerton 4- 1 3 -3 +++ 6.13 313 A Nevada 6- 2 4 -4 +++ 7.76 408 A Utah State 13- 2 11 2 +++ 8.71 430 A San Diego State 11- 2 9 -1 +++ 9.56 502 H San José State 11- 0 11 3 +++ 7.74 220 A Santa Clara 8- 2 6 1 ++ 4.62 221 A Stanford 5- 4 1 -5 ++ 5.64 327 H App State 13- 7 6 1 ++ 5.49 206 H Ole Miss 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.12 206 A Cal State Fullerton 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.13 207 H Portland State 10- 2 8 5 + 3.28 214 A Omaha 0- 2 -2 -4 + 2.08 222 A Stanford 2- 3 -1 -5 + 3.64 301 A Charlotte 6- 3 3 -1 + 3.61 301 A Charlotte 6- 3 3 -1 + 3.61 305 H Portland State 8- 1 7 5 + 2.28 308 H Weber State 9- 1 8 5 + 2.78 317 A Sacramento State 4- 1 3 1 + 2.13 317 A Sacramento State 5- 1 4 1 + 3.13 408 A Utah State 11- 6 5 2 + 2.71 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Loyola Marymou (12- 8, 93.8) 0- 3 -6.10 13.27 0.74 0.45 -1.21
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 3- 2 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.45 12.63
3 A Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 5- 6 -5.08 14.29 0.74 0.45 -0.98
3 H Portland State ( 2- 9, 88.5) 10- 2 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 0.45 6.46
3 A Cal State Nort ( 3- 6, 88.7) 24- 6 -11.17 8.20 0.74 0.45 8.05
3 A Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 4- 1 -5.08 14.29 0.74 0.45 13.53
3 H Fairleigh Dick ( 0- 3, 85.2) 2- 0 -14.72 4.65 -0.74 0.45 3.51
3 A Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 6- 3 -11.95 7.42 0.74 0.45 7.35
3 H Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 7- 8 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.45 -2.24
3 A Omaha (12- 7, 95.8) 0- 2 -4.13 15.24 0.74 0.45 -0.76
3 H San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 5- 1 -9.99 9.38 -0.74 0.45 7.78
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 2-11 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.45 -0.80
3 A Santa Clara ( 5-13, 90.3) 8- 2 -9.59 9.78 0.74 0.45 9.47
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 0-10 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.45 -0.38
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 5- 4 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.45 14.89
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 2- 3 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.45 -0.64
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 1-10 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.45 -0.11
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 1- 4 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.45 -0.89
3 H Omaha (12- 7, 95.8) 6-12 -4.13 15.24 -0.74 0.45 -1.10
3 H Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 1-10 -4.71 14.66 -0.74 0.45 -1.23
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 6- 3 -7.60 11.77 0.74 0.45 11.26
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 6- 3 -7.60 11.77 0.74 0.45 11.26
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 1- 5 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.45 -1.67
3 H Portland State ( 2- 9, 88.5) 8- 1 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 0.45 6.46
3 H Portland State ( 2- 9, 88.5) 1- 4 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 0.45 -2.74
3 H Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 9- 5 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.45 6.01
3 H St. Thomas-Min (12- 7, 96.3) 1- 4 -3.61 15.76 -0.74 0.45 -0.98
3 H Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 9- 1 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.45 6.01
3 A Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 6- 2 -4.45 14.92 0.74 0.45 14.10
3 A Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 0- 8 -4.45 14.92 0.74 0.45 -0.84
3 A Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 4- 9 -4.45 14.92 0.74 0.45 -0.84
3 A Sacramento Sta ( 3-12, 90.8) 4- 1 -9.08 10.29 0.74 0.45 9.93
3 A Sacramento Sta ( 3-12, 90.8) 5- 1 -9.08 10.29 0.74 0.45 9.93
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 5- 3 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 0.45 9.29
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 3- 2 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 0.45 9.29
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 1- 7 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 0.45 -2.04
3 H App State (29-22, 92.7) 13- 7 -7.23 12.14 -0.74 0.45 10.26
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 3- 6 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 0.45 -2.03
3 A Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 6- 7 -8.47 10.90 0.74 0.45 -1.74
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 1- 6 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.45 -1.90
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 2- 9 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.45 -1.90
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 2- 6 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.45 -1.90
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 11- 6 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.45 8.65
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 13- 2 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.45 8.65
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 4- 9 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.45 -0.78
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 1- 6 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.45 -0.78
3 A Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 3- 5 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.45 -1.76
3 H UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 5- 6 -8.39 10.98 -0.74 0.45 -2.06
3 H UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 6-10 -8.39 10.98 -0.74 0.45 -2.06
3 H UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 6- 9 -8.39 10.98 -0.74 0.45 -2.06
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 5- 4 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.45 11.22
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 1- 8 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.45 -0.80
3 H Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 5- 8 -3.40 15.97 -0.74 0.45 -0.93
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 11- 2 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.45 11.22
3 H San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 7- 5 -9.99 9.38 -0.74 0.45 7.78
3 H San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 11- 0 -9.99 9.38 -0.74 0.45 7.78
------
202.67
|
winning pts = 242.7956 losing points = -40.1282
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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