California Baptist
W-L: (37-19) PR = 93.2102Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 8- 0 206 H UIC MV ( 4- 4, 88.7) 12- 0 206 H Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 8- 9 207 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 4- 1 207 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 3- 9 212 H Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 1- 6 213 H Saint Francis NE ( 0-11, 86.7) 6- 3 213 H Cal State Bakersfield BW ( 0-18, 86.8) 10- 1 214 H Cal State Bakersfield BW ( 0-18, 86.8) 9- 0 214 H Saint Francis NE ( 0-11, 86.7) 4- 0 217 H Hawai'i BW ( 0- 7, 87.6) 9- 0 219 H UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 12- 5 219 A Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 4- 3 220 A Seattle U WC ( 2- 4, 93.0) 9- 8 220 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 5- 2 221 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 5- 4 224 H San Diego WC ( 2- 7, 88.8) 12- 3 227 H Cal State Bakersfield BW ( 0-18, 86.8) 9- 0 227 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 4- 1 228 A Cal State Bakersfield BW ( 0-18, 86.8) 14- 0 228 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 5-10 303 H Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 0- 3 305 A Portland State BSKY ( 2- 9, 88.5) 3- 7 305 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 5- 1 306 H St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 3-11 306 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 6- 4 307 A Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 5- 6 311 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 0- 8 313 H North Dakota State SM ( 4- 7, 92.2) 2- 1 313 H North Dakota State SM ( 4- 7, 92.2) 0- 5 314 H North Dakota State SM ( 4- 7, 92.2) 2- 1 320 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 2- 0 320 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 3- 6 321 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 7- 3 324 H UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 1- 4 327 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 3- 0 328 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 3-12 328 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 6- 6 331 H Cal State Northridge BW ( 3- 6, 88.7) 4- 3 403 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 8- 0 403 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 6- 3 404 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 3- 2 407 H UC Riverside BW ( 2-11, 89.5) 3- 0 410 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 11- 8 410 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 0- 2 411 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 7- 4 414 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 6-13 416 H UC Riverside BW ( 2-11, 89.5) 2- 1 421 H Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 0- 2 424 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 13- 0 424 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 10- 3 425 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 10- 0 501 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 7- 0 501 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 0- 1 502 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 7- 6 515 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 11-12 516 A Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 2- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A UNLV 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.04
206 H UIC 12- 0 12 5 +++ 6.80
206 H Purdue 8- 9 -1 0 -0.50
207 A UNLV 4- 1 3 1 + 2.04
207 A Purdue 3- 9 -6 -2 -- -4.02
212 H Loyola Marymount 1- 6 -5 0 -- -5.16
213 H Saint Francis 6- 3 3 7 -- -4.21
213 H Cal State Bakersfield 10- 1 9 7 1.84
214 H Cal State Bakersfield 9- 0 9 7 1.84
214 H Saint Francis 4- 0 4 7 - -3.21
217 H Hawai'i 9- 0 9 6 + 2.63
219 H UC San Diego 12- 5 7 4 + 3.45
219 A Oregon State 4- 3 1 2 -0.86
220 A Seattle U 9- 8 1 -1 1.58
220 A Fresno State 5- 2 3 1 + 2.13
221 H Utah 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.37
224 H San Diego 12- 3 9 5 + 3.86
227 H Cal State Bakersfield 9- 0 9 7 1.84
227 A Wisconsin 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.36
228 A Cal State Bakersfield 14- 0 14 6 +++ 8.32
228 A Arizona State 5-10 -5 -4 -1.02
303 H Loyola Marymount 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.16
305 A Portland State 3- 7 -4 4 --- -8.02
305 A Boise State 5- 1 4 0 + 3.96
306 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 3-11 -8 -2 -- -5.66
306 H Weber State 6- 4 2 6 - -4.00
307 A Weber State 5- 6 -1 5 -- -5.51
311 A San Diego State 0- 8 -8 0 --- -8.22
313 H North Dakota State 2- 1 1 2 -0.78
313 H North Dakota State 0- 5 -5 2 --- -6.78
314 H North Dakota State 2- 1 1 2 -0.78
320 A Southern Utah 2- 0 2 2 0.24
320 A Southern Utah 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.76
321 A Southern Utah 7- 3 4 2 + 2.24
324 H UC San Diego 1- 4 -3 4 --- -6.55
327 A Middle Tennessee 3- 0 3 2 0.78
328 A Arizona State 3-12 -9 -4 -- -5.02
328 A UCLA 6- 6 0 -7 +++ 7.08
331 H Cal State Northridge 4- 3 1 5 -- -4.22
403 H Utah Tech 8- 0 8 5 + 3.24
403 H Utah Tech 6- 3 3 5 -1.76
404 H Utah Tech 3- 2 1 5 - -3.76
407 H UC Riverside 3- 0 3 4 -1.49
410 A UT Arlington 11- 8 3 1 1.68
410 A UT Arlington 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.32
411 A UT Arlington 7- 4 3 1 1.68
414 A UCLA 6-13 -7 -7 0.08
416 H UC Riverside 2- 1 1 4 - -3.49
421 H Cal State Fullerton 0- 2 -2 -1 -1.13
424 A Abilene Christian 13- 0 13 5 +++ 8.27
424 A Abilene Christian 10- 3 7 5 + 2.27
425 A Abilene Christian 10- 0 10 5 ++ 5.27
501 H Tarleton State 7- 0 7 2 ++ 4.52
502 H Tarleton State 7- 6 1 2 -1.48
515 A UCLA 11-12 -1 -7 +++ 6.08
516 A Cal State Fullerton 2- 3 -1 -2 1.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 A Portland State 3- 7 -4 4 --- -8.02 311 A San Diego State 0- 8 -8 0 --- -8.22 313 H North Dakota State 0- 5 -5 2 --- -6.78 324 H UC San Diego 1- 4 -3 4 --- -6.55 207 A Purdue 3- 9 -6 -2 -- -4.02 212 H Loyola Marymount 1- 6 -5 0 -- -5.16 213 H Saint Francis 6- 3 3 7 -- -4.21 306 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 3-11 -8 -2 -- -5.66 307 A Weber State 5- 6 -1 5 -- -5.51 320 A Southern Utah 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.76 328 A Arizona State 3-12 -9 -4 -- -5.02 331 H Cal State Northridge 4- 3 1 5 -- -4.22 214 H Saint Francis 4- 0 4 7 - -3.21 303 H Loyola Marymount 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.16 306 H Weber State 6- 4 2 6 - -4.00 404 H Utah Tech 3- 2 1 5 - -3.76 410 A UT Arlington 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.32 416 H UC Riverside 2- 1 1 4 - -3.49 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 A UNLV 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.04 206 H UIC 12- 0 12 5 +++ 6.80 228 A Cal State Bakersfield 14- 0 14 6 +++ 8.32 328 A UCLA 6- 6 0 -7 +++ 7.08 424 A Abilene Christian 13- 0 13 5 +++ 8.27 515 A UCLA 11-12 -1 -7 +++ 6.08 227 A Wisconsin 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.36 425 A Abilene Christian 10- 0 10 5 ++ 5.27 501 H Tarleton State 7- 0 7 2 ++ 4.52 207 A UNLV 4- 1 3 1 + 2.04 217 H Hawai'i 9- 0 9 6 + 2.63 219 H UC San Diego 12- 5 7 4 + 3.45 220 A Fresno State 5- 2 3 1 + 2.13 221 H Utah 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.37 224 H San Diego 12- 3 9 5 + 3.86 305 A Boise State 5- 1 4 0 + 3.96 321 A Southern Utah 7- 3 4 2 + 2.24 403 H Utah Tech 8- 0 8 5 + 3.24 424 A Abilene Christian 10- 3 7 5 + 2.27 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 8- 0 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.44 10.36
3 H UIC ( 4- 4, 88.7) 12- 0 -11.15 8.22 -0.74 0.44 6.61
3 H Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 8- 9 -5.45 13.92 -0.74 0.44 -1.37
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 4- 1 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.44 10.36
3 A Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 3- 9 -5.45 13.92 0.74 0.44 -1.04
3 H Loyola Marymou (12- 8, 93.8) 1- 6 -6.10 13.27 -0.74 0.44 -1.51
3 H Saint Francis ( 0-11, 86.7) 6- 3 -13.16 6.21 -0.74 0.44 4.84
3 H Cal State Bake ( 0-18, 86.8) 10- 1 -13.11 6.26 -0.74 0.44 4.88
3 H Cal State Bake ( 0-18, 86.8) 9- 0 -13.11 6.26 -0.74 0.44 4.88
3 H Saint Francis ( 0-11, 86.7) 4- 0 -13.16 6.21 -0.74 0.44 4.84
3 H Hawai'i ( 0- 7, 87.6) 9- 0 -12.32 7.05 -0.74 0.44 5.58
3 H UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 12- 5 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.44 8.08
3 A Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 4- 3 -9.29 10.08 0.74 0.44 9.57
3 A Seattle U ( 2- 4, 93.0) 9- 8 -6.86 12.51 0.74 0.44 11.72
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 5- 2 -8.30 11.07 0.74 0.44 10.44
3 H Utah (36-19, 95.3) 5- 4 -4.58 14.79 -0.74 0.44 12.42
3 H San Diego ( 2- 7, 88.8) 12- 3 -11.09 8.28 -0.74 0.44 6.67
3 H Cal State Bake ( 0-18, 86.8) 9- 0 -13.11 6.26 -0.74 0.44 4.88
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 4- 1 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.44 12.42
3 A Cal State Bake ( 0-18, 86.8) 14- 0 -13.11 6.26 0.74 0.44 6.19
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 5-10 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.44 -0.60
3 H Loyola Marymou (12- 8, 93.8) 0- 3 -6.10 13.27 -0.74 0.44 -1.51
3 A Portland State ( 2- 9, 88.5) 3- 7 -11.45 7.92 0.74 0.44 -2.37
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 5- 1 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.44 11.18
3 H St. Thomas-Min (12- 7, 96.3) 3-11 -3.61 15.76 -0.74 0.44 -0.96
3 H Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 6- 4 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.44 5.91
3 A Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 5- 6 -11.95 7.42 0.74 0.44 -2.48
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 0- 8 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.44 -1.53
3 H North Dakota S ( 4- 7, 92.2) 2- 1 -7.72 11.65 -0.74 0.44 9.64
3 H North Dakota S ( 4- 7, 92.2) 0- 5 -7.72 11.65 -0.74 0.44 -1.87
3 H North Dakota S ( 4- 7, 92.2) 2- 1 -7.72 11.65 -0.74 0.44 9.64
3 A Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 2- 0 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.44 9.66
3 A Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 3- 6 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.44 -1.87
3 A Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 7- 3 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.44 9.66
3 H UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 1- 4 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.44 -2.26
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 3- 0 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.44 9.25
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 3-12 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.44 -0.60
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 6- 6 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.44 0.00
3 H Cal State Nort ( 3- 6, 88.7) 4- 3 -11.17 8.20 -0.74 0.44 6.60
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 8- 0 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 0.44 7.00
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 6- 3 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 0.44 7.00
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 3- 2 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 0.44 7.00
3 H UC Riverside ( 2-11, 89.5) 3- 0 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.44 7.24
3 A UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 11- 8 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.44 10.05
3 A UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 0- 2 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.44 -1.77
3 A UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 7- 4 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.44 10.05
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 6-13 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.44 -0.09
3 H UC Riverside ( 2-11, 89.5) 2- 1 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.44 7.24
3 H Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 0- 2 -5.08 14.29 -0.74 0.44 -1.29
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 13- 0 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.44 7.03
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 10- 3 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.44 7.03
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 10- 0 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.44 7.03
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 7- 0 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.44 9.02
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 0- 1 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.44 -2.03
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 7- 6 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.44 9.02
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 11-12 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.44 -0.09
3 A Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 2- 3 -5.08 14.29 0.74 0.44 -0.96
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274.83
|
winning pts = 301.0165 losing points = -26.1837
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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