Charlotte
W-L: (29-27) PR = 92.3006Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 9- 1 206 A Southern Illinois MV ( 3- 7, 89.1) 2- 5 206 H Ball State MA ( 4- 5, 91.7) 5- 3 207 A Long Island University NE ( 0- 8, 88.4) 5- 1 207 H Southern Illinois MV ( 3- 7, 89.1) 6- 7 210 H Elon CA ( 1-14, 87.0) 5- 3 213 H Villanova BE ( 0-19, 88.0) 11- 0 213 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 8- 0 214 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 4- 2 214 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 16-13 218 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 8- 3 220 H Boston University PAT ( 7-10, 94.0) 10- 9 220 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 6- 8 221 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 6- 7 221 H Jacksonville ASUN ( 1- 7, 88.9) 11- 2 222 H Jacksonville ASUN ( 1- 7, 88.9) 9- 8 224 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 1- 9 227 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 3-14 227 A Omaha SM (12- 7, 95.8) 2- 7 228 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 4-15 228 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 0- 9 301 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 3- 6 301 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 3- 6 306 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 4- 9 307 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 3- 1 308 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 1- 7 310 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 8- 5 313 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 2- 6 313 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 1- 3 314 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 2- 7 320 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 3- 1 321 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 5- 3 322 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 9- 0 324 H Radford BSO ( 3-13, 90.1) 9- 1 327 A Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 3- 8 328 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 13- 0 329 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 5- 1 331 H Western Carolina SO ( 0- 6, 86.8) 11- 3 402 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 4- 6 403 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 8- 1 404 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 0- 2 408 A UNC Greensboro SO ( 7- 9, 91.1) 6- 7 410 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 3- 2 411 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 8- 5 412 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 5- 4 414 H Winthrop BSO ( 1- 9, 85.9) 6- 0 417 H Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 3-10 418 H Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 3- 9 419 H Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 4-14 421 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 0- 8 424 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 4- 5 425 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 8- 3 426 H Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 8- 9 501 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 7- 3 502 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 8-12 503 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 9- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A Florida Gulf Coast 9- 1 8 2 +++ 6.10
206 A Southern Illinois 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.49
206 H Ball State 5- 3 2 1 0.70
207 A Long Island University 5- 1 4 3 0.86
207 H Southern Illinois 6- 7 -1 4 -- -4.97
210 H Elon 5- 3 2 6 -- -4.04
213 H Villanova 11- 0 11 5 ++ 5.91
213 H Michigan State 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.54
214 H Virginia Tech 4- 2 2 -4 ++ 5.98
214 H Michigan State 16-13 3 2 0.54
218 H Clemson 8- 3 5 -1 ++ 5.87
220 H Boston University 10- 9 1 -1 1.95
220 H Marshall 6- 8 -2 -1 -1.17
221 H Marshall 6- 7 -1 -1 -0.17
221 H Jacksonville 11- 2 9 4 ++ 4.85
222 H Jacksonville 9- 8 1 4 - -3.15
224 A South Carolina 1- 9 -8 -3 -- -4.59
227 A Arkansas 3-14 -11 -8 - -2.89
227 A Omaha 2- 7 -5 -4 -0.79
228 H Kansas 4-15 -11 -2 --- -8.85
228 A Arkansas 0- 9 -9 -8 -0.89
301 H Boise State 3- 6 -3 1 - -3.61
301 H Boise State 3- 6 -3 1 - -3.61
306 H Florida Atlantic 4- 9 -5 -2 - -3.39
307 H Florida Atlantic 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.61
308 H Florida Atlantic 1- 7 -6 -2 -- -4.39
310 A NC State 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.21
313 A South Florida 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.12
313 A South Florida 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.12
314 A South Florida 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.12
320 A UAB 3- 1 2 0 1.91
321 A UAB 5- 3 2 0 1.91
322 A UAB 9- 0 9 0 +++ 8.91
324 H Radford 9- 1 8 3 ++ 5.03
327 A Penn State 3- 8 -5 -3 -1.60
328 A Maryland 13- 0 13 1 +++ 11.70
329 H North Texas 5- 1 4 1 + 3.41
331 H Western Carolina 11- 3 8 6 1.78
402 A East Carolina 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.28
403 A East Carolina 8- 1 7 0 +++ 6.72
404 A East Carolina 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.28
408 A UNC Greensboro 6- 7 -1 0 -1.41
410 H Memphis 3- 2 1 4 - -2.58
411 H Memphis 8- 5 3 4 -0.58
412 H Memphis 5- 4 1 4 - -2.58
414 H Winthrop 6- 0 6 7 -1.13
417 H Wichita State 3-10 -7 -2 -- -5.39
418 H Wichita State 3- 9 -6 -2 -- -4.39
419 H Wichita State 4-14 -10 -2 --- -8.39
421 A Duke 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.94
424 A UTSA 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.21
425 A UTSA 8- 3 5 1 + 3.79
426 H Rutgers 8- 9 -1 0 -0.60
501 H Tulsa 7- 3 4 1 + 2.80
502 H Tulsa 8-12 -4 1 -- -5.20
503 H Tulsa 9- 1 8 1 +++ 6.80
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Kansas 4-15 -11 -2 --- -8.85 419 H Wichita State 4-14 -10 -2 --- -8.39 206 A Southern Illinois 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.49 207 H Southern Illinois 6- 7 -1 4 -- -4.97 210 H Elon 5- 3 2 6 -- -4.04 224 A South Carolina 1- 9 -8 -3 -- -4.59 308 H Florida Atlantic 1- 7 -6 -2 -- -4.39 417 H Wichita State 3-10 -7 -2 -- -5.39 418 H Wichita State 3- 9 -6 -2 -- -4.39 502 H Tulsa 8-12 -4 1 -- -5.20 222 H Jacksonville 9- 8 1 4 - -3.15 227 A Arkansas 3-14 -11 -8 - -2.89 301 H Boise State 3- 6 -3 1 - -3.61 301 H Boise State 3- 6 -3 1 - -3.61 306 H Florida Atlantic 4- 9 -5 -2 - -3.39 313 A South Florida 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.12 314 A South Florida 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.12 402 A East Carolina 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.28 404 A East Carolina 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.28 410 H Memphis 3- 2 1 4 - -2.58 412 H Memphis 5- 4 1 4 - -2.58 421 A Duke 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.94 424 A UTSA 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.21 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 A Florida Gulf Coast 9- 1 8 2 +++ 6.10 322 A UAB 9- 0 9 0 +++ 8.91 328 A Maryland 13- 0 13 1 +++ 11.70 403 A East Carolina 8- 1 7 0 +++ 6.72 503 H Tulsa 9- 1 8 1 +++ 6.80 213 H Villanova 11- 0 11 5 ++ 5.91 213 H Michigan State 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.54 214 H Virginia Tech 4- 2 2 -4 ++ 5.98 218 H Clemson 8- 3 5 -1 ++ 5.87 221 H Jacksonville 11- 2 9 4 ++ 4.85 310 A NC State 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.21 324 H Radford 9- 1 8 3 ++ 5.03 307 H Florida Atlantic 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.61 329 H North Texas 5- 1 4 1 + 3.41 425 A UTSA 8- 3 5 1 + 3.79 501 H Tulsa 7- 3 4 1 + 2.80 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 9- 1 -10.24 9.13 0.74 0.45 8.88
0 A Southern Illin ( 3- 7, 89.1) 2- 5 -10.83 8.54 0.74 0.45 -2.27
0 H Ball State ( 4- 5, 91.7) 5- 3 -8.16 11.21 -0.74 0.45 9.42
0 A Long Island Un ( 0- 8, 88.4) 5- 1 -11.48 7.89 0.74 0.45 7.77
0 H Southern Illin ( 3- 7, 89.1) 6- 7 -10.83 8.54 -0.74 0.45 -2.60
0 H Elon ( 1-14, 87.0) 5- 3 -12.90 6.47 -0.74 0.45 5.16
0 H Villanova ( 0-19, 88.0) 11- 0 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.45 6.01
0 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 8- 0 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.45 8.38
0 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 4- 2 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.45 14.18
0 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 16-13 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.45 8.38
0 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 8- 3 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.45 11.38
0 H Boston Univers ( 7-10, 94.0) 10- 9 -5.90 13.47 -0.74 0.45 11.45
0 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 6- 8 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 0.45 -1.52
0 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 6- 7 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 0.45 -1.52
0 H Jacksonville ( 1- 7, 88.9) 11- 2 -11.01 8.36 -0.74 0.45 6.86
0 H Jacksonville ( 1- 7, 88.9) 9- 8 -11.01 8.36 -0.74 0.45 6.86
0 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 1- 9 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.45 -0.94
0 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 3-14 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.45 -0.11
0 A Omaha (12- 7, 95.8) 2- 7 -4.13 15.24 0.74 0.45 -0.76
0 H Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 4-15 -4.71 14.66 -0.74 0.45 -1.23
0 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 0- 9 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.45 -0.11
0 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 3- 6 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 0.45 -1.85
0 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 3- 6 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 0.45 -1.85
0 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 4- 9 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.45 -1.35
0 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 3- 1 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.45 12.05
0 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 1- 7 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.45 -1.35
0 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 8- 5 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.45 11.69
0 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 2- 6 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.45 -1.29
0 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 1- 3 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.45 -1.29
0 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 2- 7 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.45 -1.29
0 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 3- 1 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.45 10.52
0 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 5- 3 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.45 10.52
0 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 9- 0 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.45 10.52
0 H Radford ( 3-13, 90.1) 9- 1 -9.83 9.54 -0.74 0.45 7.92
0 A Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 3- 8 -4.94 14.43 0.74 0.45 -0.94
0 A Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 13- 0 -9.64 9.73 0.74 0.45 9.42
0 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 5- 1 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.45 10.07
0 H Western Caroli ( 0- 6, 86.8) 11- 3 -13.08 6.29 -0.74 0.45 5.00
0 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 4- 6 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.45 -1.77
0 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 8- 1 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.45 10.34
0 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 0- 2 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.45 -1.77
0 A UNC Greensboro ( 7- 9, 91.1) 6- 7 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.45 -1.80
0 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 3- 2 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.45 7.37
0 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 8- 5 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.45 7.37
0 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 5- 4 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.45 7.37
0 H Winthrop ( 1- 9, 85.9) 6- 0 -13.99 5.38 -0.74 0.45 4.18
0 H Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 3-10 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.45 -1.35
0 H Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 3- 9 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.45 -1.35
0 H Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 4-14 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.45 -1.35
0 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 0- 8 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.45 -0.57
0 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 4- 5 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.45 -1.98
0 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 8- 3 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.45 9.51
0 H Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 8- 9 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.45 -1.62
0 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 7- 3 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.45 9.51
0 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 8-12 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.45 -1.98
0 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 9- 1 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.45 9.51
------
219.78
|
winning pts = 257.5998 losing points = -37.8189
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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