Chattanooga
W-L: ( 3-11) PR = 88.4461Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 0- 8 207 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 10- 9 207 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 4- 0 218 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 0- 8 225 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 1- 3 227 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 0- 6 301 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 0- 4 301 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 0- 4 306 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 2- 7 306 A Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 4-12 308 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 8-11 308 A Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 2-10 331 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 8- 7 422 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 2- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Troy 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.95
207 A Troy 10- 9 1 -5 +++ 6.05
207 A Middle Tennessee 4- 0 4 -3 +++ 6.54
218 A Jacksonville State 0- 8 -8 -7 -0.94
225 A Kennesaw State 1- 3 -2 0 -1.71
227 A Southern Miss 0- 6 -6 -4 - -2.04
301 A Southern Miss 0- 4 -4 -4 -0.04
301 A Southern Miss 0- 4 -4 -4 -0.04
306 H UL Monroe 2- 7 -5 -3 -1.55
306 A Central Arkansas 4-12 -8 -4 - -3.53
308 A UL Monroe 8-11 -3 -5 1.94
308 A Central Arkansas 2-10 -8 -4 - -3.53
331 H Georgia State 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.21
422 H Jacksonville State 2- 9 -7 -6 -1.42
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Troy 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.95 227 A Southern Miss 0- 6 -6 -4 - -2.04 306 A Central Arkansas 4-12 -8 -4 - -3.53 308 A Central Arkansas 2-10 -8 -4 - -3.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Troy 10- 9 1 -5 +++ 6.05 207 A Middle Tennessee 4- 0 4 -3 +++ 6.54 331 H Georgia State 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.21 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 0- 8 -7.14 12.23 0.74 1.80 -5.76
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 10- 9 -7.14 12.23 0.74 1.80 46.70
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 4- 0 -9.65 9.72 0.74 1.80 37.66
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 0- 8 -5.13 14.24 0.74 1.80 -3.95
3 A Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 1- 3 -11.91 7.46 0.74 1.80 -10.05
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 0- 6 -8.24 11.13 0.74 1.80 -6.75
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 0- 4 -8.24 11.13 0.74 1.80 -6.75
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 0- 4 -8.24 11.13 0.74 1.80 -6.75
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 2- 7 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 1.80 -7.20
3 A Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 4-12 -7.72 11.65 0.74 1.80 -6.28
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 8-11 -7.26 12.11 0.74 1.80 -5.87
3 A Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 2-10 -7.72 11.65 0.74 1.80 -6.28
3 H Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 8- 7 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 1.80 36.46
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 2- 9 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 1.80 -5.29
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49.89
|
winning pts = 120.8243 losing points = -70.9334
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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