Colorado State
W-L: (25-27) PR = 91.4285Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 5- 6 206 H Cal Poly BW ( 1- 4, 90.5) 1- 0 207 H San Diego WC ( 2- 7, 88.8) 1- 5 207 A UC Davis BW ( 5- 6, 91.5) 6- 2 208 A Sacramento State BSKY ( 3-12, 90.8) 7- 0 213 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 4- 6 213 A San Diego WC ( 2- 7, 88.8) 3- 4 214 H Fairleigh Dickinson NE ( 0- 3, 85.2) 10- 2 214 A UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 1- 9 215 H UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 4- 5 220 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 2- 3 220 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 0-10 221 H Brown IVY ( 1- 5, 84.7) 1- 3 221 A Kansas City SM ( 2- 8, 88.6) 1- 4 222 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 3- 2 228 H Creighton BE ( 4-12, 90.8) 6- 2 228 H Northern Colorado BSKY ( 2- 8, 91.2) 5- 1 301 H Creighton BE ( 4-12, 90.8) 7- 5 301 H Northern Colorado BSKY ( 2- 8, 91.2) 5- 4 301 H Creighton BE ( 4-12, 90.8) 7- 5 301 H Northern Colorado BSKY ( 2- 8, 91.2) 5- 4 307 H South Dakota SM ( 5-14, 91.7) 4- 2 307 H South Dakota SM ( 5-14, 91.7) 2- 6 308 H South Dakota State SM ( 8-14, 92.0) 8- 0 308 H Drake MV ( 2-10, 90.9) 1- 0 309 H Drake MV ( 2-10, 90.9) 8- 9 313 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 2- 0 314 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 1- 2 315 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 0- 2 319 H Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 13-14 320 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 4- 3 321 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 5- 0 322 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 8- 9 327 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 2- 4 328 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 6- 1 329 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 7- 6 402 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 2- 3 403 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 0- 8 404 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 10- 5 408 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 5- 2 408 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 5- 2 411 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 2- 3 411 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 1- 2 418 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 0- 2 418 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 7-23 419 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 3-11 424 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 11- 8 424 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 7- 5 425 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 15- 6 430 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 5- 9 501 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 7- 9 502 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 2-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Saint Mary's 5- 6 -1 -2 0.91
207 H San Diego 1- 5 -4 3 --- -7.36
207 A UC Davis 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.77
208 A Sacramento State 7- 0 7 0 +++ 7.13
213 H Utah Tech 4- 6 -2 3 -- -4.98
213 A San Diego 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.87
214 H Fairleigh Dickinson 10- 2 8 7 1.01
214 A UC San Diego 1- 9 -8 0 --- -8.28
215 H UC San Diego 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.76
220 A Texas State 2- 3 -1 -3 1.92
220 H Oklahoma State 0-10 -10 -5 -- -5.07
221 H Brown 1- 3 -2 7 --- -9.44
221 A Kansas City 1- 4 -3 2 -- -5.06
222 A Texas State 3- 2 1 -3 + 3.92
228 H Creighton 6- 2 4 1 + 2.60
228 H Northern Colorado 5- 1 4 1 + 3.00
301 H Creighton 7- 5 2 1 0.60
301 H Northern Colorado 5- 4 1 1 0.00
301 H Creighton 7- 5 2 1 0.60
301 H Northern Colorado 5- 4 1 1 0.00
307 H South Dakota 4- 2 2 0 1.53
307 H South Dakota 2- 6 -4 0 -- -4.47
308 H South Dakota State 8- 0 8 0 +++ 7.87
309 H Drake 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.30
313 A San Diego State 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.56
314 A San Diego State 1- 2 -1 -2 0.56
315 A San Diego State 0- 2 -2 -2 -0.44
319 H Saint Mary's 13-14 -1 0 -0.57
320 H New Mexico 4- 3 1 0 1.03
321 H New Mexico 5- 0 5 0 ++ 5.03
322 H New Mexico 8- 9 -1 0 -0.97
327 A Florida State 2- 4 -2 -7 ++ 4.79
328 A Wichita State 6- 1 5 -4 +++ 8.97
329 H Boise State 7- 6 1 0 1.26
402 A UNLV 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.18
403 A UNLV 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.18
404 A UNLV 10- 5 5 -1 ++ 5.82
408 H San José State 5- 2 3 2 0.74
408 H San José State 5- 2 3 2 0.74
411 A Fresno State 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.09
411 A Fresno State 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.09
418 H Nevada 0- 2 -2 -3 1.28
418 H Nevada 7-23 -16 -3 --- -10.72
419 H Nevada 3-11 -8 -3 -- -4.72
424 A Utah State 11- 8 3 1 1.71
424 A Utah State 7- 5 2 1 0.71
425 A Utah State 15- 6 9 1 +++ 7.71
430 A Arizona State 5- 9 -4 -6 1.76
501 H Grand Canyon 7- 9 -2 -4 1.50
502 H Grand Canyon 2-11 -9 -4 -- -5.50
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H San Diego 1- 5 -4 3 --- -7.36 214 A UC San Diego 1- 9 -8 0 --- -8.28 221 H Brown 1- 3 -2 7 --- -9.44 403 A UNLV 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.18 418 H Nevada 7-23 -16 -3 --- -10.72 213 H Utah Tech 4- 6 -2 3 -- -4.98 220 H Oklahoma State 0-10 -10 -5 -- -5.07 221 A Kansas City 1- 4 -3 2 -- -5.06 307 H South Dakota 2- 6 -4 0 -- -4.47 419 H Nevada 3-11 -8 -3 -- -4.72 502 H Grand Canyon 2-11 -9 -4 -- -5.50 213 A San Diego 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.87 215 H UC San Diego 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.76 309 H Drake 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.30 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Sacramento State 7- 0 7 0 +++ 7.13 308 H South Dakota State 8- 0 8 0 +++ 7.87 328 A Wichita State 6- 1 5 -4 +++ 8.97 425 A Utah State 15- 6 9 1 +++ 7.71 207 A UC Davis 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.77 321 H New Mexico 5- 0 5 0 ++ 5.03 327 A Florida State 2- 4 -2 -7 ++ 4.79 404 A UNLV 10- 5 5 -1 ++ 5.82 222 A Texas State 3- 2 1 -3 + 3.92 228 H Creighton 6- 2 4 1 + 2.60 228 H Northern Colorado 5- 1 4 1 + 3.00 313 A San Diego State 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.56 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 5- 6 -7.30 12.07 0.74 0.48 -1.59
3 H Cal Poly ( 1- 4, 90.5) 1- 0 -9.36 10.01 -0.74 0.48 8.98
3 H San Diego ( 2- 7, 88.8) 1- 5 -11.09 8.28 -0.74 0.48 -2.87
3 A UC Davis ( 5- 6, 91.5) 6- 2 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.48 11.31
3 A Sacramento Sta ( 3-12, 90.8) 7- 0 -9.08 10.29 0.74 0.48 10.69
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 4- 6 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 0.48 -2.77
3 A San Diego ( 2- 7, 88.8) 3- 4 -11.09 8.28 0.74 0.48 -2.51
3 H Fairleigh Dick ( 0- 3, 85.2) 10- 2 -14.72 4.65 -0.74 0.48 3.79
3 A UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 1- 9 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.48 -2.12
3 H UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 4- 5 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.48 -2.48
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 2- 3 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.48 -1.35
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 0-10 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.48 -0.86
3 H Brown ( 1- 5, 84.7) 1- 3 -15.17 4.20 -0.74 0.48 -3.86
3 A Kansas City ( 2- 8, 88.6) 1- 4 -11.27 8.10 0.74 0.48 -2.55
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 3- 2 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.48 13.40
3 H Creighton ( 4-12, 90.8) 6- 2 -9.13 10.24 -0.74 0.48 9.21
3 H Northern Color ( 2- 8, 91.2) 5- 1 -8.73 10.64 -0.74 0.48 9.60
3 H Creighton ( 4-12, 90.8) 7- 5 -9.13 10.24 -0.74 0.48 9.21
3 H Northern Color ( 2- 8, 91.2) 5- 4 -8.73 10.64 -0.74 0.48 9.60
3 H Creighton ( 4-12, 90.8) 7- 5 -9.13 10.24 -0.74 0.48 9.21
3 H Northern Color ( 2- 8, 91.2) 5- 4 -8.73 10.64 -0.74 0.48 9.60
3 H South Dakota ( 5-14, 91.7) 4- 2 -8.20 11.17 -0.74 0.48 10.11
3 H South Dakota ( 5-14, 91.7) 2- 6 -8.20 11.17 -0.74 0.48 -2.17
3 H South Dakota S ( 8-14, 92.0) 8- 0 -7.86 11.51 -0.74 0.48 10.44
3 H Drake ( 2-10, 90.9) 1- 0 -9.03 10.34 -0.74 0.48 9.30
3 H Drake ( 2-10, 90.9) 8- 9 -9.03 10.34 -0.74 0.48 -2.37
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 2- 0 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.48 12.08
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 1- 2 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.48 -1.67
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 0- 2 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.48 -1.67
3 H Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 13-14 -7.30 12.07 -0.74 0.48 -1.95
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 4- 3 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.48 10.59
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 5- 0 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.48 10.59
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 8- 9 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.48 -2.05
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 2- 4 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.48 -0.41
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 6- 1 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.48 14.41
3 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 7- 6 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 0.48 10.82
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 2- 3 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.48 -1.85
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 0- 8 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.48 -1.85
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 10- 5 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.48 11.36
3 H San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 5- 2 -9.99 9.38 -0.74 0.48 8.38
3 H San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 5- 2 -9.99 9.38 -0.74 0.48 8.38
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 2- 3 -8.30 11.07 0.74 0.48 -1.83
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 1- 2 -8.30 11.07 0.74 0.48 -1.83
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 0- 2 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.48 -1.26
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 7-23 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.48 -1.26
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 3-11 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.48 -1.26
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 11- 8 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.48 9.32
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 7- 5 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.48 9.32
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 15- 6 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.48 9.32
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 5- 9 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.48 -0.66
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 7- 9 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 0.48 -1.20
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 2-11 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 0.48 -1.20
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199.54
|
winning pts = 248.9972 losing points = -49.4546
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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