Cal State Bakersfiel
W-L: ( 0-18) PR = 86.7885Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 0-10 207 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 4-13 207 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 1- 5 208 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 0- 9 213 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 1-10 214 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 2- 7 214 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 0- 9 220 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 2-12 221 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 8-10 227 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 0- 9 227 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 5-13 228 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 0-14 228 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 2- 6 301 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 1- 2 301 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 1- 2 303 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 3- 4 407 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 3- 9 407 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 2- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A UCF 0-10 -10 -10 0.20
207 H Duke 4-13 -9 -9 0.08
207 A Maryland 1- 5 -4 -4 0.21
208 A Duke 0- 9 -9 -11 1.57
213 A California Baptist 1-10 -9 -7 -1.84
214 H Utah State 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.13
214 A California Baptist 0- 9 -9 -7 -1.84
220 A Utah Tech 2-12 -10 -3 --- -6.85
221 A Utah Tech 8-10 -2 -3 1.15
227 A California Baptist 0- 9 -9 -7 -1.84
227 A Grand Canyon 5-13 -8 -10 1.62
228 H California Baptist 0-14 -14 -6 --- -8.32
228 A Wisconsin 2- 6 -4 -8 + 3.78
301 A Arizona State 1- 2 -1 -10 +++ 9.40
301 A Arizona State 1- 2 -1 -10 +++ 9.40
303 H Fresno State 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.07
407 H Utah Tech 3- 9 -6 -2 -- -4.34
407 H Utah Tech 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.34
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Utah Tech 2-12 -10 -3 --- -6.85 228 H California Baptist 0-14 -14 -6 --- -8.32 407 H Utah Tech 3- 9 -6 -2 -- -4.34 214 H Utah State 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.13 407 H Utah Tech 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Arizona State 1- 2 -1 -10 +++ 9.40 301 A Arizona State 1- 2 -1 -10 +++ 9.40 228 A Wisconsin 2- 6 -4 -8 + 3.78 303 H Fresno State 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.07 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 0-10 -3.65 15.72 0.74 1.40 -2.04
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 4-13 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 1.40 -2.82
3 A Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 1- 5 -9.64 9.73 0.74 1.40 -6.23
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 0- 9 -3.29 16.08 0.74 1.40 -1.78
3 A California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 1-10 -6.69 12.68 0.74 1.40 -4.16
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 2- 7 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 1.40 -7.87
3 A California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 0- 9 -6.69 12.68 0.74 1.40 -4.16
3 A Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 2-12 -10.71 8.66 0.74 1.40 -6.98
3 A Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 8-10 -10.71 8.66 0.74 1.40 -6.98
3 A California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 0- 9 -6.69 12.68 0.74 1.40 -4.16
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 5-13 -4.23 15.14 0.74 1.40 -2.44
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 0-14 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 1.40 -5.20
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 2- 6 -6.07 13.30 0.74 1.40 -3.73
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 1- 2 -3.45 15.92 0.74 1.40 -1.90
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 1- 2 -3.45 15.92 0.74 1.40 -1.90
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 3- 4 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 1.40 -6.33
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 3- 9 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 1.40 -8.02
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 2- 6 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 1.40 -8.02
------
-84.72
|
winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -84.7204
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------