Cal State Fullerton
W-L: (10-11) PR = 94.8237Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 5- 4 205 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 9-11 206 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 6- 5 208 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 1- 4 212 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 6- 2 213 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 3- 7 214 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 1- 7 214 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 4- 5 219 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 8- 5 219 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 5- 6 220 H Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 7- 3 221 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 3- 6 221 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 1- 2 226 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 3- 2 228 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 9- 3 407 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 11-13 421 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 2- 0 425 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 6- 0 515 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 4- 7 516 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 3- 2 516 H South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 2- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Ole Miss 5- 4 1 0 0.73
205 H Ole Miss 9-11 -2 0 - -2.27
206 H Boise State 6- 5 1 3 - -2.13
208 H Boise State 1- 4 -3 3 --- -6.13
212 H Kentucky 6- 2 4 2 + 2.16
213 A Oregon 3- 7 -4 -2 -1.58
214 A Stanford 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.75
214 A Oregon 4- 5 -1 -2 1.42
219 A Rutgers 8- 5 3 1 + 2.36
219 A Oklahoma 5- 6 -1 -6 ++ 4.82
220 H Oregon 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 4.94
221 H Texas Tech 3- 6 -3 -4 0.67
221 A Auburn 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.33
226 H BYU 3- 2 1 4 - -3.14
228 H California 9- 3 6 4 1.77
407 H UCLA 11-13 -2 -4 1.98
421 A California Baptist 2- 0 2 1 1.13
425 A UNLV 6- 0 6 3 + 3.43
515 A South Carolina 4- 7 -3 -1 - -2.11
516 H California Baptist 3- 2 1 2 -1.36
516 H South Carolina 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H Boise State 1- 4 -3 3 --- -6.13 205 H Ole Miss 9-11 -2 0 - -2.27 206 H Boise State 6- 5 1 3 - -2.13 214 A Stanford 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.75 226 H BYU 3- 2 1 4 - -3.14 515 A South Carolina 4- 7 -3 -1 - -2.11 516 H South Carolina 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.60 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 A Oklahoma 5- 6 -1 -6 ++ 4.82 220 H Oregon 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 4.94 212 H Kentucky 6- 2 4 2 + 2.16 219 A Rutgers 8- 5 3 1 + 2.36 425 A UNLV 6- 0 6 3 + 3.43 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 5- 4 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 1.20 33.67
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 9-11 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 1.20 -3.21
3 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 6- 5 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 1.20 26.79
3 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 1- 4 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 1.20 -4.93
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 6- 2 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 1.20 29.90
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 3- 7 -3.40 15.97 0.74 1.20 -1.59
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 1- 7 -3.57 15.80 0.74 1.20 -1.70
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 4- 5 -3.40 15.97 0.74 1.20 -1.59
3 A Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 8- 5 -6.46 12.91 0.74 1.20 32.78
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 5- 6 -0.00 19.37 0.74 1.20 -0.45
3 H Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 7- 3 -3.40 15.97 -0.74 1.20 36.56
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 3- 6 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 1.20 -0.84
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 1- 2 -5.15 14.22 0.74 1.20 -2.64
3 H BYU (19-29, 91.4) 3- 2 -8.48 10.89 -0.74 1.20 24.37
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 9- 3 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 1.20 24.15
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 11-13 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 1.20 -0.66
3 A California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 2- 0 -6.69 12.68 0.74 1.20 32.22
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 6- 0 -8.39 10.98 0.74 1.20 28.13
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 4- 7 -4.93 14.44 0.74 1.20 -2.51
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 3- 2 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 1.20 28.66
3 H South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 2- 4 -4.93 14.44 -0.74 1.20 -3.41
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273.69
|
winning pts = 297.2159 losing points = -23.5276
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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