UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Coastal Caroli
  
Coastal Carolina      
W-L: (27-28) PR = 91.4825

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 1- 5 206 H Akron MA ( 4-12, 90.6) 8- 3 207 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 1-11 208 H Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 2-10 209 H Akron MA ( 4-12, 90.6) 10- 2 211 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 2- 8 213 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 6- 2 213 H Creighton BE ( 4-12, 90.8) 6- 4 214 A Drake MV ( 2-10, 90.9) 14-13 214 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 1- 9 215 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 11- 1 220 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 0- 8 221 H Lipscomb ASUN ( 1-10, 88.6) 5- 0 221 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 2- 3 222 H Lipscomb ASUN ( 1-10, 88.6) 10- 2 228 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 1- 7 228 H Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3-11, 89.5) 6- 4 301 H Binghamton AE ( 1-13, 88.3) 8- 6 301 H Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3-11, 89.5) 11- 3 301 H Binghamton AE ( 1-13, 88.3) 8- 6 301 H Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3-11, 89.5) 11- 3 303 A UNC Wilmington CA ( 2-11, 89.9) 0- 8 304 H Bowling Green MA ( 0- 2, 85.4) 11- 6 306 H Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 8-20 307 H Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 2- 5 308 H Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 11-17 311 H South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 2-12 313 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 3- 7 314 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 3- 2 315 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 8- 7 318 A Winthrop BSO ( 1- 9, 85.9) 2- 1 320 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 16- 8 321 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 12- 3 322 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 2-17 324 H Charleston Southern BSO ( 0- 9, 85.8) 11- 3 327 A Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 4- 4 327 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 4- 3 328 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 2- 3 402 A Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 4- 3 403 A Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 7- 2 404 A Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 1- 7 407 H Campbell CA ( 5- 9, 92.1) 1- 0 408 H Charleston CA ( 2-13, 87.9) 10- 1 410 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 3- 6 411 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 4- 5 412 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 7-15 414 A Charleston CA ( 2-13, 87.9) 6- 9 417 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 4-12 418 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 6- 8 419 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 2- 8 424 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 4- 5 425 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 0- 4 426 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 2- 4 430 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 2- 5 501 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 2- 1 501 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 5- 4

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Virginia                1- 5      -4    -2          -1.73
   206 H Akron                   8- 3       5     2    +      3.40
   207 H Arkansas                1-11     -10    -7    -     -2.56
   208 H Virginia                2-10      -8    -2    --    -5.73
   209 H Akron                  10- 2       8     2    +++    6.40
   211 A North Carolina          2- 8      -6    -3    -     -2.95
   213 A Arizona                 6- 2       4    -6    +++   10.33
   213 H Creighton               6- 4       2     1           0.55
   214 A Drake                  14-13       1     0           1.13
   214 A Arizona                 1- 9      -8    -6          -1.67
   215 A Maryland               11- 1      10     0    +++    9.52
   220 A Clemson                 0- 8      -8    -3    --    -4.83
   221 H Lipscomb                5- 0       5     4           1.39
   221 A Baylor                  2- 3      -1    -3    +      2.49
   222 H Lipscomb               10- 2       8     4    ++     4.39
   228 H Florida Atlantic        1- 7      -6    -2    -     -3.57
   228 H Saint Joseph's          6- 4       2     3          -0.68
   301 H Binghamton              8- 6       2     4          -1.90
   301 H Saint Joseph's         11- 3       8     3    ++     5.32
   301 H Binghamton              8- 6       2     4          -1.90
   301 H Saint Joseph's         11- 3       8     3    ++     5.32
   303 A UNC Wilmington          0- 8      -8     1    ---   -8.86
   304 H Bowling Green          11- 6       5     7          -1.82
   306 H Florida State           8-20     -12    -5    ---   -6.75
   307 H Florida State           2- 5      -3    -5    +      2.25
   308 H Florida State          11-17      -6    -5          -0.75
   311 H South Carolina          2-12     -10    -3    ---   -7.26
   313 H App State               3- 7      -4     0    -     -3.56
   314 H App State               3- 2       1     0           1.44
   315 H App State               8- 7       1     0           1.44
   318 A Winthrop                2- 1       1     5    -     -3.83
   320 A James Madison          16- 8       8    -2    +++    9.99
   321 A James Madison          12- 3       9    -2    +++   10.99
   322 A James Madison           2-17     -15    -2    ---  -12.01
   324 H Charleston Southern    11- 3       8     6           1.61
   327 A Delaware                4- 4       0    -1           0.71
   327 A UAB                     4- 3       1    -1           1.73
   328 A North Texas             2- 3      -1    -2           0.72
   402 A Georgia State           4- 3       1    -1           1.66
   403 A Georgia State           7- 2       5    -1    ++     5.66
   404 A Georgia State           1- 7      -6    -1    --    -5.34
   408 H Charleston             10- 1       9     4    ++     4.66
   410 H Marshall                3- 6      -3    -2          -1.36
   411 H Marshall                4- 5      -1    -2           0.64
   412 H Marshall                7-15      -8    -2    ---   -6.36
   414 A Charleston              6- 9      -3     3    --    -5.86
   417 A Louisiana               4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.52
   418 A Louisiana               6- 8      -2    -2           0.48
   419 A Louisiana               2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.52
   424 A Texas State             4- 5      -1    -3           1.87
   425 H North Texas             0- 4      -4     0    -     -3.77
   426 H Jacksonville State      2- 4      -2    -3           0.54
   430 A Florida                 2- 5      -3    -7    +      3.95
   501 H Louisiana               2- 1       1    -1           1.99
   501 H Troy                    5- 4       1    -1           1.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A UNC Wilmington          0- 8      -8     1    ---   -8.86
   306 H Florida State           8-20     -12    -5    ---   -6.75
   311 H South Carolina          2-12     -10    -3    ---   -7.26
   322 A James Madison           2-17     -15    -2    ---  -12.01
   412 H Marshall                7-15      -8    -2    ---   -6.36
   208 H Virginia                2-10      -8    -2    --    -5.73
   220 A Clemson                 0- 8      -8    -3    --    -4.83
   404 A Georgia State           1- 7      -6    -1    --    -5.34
   414 A Charleston              6- 9      -3     3    --    -5.86
   417 A Louisiana               4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.52
   207 H Arkansas                1-11     -10    -7    -     -2.56
   211 A North Carolina          2- 8      -6    -3    -     -2.95
   228 H Florida Atlantic        1- 7      -6    -2    -     -3.57
   313 H App State               3- 7      -4     0    -     -3.56
   318 A Winthrop                2- 1       1     5    -     -3.83
   419 A Louisiana               2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.52
   425 H North Texas             0- 4      -4     0    -     -3.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 H Akron                  10- 2       8     2    +++    6.40
   213 A Arizona                 6- 2       4    -6    +++   10.33
   215 A Maryland               11- 1      10     0    +++    9.52
   320 A James Madison          16- 8       8    -2    +++    9.99
   321 A James Madison          12- 3       9    -2    +++   10.99
   222 H Lipscomb               10- 2       8     4    ++     4.39
   301 H Saint Joseph's         11- 3       8     3    ++     5.32
   301 H Saint Joseph's         11- 3       8     3    ++     5.32
   403 A Georgia State           7- 2       5    -1    ++     5.66
   408 H Charleston             10- 1       9     4    ++     4.66
   206 H Akron                   8- 3       5     2    +      3.40
   221 A Baylor                  2- 3      -1    -3    +      2.49
   307 H Florida State           2- 5      -3    -5    +      2.25
   430 A Florida                 2- 5      -3    -7    +      3.95

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Virginia        (40-18, 94.5)     1- 5       -5.41      13.96      -0.74         0.45            -1.38
   3 H Akron           ( 4-12, 90.6)     8- 3       -9.27      10.10      -0.74         0.45             8.42
   3 H Arkansas        (48-12, 99.7)     1-11       -0.23      19.14      -0.74         0.45            -0.22
   3 H Virginia        (40-18, 94.5)     2-10       -5.41      13.96      -0.74         0.45            -1.38
   3 H Akron           ( 4-12, 90.6)    10- 2       -9.27      10.10      -0.74         0.45             8.42
   3 A North Carolina  (31-19, 93.8)     2- 8       -6.11      13.26       0.74         0.45            -1.21
   3 A Arizona         (36-19, 97.1)     6- 2       -2.83      16.54       0.74         0.45            15.56
   3 H Creighton       ( 4-12, 90.8)     6- 4       -9.13      10.24      -0.74         0.45             8.55
   3 A Drake           ( 2-10, 90.9)    14-13       -9.03      10.34       0.74         0.45             9.97
   3 A Arizona         (36-19, 97.1)     1- 9       -2.83      16.54       0.74         0.45            -0.47
   3 A Maryland        (19-30, 90.3)    11- 1       -9.64       9.73       0.74         0.45             9.42
   3 A Clemson         (33-24, 93.9)     0- 8       -5.99      13.38       0.74         0.45            -1.18
   3 H Lipscomb        ( 1-10, 88.6)     5- 0      -11.29       8.08      -0.74         0.45             6.61
   3 A Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)     2- 3       -5.67      13.70       0.74         0.45            -1.11
   3 H Lipscomb        ( 1-10, 88.6)    10- 2      -11.29       8.08      -0.74         0.45             6.61
   3 H Florida Atlant  (33-21, 94.7)     1- 7       -5.24      14.13      -0.74         0.45            -1.35
   3 H Saint Joseph's  ( 3-11, 89.5)     6- 4      -10.36       9.01      -0.74         0.45             7.44
   3 H Binghamton      ( 1-13, 88.3)     8- 6      -11.57       7.80      -0.74         0.45             6.35
   3 H Saint Joseph's  ( 3-11, 89.5)    11- 3      -10.36       9.01      -0.74         0.45             7.44
   3 H Binghamton      ( 1-13, 88.3)     8- 6      -11.57       7.80      -0.74         0.45             6.35
   3 H Saint Joseph's  ( 3-11, 89.5)    11- 3      -10.36       9.01      -0.74         0.45             7.44
   3 A UNC Wilmington  ( 2-11, 89.9)     0- 8      -10.02       9.35       0.74         0.45            -2.09
   3 H Bowling Green   ( 0- 2, 85.4)    11- 6      -14.49       4.88      -0.74         0.45             3.72
   3 H Florida State   (52-10, 97.5)     8-20       -2.42      16.95      -0.74         0.45            -0.71
   3 H Florida State   (52-10, 97.5)     2- 5       -2.42      16.95      -0.74         0.45            -0.71
   3 H Florida State   (52-10, 97.5)    11-17       -2.42      16.95      -0.74         0.45            -0.71
   3 H South Carolina  (32-30, 95.0)     2-12       -4.93      14.44      -0.74         0.45            -1.28
   3 H App State       (29-22, 92.7)     3- 7       -7.23      12.14      -0.74         0.45            -1.79
   3 H App State       (29-22, 92.7)     3- 2       -7.23      12.14      -0.74         0.45            10.26
   3 H App State       (29-22, 92.7)     8- 7       -7.23      12.14      -0.74         0.45            10.26
   3 A Winthrop        ( 1- 9, 85.9)     2- 1      -13.99       5.38       0.74         0.45             5.51
   3 A James Madison   (28-21, 92.7)    16- 8       -7.17      12.20       0.74         0.45            11.65
   3 A James Madison   (28-21, 92.7)    12- 3       -7.17      12.20       0.74         0.45            11.65
   3 A James Madison   (28-21, 92.7)     2-17       -7.17      12.20       0.74         0.45            -1.45
   3 H Charleston Sou  ( 0- 9, 85.8)    11- 3      -14.07       5.30      -0.74         0.45             4.10
   3 A Delaware        (33-20, 91.4)     4- 4       -8.45      10.92       0.74         0.45             0.00
   3 A UAB             (21-32, 91.5)     4- 3       -8.43      10.94       0.74         0.45            10.52
   3 A North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)     2- 3       -7.44      11.93       0.74         0.45            -1.51
   3 A Georgia State   (24-31, 91.4)     4- 3       -8.50      10.87       0.74         0.45            10.45
   3 A Georgia State   (24-31, 91.4)     7- 2       -8.50      10.87       0.74         0.45            10.45
   3 A Georgia State   (24-31, 91.4)     1- 7       -8.50      10.87       0.74         0.45            -1.75
   3 H Campbell        ( 5- 9, 92.1)     1- 0       -7.81      11.56      -0.74         0.45             9.74
   3 H Charleston      ( 2-13, 87.9)    10- 1      -12.02       7.35      -0.74         0.45             5.95
   3 H Marshall        (37-19, 93.9)     3- 6       -6.03      13.34      -0.74         0.45            -1.52
   3 H Marshall        (37-19, 93.9)     4- 5       -6.03      13.34      -0.74         0.45            -1.52
   3 H Marshall        (37-19, 93.9)     7-15       -6.03      13.34      -0.74         0.45            -1.52
   3 A Charleston      ( 2-13, 87.9)     6- 9      -12.02       7.35       0.74         0.45            -2.54
   3 A Louisiana       (28-28, 93.2)     4-12       -6.68      12.69       0.74         0.45            -1.34
   3 A Louisiana       (28-28, 93.2)     6- 8       -6.68      12.69       0.74         0.45            -1.34
   3 A Louisiana       (28-28, 93.2)     2- 8       -6.68      12.69       0.74         0.45            -1.34
   3 A Texas State     (36-23, 93.6)     4- 5       -6.29      13.08       0.74         0.45            -1.25
   3 H North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)     0- 4       -7.44      11.93      -0.74         0.45            -1.84
   3 H Jacksonville S  (42-14, 94.8)     2- 4       -5.13      14.24      -0.74         0.45            -1.32
   3 A Florida         (51-13, 97.7)     2- 5       -2.21      17.16       0.74         0.45            -0.33
   3 H Louisiana       (28-28, 93.2)     2- 1       -6.68      12.69      -0.74         0.45            10.75
   3 H Troy            (31-20, 92.8)     5- 4       -7.14      12.23      -0.74         0.45            10.34
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       197.78

winning pts = 233.9413 losing points = -36.1662

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------