Dayton
W-L: ( 1- 8) PR = 87.7354Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 1- 5 228 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 0- 9 301 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 1- 2 301 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 1- 2 325 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 7-12 401 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 5- 4 408 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 4-12 425 A Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 3- 8 425 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 3-12
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 A Kentucky 1- 5 -4 -7 + 2.74
228 A Kentucky 0- 9 -9 -7 - -2.26
301 H Michigan State 1- 2 -1 -2 1.11
301 H Michigan State 1- 2 -1 -2 1.11
325 H California 7-12 -5 -3 - -2.15
401 A Michigan State 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 4.59
408 A Ohio State 4-12 -8 -7 -1.14
425 A Pittsburgh 3- 8 -5 -4 -1.28
425 H Jacksonville State 3-12 -9 -6 - -2.71
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Kentucky 0- 9 -9 -7 - -2.26 325 H California 7-12 -5 -3 - -2.15 425 H Jacksonville State 3-12 -9 -6 - -2.71 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Michigan State 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 4.59 227 A Kentucky 1- 5 -4 -7 + 2.74 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 1- 5 -6.17 13.20 0.74 2.80 -7.60
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 0- 9 -6.17 13.20 0.74 2.80 -7.60
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 1- 2 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 2.80 -14.08
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 1- 2 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 2.80 -14.08
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 7-12 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 2.80 -13.04
3 A Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 5- 4 -9.31 10.06 0.74 2.80 60.48
3 A Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 4-12 -6.05 13.32 0.74 2.80 -7.43
3 A Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 3- 8 -9.19 10.18 0.74 2.80 -11.82
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 3-12 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 2.80 -8.23
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-23.41
|
winning pts = 60.4782 losing points = -83.8886
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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