UPDATED: 07-25-26 08:13 PDT

stick Dayton
  
Dayton                
W-L: ( 1- 8) PR = 89.7653

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 95.0) 1- 5 228 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 95.0) 0- 9 301 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 92.3) 1- 2 301 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 92.3) 1- 2 325 H California ACC (17-34, 92.9) 7-12 401 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 92.3) 5- 4 408 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 94.8) 4-12 425 A Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 92.7) 3- 8 425 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 95.9) 3-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Kentucky                1- 5      -4    -6    +      2.01
   228 A Kentucky                0- 9      -9    -6          -0.99
   301 H Michigan State          1- 2      -1    -2           0.78
   301 H Michigan State          1- 2      -1    -2           0.78
   325 H California              7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.60
   401 A Michigan State          5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.26
   408 A Ohio State              4-12      -8    -6          -1.27
   425 A Pittsburgh              3- 8      -5    -4          -1.35
   425 H Jacksonville State      3-12      -9    -5          -1.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H California              7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Michigan State          5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.26
   227 A Kentucky                1- 5      -4    -6    +      2.01

Dayton Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Binghamton Binghamton   Binghamton
Bryant Dayton   Dayton
Maine Dayton   Dayton
Albany Albany   Albany
UMBC Dayton   Dayton
UMass Lowell UMass Lowell   UMass Lowell
Charlotte Charlotte tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Charlotte
East Carolina East Carolina   East Carolina
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Florida Atlantic
Memphis Memphis tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Memphis
North Texas North Texas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Texas
South Florida South Florida   South Florida
Tulsa Tulsa insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Tulsa
UAB UAB insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) UAB
UTSA UTSA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) UTSA
Wichita State Wichita State   Wichita State
Boston College Boston College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Boston College
California California California  
Clemson Clemson insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 1) Clemson
Duke Duke insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Duke
Florida State Florida State tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0) Florida State
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Georgia Tech
Louisville Louisville tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 0) Louisville
North Carolina North Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) North Carolina
NC State NC State insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 0) NC State
Notre Dame Notre Dame insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 0) Notre Dame
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Pittsburgh  
Stanford Stanford Stanford   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Syracuse Syracuse insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 2) Syracuse
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Virginia Tech
Virginia Virginia insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Virginia
Austin Peay Dayton   Dayton
Bellarmine Bellarmine tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bellarmine
Central Arkansas Central Arkansas   Central Arkansas
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Eastern Kentucky
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast   Florida Gulf Coast
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Lipscomb Lipscomb   Lipscomb
North Alabama North Alabama   North Alabama
North Florida North Florida   North Florida
Queens University Dayton   Dayton
Stetson Stetson insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Stetson
West Georgia West Georgia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) West Georgia
Fordham Fordham   Fordham
George Mason George Mason   George Mason
George Washington George Washington   George Washington
Loyola Chicago Dayton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dayton
Rhode Island Rhode Island   Rhode Island
Saint Joseph's Saint Joseph's   Saint Joseph's
Saint Louis Saint Louis tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Saint Louis
St. Bonaventure Dayton   Dayton
Butler Dayton   Dayton
Creighton Creighton   Creighton
DePaul DePaul tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) DePaul
Georgetown Georgetown   Georgetown
Providence Dayton   Dayton
Seton Hall Dayton   Dayton
St. John's St. John's   St. John's
UConn UConn   UConn
Villanova Villanova insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Villanova
Idaho State Idaho State   Idaho State
Montana Montana   Montana
Northern Colorado Northern Colorado   Northern Colorado
Portland State Portland State   Portland State
Sacramento State Sacramento State   Sacramento State
Weber State Weber State   Weber State
Illinois Illinois insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) Illinois
Indiana Indiana insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Indiana
Iowa Iowa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Iowa
Maryland Maryland insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) Maryland
Michigan Michigan tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 0) Michigan
Michigan State Michigan State Michigan State  
Minnesota Minnesota tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Minnesota
Nebraska Nebraska insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) Nebraska
Northwestern Northwestern tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) Northwestern
Ohio State Ohio State Ohio State  
Oregon Oregon insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Oregon
Penn State Penn State tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0) Penn State
Purdue Purdue tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Purdue
Rutgers Rutgers insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 0) Rutgers
UCLA UCLA insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 0) UCLA
Washington Washington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Washington
Wisconsin Wisconsin insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 1) Wisconsin
Arizona Arizona   Arizona
Arizona State Arizona State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Arizona State
BYU BYU tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 1) BYU
Baylor Baylor tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Baylor
Houston Houston insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Houston
Iowa State Iowa State   Iowa State
Kansas Kansas   Kansas
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oklahoma State
Texas Tech Texas Tech   Texas Tech
UCF UCF tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) UCF
Utah Utah insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Utah
Charleston Southern Dayton   Dayton
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gardner-Webb
Longwood Dayton insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Dayton
Presbyterian Dayton   Dayton
Radford Radford   Radford
USC Upstate USC Upstate   USC Upstate
Winthrop Dayton   Dayton
Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cal State Northridge
Cal Poly Cal Poly   Cal Poly
Cal State Bakersfield Dayton   Dayton
Hawai'i Dayton   Dayton
Long Beach State Long Beach State   Long Beach State
UC Davis UC Davis   UC Davis
UC Riverside UC Riverside   UC Riverside
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara   UC Santa Barbara
UC San Diego UC San Diego tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) UC San Diego
Campbell Campbell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Campbell
Charleston Charleston   Charleston
Drexel Dayton   Dayton
Elon Elon   Elon
Hampton Dayton   Dayton
Hofstra Hofstra   Hofstra
Monmouth Dayton   Dayton
North Carolina A&T Dayton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dayton
Stony Brook Stony Brook   Stony Brook
Towson Towson   Towson
UNC Wilmington UNC Wilmington   UNC Wilmington
Delaware Delaware insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Delaware
FIU FIU tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) FIU
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State Jacksonville State  
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Kennesaw State
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Louisiana Tech
Liberty Liberty tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Liberty
Middle Tennessee Middle Tennessee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Middle Tennessee
Missouri State Missouri State tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0) Missouri State
New Mexico State New Mexico State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Mexico State
Sam Houston Sam Houston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Sam Houston
UTEP UTEP   UTEP
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Western Kentucky
Detroit Mercy Dayton   Dayton
Green Bay Dayton   Dayton
IUPUI Dayton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dayton
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Kentucky
Oakland Oakland tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Oakland
Robert Morris Robert Morris insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Robert Morris
Youngstown State Youngstown State   Youngstown State
MilNOTEPAD waukee MilNOTEPAD waukee   MilNOTEPAD waukee
Brown Brown   Brown
Columbia Columbia   Columbia
Cornell Cornell   Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth   Dartmouth
Harvard Harvard   Harvard
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania   Pennsylvania
Princeton Princeton   Princeton
Yale Yale insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Yale
Canisius Canisius   Canisius
Fairfield Dayton   Dayton
Iona Dayton   Dayton
Manhattan Dayton   Dayton
Marist Marist   Marist
Merrimack Dayton   Dayton
Mount St. Mary's Mount St. Mary's   Mount St. Mary's
Niagara Niagara   Niagara
Quinnipiac Dayton   Dayton
Rider Dayton   Dayton
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart   Sacred Heart
Saint Peter's Dayton   Dayton
Siena Siena   Siena
Akron Akron insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Akron
Ball State Ball State   Ball State
Bowling Green Dayton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dayton
Buffalo Buffalo   Buffalo
Central Michigan Central Michigan   Central Michigan
Kent State Dayton   Dayton
Massachusetts Massachusetts   Massachusetts
Miami (OH) Miami (OH) tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Miami (OH)
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northern Illinois
Ohio Ohio insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ohio
Toledo Toledo tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Toledo
Western Michigan Western Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Western Michigan
Howard Howard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Howard
North Carolina Central Dayton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dayton
Coppin State Coppin State   Coppin State
Delaware State Dayton   Dayton
Maryland Eastern Shore Maryland Eastern Shore   Maryland Eastern Shore
Norfolk State Norfolk State   Norfolk State
SC State SC State   SC State
Belmont Belmont   Belmont
Bradley Bradley tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Bradley
Drake Drake   Drake
Evansville Evansville   Evansville
Illinois State Illinois State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Illinois State
Indiana State Indiana State tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Indiana State
Murray State Murray State tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Murray State
Northern Iowa Northern Iowa   Northern Iowa
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois   Southern Illinois
UIC UIC   UIC
Valparaiso Valparaiso   Valparaiso
Boise State Boise State   Boise State
Colorado State Colorado State   Colorado State
Fresno State Fresno State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fresno State
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon   Grand Canyon
Nevada Nevada insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Nevada
New Mexico New Mexico   New Mexico
San Diego State San Diego State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) San Diego State
San José State San José State San José State   2- 0 vs 0- 2
UNLV UNLV tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) UNLV
Utah State Utah State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Utah State
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois   Eastern Illinois
Lindenwood Lindenwood   Lindenwood
Morehead State Morehead State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Morehead State
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State   Southeast Missouri State
SIU Edwardsville Dayton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dayton
Southern Indiana Dayton   Dayton
Tennessee Tech Dayton   Dayton
Tennessee State Dayton   Dayton
UT Martin Dayton   Dayton
Western Illinois Dayton   Dayton
Central Connecticut Central Connecticut   Central Connecticut
Fairleigh Dickinson Dayton   Dayton
Long Island University Long Island University   Long Island University
Le Moyne Dayton   Dayton
Mercyhurst Mercyhurst   Mercyhurst
New Haven New Haven   New Haven
Saint Francis Dayton   Dayton
Stonehill Dayton   Dayton
Wagner Wagner   Wagner
Army Army tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Army
Boston University Boston University insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Boston University
Bucknell Bucknell   Bucknell
Colgate Dayton   Dayton
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Lafayette Dayton   Dayton
Lehigh Lehigh   Lehigh
Alabama Alabama tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0) Alabama
Arkansas Arkansas   Arkansas
Auburn Auburn insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 1) Auburn
Florida Florida insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Florida
Georgia Georgia tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0) Georgia
Kentucky Kentucky Kentucky  
LSU LSU tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) LSU
Mississippi State Mississippi State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Mississippi State
Missouri Missouri   Missouri
Oklahoma Oklahoma insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Oklahoma
Ole Miss Ole Miss insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ole Miss
South Carolina South Carolina   South Carolina
Tennessee Tennessee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Tennessee
Texas Texas insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 0) Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Texas A&M
Mercer Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Mercer
Chattanooga Chattanooga tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chattanooga
Furman Dayton   Dayton
Samford Samford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Samford
UNC Greensboro UNC Greensboro   UNC Greensboro
Western Carolina Dayton   Dayton
Wofford Wofford   Wofford
East Texas A&M Dayton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dayton
Houston Christian Dayton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dayton
Incarnate Word Incarnate Word tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Incarnate Word
Lamar Lamar   Lamar
McNeese McNeese   McNeese
Nicholls Nicholls   Nicholls
Northwestern State Northwestern State   Northwestern State
SE Louisiana SE Louisiana   SE Louisiana
Stephen F. Austin Stephen F. Austin   Stephen F. Austin
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Texas A&M-Corpus Christi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Alabama A&M Dayton   Dayton
Alabama State Dayton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dayton
Alcorn State Dayton   Dayton
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Dayton   Dayton
Bethune-Cookman Dayton   Dayton
Florida A&M Florida A&M   Florida A&M
Grambling Dayton   Dayton
Jackson State Dayton   Dayton
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State   Mississippi Valley State
Prairie View A&M Prairie View A&M   Prairie View A&M
Southern Southern   Southern
Texas Southern Texas Southern   Texas Southern
Kansas City Kansas City   Kansas City
North Dakota State North Dakota State   North Dakota State
North Dakota North Dakota   North Dakota
Omaha Omaha   Omaha
South Dakota State South Dakota State   South Dakota State
South Dakota South Dakota   South Dakota
St. Thomas-Minnesota St. Thomas-Minnesota   St. Thomas-Minnesota
App State App State   App State
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Coastal Carolina
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern   Georgia Southern
Georgia State Georgia State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) Georgia State
James Madison James Madison tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) James Madison
Louisiana Louisiana insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Louisiana
Marshall Marshall tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Marshall
Southern Miss Southern Miss   Southern Miss
South Alabama South Alabama tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Alabama
Texas State Texas State   Texas State
Troy Troy   Troy
UL Monroe UL Monroe tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UL Monroe
Abilene Christian Abilene Christian tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Abilene Christian
California Baptist California Baptist   California Baptist
Southern Utah Southern Utah   Southern Utah
Tarleton State Tarleton State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tarleton State
UT Arlington UT Arlington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) UT Arlington
Utah Tech Utah Tech insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) Utah Tech
Utah Valley Utah Valley   Utah Valley
Loyola Marymount Loyola Marymount   Loyola Marymount
Oregon State Oregon State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oregon State
Pacific Pacific tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pacific
Saint Mary's Saint Mary's   Saint Mary's
San Diego San Diego   San Diego
Santa Clara Santa Clara tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Santa Clara
Seattle U Seattle U tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Seattle U

PowerWise = 57


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.29

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   1 A Kentucky        (28-27, 95.0)     1- 5       -4.87      10.20       0.74         2.81            -5.79
   1 A Kentucky        (28-27, 95.0)     0- 9       -4.87      10.20       0.74         2.81            -5.79
   1 H Michigan State  (18-33, 92.3)     1- 2       -7.62       7.45      -0.74         2.81           -11.74
   1 H Michigan State  (18-33, 92.3)     1- 2       -7.62       7.45      -0.74         2.81           -11.74
   1 H California      (17-34, 92.9)     7-12       -6.99       8.07      -0.74         2.81           -10.86
   1 A Michigan State  (18-33, 92.3)     5- 4       -7.62       7.45       0.74         2.81            46.02
   1 A Ohio State      (24-28, 94.8)     4-12       -5.15       9.92       0.74         2.81            -6.19
   1 A Pittsburgh      (26-25, 92.7)     3- 8       -7.22       7.84       0.74         2.81            -9.11
   1 H Jacksonville S  (42-14, 95.9)     3-12       -4.01      11.05      -0.74         2.81            -6.68
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -21.89

winning pts = 46.0174 losing points = -67.9046

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------