UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Detroit Mercy
  
Detroit Mercy         
W-L: ( 0- 8) PR = 86.2221

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 1- 9 227 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 6-13 228 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0- 9 228 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 1-18 313 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 2-11 314 A Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 3- 8 327 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 0- 7 328 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 5- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Western Kentucky        1- 9      -8    -8           0.11
   227 H Abilene Christian       6-13      -7    -1    ---   -6.23
   228 A Texas Tech              0- 9      -9   -14    ++     4.76
   228 A North Texas             1-18     -17    -7    ---   -7.02
   313 H Northwestern            2-11      -9    -8          -0.54
   314 A Northwestern            3- 8      -5   -10    ++     4.95
   327 H UT Arlington            0- 7      -7    -4    -     -2.82
   328 H Michigan                5- 6      -1    -8    +++    6.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Abilene Christian       6-13      -7    -1    ---   -6.23
   228 A North Texas             1-18     -17    -7    ---   -7.02
   327 H UT Arlington            0- 7      -7    -4    -     -2.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Michigan                5- 6      -1    -8    +++    6.79
   228 A Texas Tech              0- 9      -9   -14    ++     4.76
   314 A Northwestern            3- 8      -5   -10    ++     4.95

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Western Kentuc  (37-11, 93.6)     1- 9       -6.31      13.06       0.74         3.15            -8.77
   3 H Abilene Christ  ( 8-41, 87.7)     6-13      -12.16       7.21      -0.74         3.15           -20.33
   3 A Texas Tech      (60-11, 99.2)     0- 9       -0.66      18.71       0.74         3.15            -0.13
   3 A North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)     1-18       -7.44      11.93       0.74         3.15           -10.56
   3 H Northwestern    (29-20, 95.4)     2-11       -4.47      14.90      -0.74         3.15            -8.22
   3 A Northwestern    (29-20, 95.4)     3- 8       -4.47      14.90       0.74         3.15            -5.88
   3 H UT Arlington    (25-22, 91.1)     0- 7       -8.75      10.62      -0.74         3.15           -14.96
   3 H Michigan        (35-22, 94.8)     5- 6       -5.14      14.23      -0.74         3.15            -9.27
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -78.11

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -78.1133

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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