Detroit Mercy 
W-L: ( 0- 8) PR = 86.2221
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
221 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 1- 9
227 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 6-13
228 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0- 9
228 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 1-18
313 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 2-11
314 A Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 3- 8
327 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 0- 7
328 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 5- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
221 A Western Kentucky 1- 9 -8 -8 0.11
227 H Abilene Christian 6-13 -7 -1 --- -6.23
228 A Texas Tech 0- 9 -9 -14 ++ 4.76
228 A North Texas 1-18 -17 -7 --- -7.02
313 H Northwestern 2-11 -9 -8 -0.54
314 A Northwestern 3- 8 -5 -10 ++ 4.95
327 H UT Arlington 0- 7 -7 -4 - -2.82
328 H Michigan 5- 6 -1 -8 +++ 6.79
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 H Abilene Christian 6-13 -7 -1 --- -6.23
228 A North Texas 1-18 -17 -7 --- -7.02
327 H UT Arlington 0- 7 -7 -4 - -2.82
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
328 H Michigan 5- 6 -1 -8 +++ 6.79
228 A Texas Tech 0- 9 -9 -14 ++ 4.76
314 A Northwestern 3- 8 -5 -10 ++ 4.95
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 1- 9 -6.31 13.06 0.74 3.15 -8.77
3 H Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 6-13 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 3.15 -20.33
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0- 9 -0.66 18.71 0.74 3.15 -0.13
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 1-18 -7.44 11.93 0.74 3.15 -10.56
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 2-11 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 3.15 -8.22
3 A Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 3- 8 -4.47 14.90 0.74 3.15 -5.88
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 0- 7 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 3.15 -14.96
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 5- 6 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 3.15 -9.27
------
-78.11
|
winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -78.1133
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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