Fresno State
W-L: (22-23) PR = 91.5965Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H SIU Edwardsville OV ( 2- 9, 87.5) 8- 0 206 H Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 9- 1 207 H Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 2- 0 207 H SIU Edwardsville OV ( 2- 9, 87.5) 4- 5 213 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 0- 2 213 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 0- 9 214 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 1- 6 219 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 2-12 220 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 5- 4 220 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 2- 5 221 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 0-11 227 A Pacific WC ( 2-12, 89.7) 5- 4 227 H UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 4- 0 228 A UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 5- 4 228 A Pacific WC ( 2-12, 89.7) 3- 0 303 A Cal State Bakersfield BW ( 0-18, 86.8) 4- 3 307 A Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 9- 3 307 H Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 4- 9 308 A Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 11- 8 308 A Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 1- 2 313 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 2- 9 314 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 4- 8 315 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 6- 2 320 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 3- 5 321 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 2- 3 322 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 7- 1 327 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 9- 2 328 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 4- 5 329 H UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 3- 5 402 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 4- 3 403 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 14- 6 404 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 6- 2 408 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 1- 4 408 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 0- 6 411 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 3- 2 411 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 2- 1 415 H Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 1-11 417 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 12- 6 418 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 5- 6 419 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 1-12 424 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 8- 9 425 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 4- 7 426 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 5- 4 501 H San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 1- 3 502 H San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 4- 2
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H SIU Edwardsville 8- 0 8 5 + 3.21
206 H Idaho State 9- 1 8 1 +++ 6.99
207 H Idaho State 2- 0 2 1 0.99
207 H SIU Edwardsville 4- 5 -1 5 -- -5.79
213 H Washington 0- 2 -2 -4 + 2.40
213 H Washington 0- 9 -9 -4 -- -4.60
214 H Washington 1- 6 -5 -4 -0.60
219 A Texas Tech 2-12 -10 -8 -1.61
220 H California 5- 4 1 1 -0.01
220 H California Baptist 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.13
221 A UCLA 0-11 -11 -9 - -2.31
227 A Pacific 5- 4 1 1 -0.12
227 H UC San Diego 4- 0 4 2 + 2.07
228 A UC San Diego 5- 4 1 0 0.55
228 A Pacific 3- 0 3 1 1.88
303 A Cal State Bakersfield 4- 3 1 4 - -3.07
307 A Saint Mary's 9- 3 6 -2 +++ 7.74
307 H Saint Mary's 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.74
308 A Santa Clara 11- 8 3 1 + 2.46
308 A Santa Clara 1- 2 -1 1 -1.54
313 H Utah State 2- 9 -7 3 --- -9.94
314 H Utah State 4- 8 -4 3 --- -6.94
315 H Utah State 6- 2 4 3 1.06
320 A Boise State 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.42
321 A Boise State 2- 3 -1 -2 0.58
322 A Boise State 7- 1 6 -2 +++ 7.58
327 A Utah Valley 9- 2 7 0 +++ 7.47
328 A San José State 4- 5 -1 1 -1.94
329 H UNLV 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.83
402 A San José State 4- 3 1 1 0.06
403 A San José State 14- 6 8 1 +++ 7.06
404 A San José State 6- 2 4 1 + 3.06
408 H Grand Canyon 1- 4 -3 -3 0.33
408 H Grand Canyon 0- 6 -6 -3 - -2.67
411 H Colorado State 3- 2 1 1 0.09
411 H Colorado State 2- 1 1 1 0.09
415 H Stanford 1-11 -10 -4 --- -6.01
417 A New Mexico 12- 6 6 -1 +++ 7.34
418 A New Mexico 5- 6 -1 -1 0.34
419 A New Mexico 1-12 -11 -1 --- -9.66
424 A Nevada 8- 9 -1 -5 + 3.59
425 A Nevada 4- 7 -3 -5 1.59
426 H San José State 5- 4 1 2 -1.43
501 H San Diego State 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.09
502 H San Diego State 4- 2 2 0 1.91
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Utah State 2- 9 -7 3 --- -9.94 314 H Utah State 4- 8 -4 3 --- -6.94 415 H Stanford 1-11 -10 -4 --- -6.01 419 A New Mexico 1-12 -11 -1 --- -9.66 207 H SIU Edwardsville 4- 5 -1 5 -- -5.79 213 H Washington 0- 9 -9 -4 -- -4.60 307 H Saint Mary's 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.74 220 H California Baptist 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.13 221 A UCLA 0-11 -11 -9 - -2.31 303 A Cal State Bakersfield 4- 3 1 4 - -3.07 329 H UNLV 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.83 408 H Grand Canyon 0- 6 -6 -3 - -2.67 501 H San Diego State 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Idaho State 9- 1 8 1 +++ 6.99 307 A Saint Mary's 9- 3 6 -2 +++ 7.74 322 A Boise State 7- 1 6 -2 +++ 7.58 327 A Utah Valley 9- 2 7 0 +++ 7.47 403 A San José State 14- 6 8 1 +++ 7.06 417 A New Mexico 12- 6 6 -1 +++ 7.34 206 H SIU Edwardsville 8- 0 8 5 + 3.21 213 H Washington 0- 2 -2 -4 + 2.40 227 H UC San Diego 4- 0 4 2 + 2.07 308 A Santa Clara 11- 8 3 1 + 2.46 404 A San José State 6- 2 4 1 + 3.06 424 A Nevada 8- 9 -1 -5 + 3.59 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H SIU Edwardsvil ( 2- 9, 87.5) 8- 0 -12.36 7.01 -0.74 0.56 7.03
3 H Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 9- 1 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.56 11.27
3 H Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 2- 0 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.56 11.27
3 H SIU Edwardsvil ( 2- 9, 87.5) 4- 5 -12.36 7.01 -0.74 0.56 -3.67
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 0- 2 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.56 -1.09
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 0- 9 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.56 -1.09
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 1- 6 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.56 -1.09
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 2-12 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.56 -0.02
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 5- 4 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.56 11.27
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 2- 5 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.56 -2.08
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 0-11 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.56 -0.11
3 A Pacific ( 2-12, 89.7) 5- 4 -10.17 9.20 0.74 0.56 11.14
3 H UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 4- 0 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.56 10.23
3 A UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 5- 4 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.56 11.89
3 A Pacific ( 2-12, 89.7) 3- 0 -10.17 9.20 0.74 0.56 11.14
3 A Cal State Bake ( 0-18, 86.8) 4- 3 -13.11 6.26 0.74 0.56 7.84
3 A Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 9- 3 -7.30 12.07 0.74 0.56 14.35
3 H Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 4- 9 -7.30 12.07 -0.74 0.56 -2.25
3 A Santa Clara ( 5-13, 90.3) 11- 8 -9.59 9.78 0.74 0.56 11.79
3 A Santa Clara ( 5-13, 90.3) 1- 2 -9.59 9.78 0.74 0.56 -2.48
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 2- 9 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.56 -3.15
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 4- 8 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.56 -3.15
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 6- 2 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.56 9.11
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 3- 5 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.56 -1.88
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 2- 3 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.56 -1.88
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 7- 1 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.56 14.16
3 A Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 9- 2 -8.58 10.79 0.74 0.56 12.92
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 4- 5 -9.99 9.38 0.74 0.56 -2.59
3 H UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 3- 5 -8.39 10.98 -0.74 0.56 -2.56
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 4- 3 -9.99 9.38 0.74 0.56 11.34
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 14- 6 -9.99 9.38 0.74 0.56 11.34
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 6- 2 -9.99 9.38 0.74 0.56 11.34
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 1- 4 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 0.56 -1.39
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 0- 6 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 0.56 -1.39
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 3- 2 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.56 11.38
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 2- 1 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.56 11.38
3 H Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 1-11 -3.57 15.80 -0.74 0.56 -1.21
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 12- 6 -7.70 11.67 0.74 0.56 13.90
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 5- 6 -7.70 11.67 0.74 0.56 -1.95
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 1-12 -7.70 11.67 0.74 0.56 -1.95
3 A Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 8- 9 -4.45 14.92 0.74 0.56 -1.04
3 A Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 4- 7 -4.45 14.92 0.74 0.56 -1.04
3 H San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 5- 4 -9.99 9.38 -0.74 0.56 9.68
3 H San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 1- 3 -7.65 11.72 -0.74 0.56 -2.35
3 H San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 4- 2 -7.65 11.72 -0.74 0.56 12.30
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206.64
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winning pts = 248.0546 losing points = -41.4181
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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