Georgia Southern
W-L: (19-31) PR = 90.6441Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H UNC Greensboro SO ( 7- 9, 91.1) 7- 5 206 H Eastern Illinois OV ( 3-13, 90.0) 12- 4 207 H Eastern Illinois OV ( 3-13, 90.0) 4-10 207 H Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 0- 1 208 H UNC Greensboro SO ( 7- 9, 91.1) 2- 0 213 H Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 0- 4 213 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 3- 5 214 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 1- 6 214 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 7- 8 218 A Mercer SO ( 3-11, 86.0) 3- 5 220 H Tennessee Tech OV ( 0- 2, 85.0) 11- 0 221 H Rhode Island A10 ( 1- 5, 90.1) 2- 1 221 H Eastern Kentucky ASUN ( 4-11, 90.2) 5- 0 227 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 8- 7 228 H Wofford SO ( 1- 5, 89.5) 1-11 228 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 0- 8 306 A Presbyterian BSO ( 0- 4, 85.7) 8- 0 306 A Jacksonville ASUN ( 1- 7, 88.9) 6- 7 307 H Presbyterian BSO ( 0- 4, 85.7) 5- 4 307 A North Florida ASUN ( 6- 5, 93.8) 4-13 308 A North Florida ASUN ( 6- 5, 93.8) 0- 8 310 A Charleston Southern BSO ( 0- 9, 85.8) 8- 0 313 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 4- 2 314 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 1- 3 315 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 3- 9 318 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 3-13 320 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 6-11 321 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 0- 1 322 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 3- 9 324 H Charleston CA ( 2-13, 87.9) 7- 1 327 H Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 7-10 327 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 9-10 328 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 10- 2 402 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 2- 5 403 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 2- 0 404 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 5- 6 408 H Mercer SO ( 3-11, 86.0) 4- 1 410 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 0- 1 411 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 2- 1 412 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 1- 2 415 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 0- 8 417 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 1- 5 418 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 3- 6 419 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 2- 4 422 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 0- 8 424 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 5- 7 425 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 3-13 426 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 6- 1 430 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 4- 4 501 A Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 6- 4 502 A Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 7- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H UNC Greensboro 7- 5 2 0 1.76
206 H Eastern Illinois 12- 4 8 1 +++ 6.57
207 H Eastern Illinois 4-10 -6 1 --- -7.43
208 H UNC Greensboro 2- 0 2 0 1.76
213 H Purdue 0- 4 -4 -3 -0.94
213 A Liberty 3- 5 -2 -2 0.47
214 H Liberty 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.02
214 A Purdue 7- 8 -1 -5 + 3.55
218 A Mercer 3- 5 -2 4 -- -5.86
220 H Tennessee Tech 11- 0 11 6 ++ 4.64
221 H Rhode Island 2- 1 1 1 -0.26
221 H Eastern Kentucky 5- 0 5 1 + 3.82
227 A Clemson 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 5.01
228 H Wofford 1-11 -10 2 --- -11.85
228 A Mississippi State 0- 8 -8 -7 -1.37
306 A Presbyterian 8- 0 8 4 + 3.81
306 A Jacksonville 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.01
307 H Presbyterian 5- 4 1 6 -- -4.67
307 A North Florida 4-13 -9 -4 -- -5.10
308 A North Florida 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.10
310 A Charleston Southern 8- 0 8 4 + 3.93
313 H James Madison 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.34
314 H James Madison 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.66
315 H James Madison 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -4.66
318 A South Carolina 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.93
320 A Marshall 6-11 -5 -4 -1.03
322 A Marshall 3- 9 -6 -4 - -2.03
324 H Charleston 7- 1 6 4 + 2.50
327 H Virginia 7-10 -3 -3 0.10
327 H Utah Tech 9-10 -1 2 - -3.19
328 H Clemson 10- 2 8 -3 +++ 10.53
402 H UL Monroe 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.75
403 H UL Monroe 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.25
404 H UL Monroe 5- 6 -1 -1 0.25
408 H Mercer 4- 1 3 5 - -2.34
411 A Southern Miss 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.76
412 A Southern Miss 1- 2 -1 -2 0.76
415 A Georgia Tech 0- 8 -8 -5 - -3.07
417 H Troy 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.63
418 H Troy 3- 6 -3 -1 -1.63
419 H Troy 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.63
422 A Georgia 0- 8 -8 -8 -0.21
424 H App State 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.72
425 A Ole Miss 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.60
426 A Texas A&M 6- 1 5 -7 +++ 11.88
430 H South Alabama 4- 4 0 -1 1.00
501 A Georgia State 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.50
502 A Georgia State 7- 2 5 -1 +++ 6.50
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Eastern Illinois 4-10 -6 1 --- -7.43 228 H Wofford 1-11 -10 2 --- -11.85 214 H Liberty 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.02 218 A Mercer 3- 5 -2 4 -- -5.86 307 H Presbyterian 5- 4 1 6 -- -4.67 307 A North Florida 4-13 -9 -4 -- -5.10 308 A North Florida 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.10 315 H James Madison 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -4.66 318 A South Carolina 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.93 425 A Ole Miss 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.60 306 A Jacksonville 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.01 322 A Marshall 3- 9 -6 -4 - -2.03 327 H Utah Tech 9-10 -1 2 - -3.19 408 H Mercer 4- 1 3 5 - -2.34 415 A Georgia Tech 0- 8 -8 -5 - -3.07 417 H Troy 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Eastern Illinois 12- 4 8 1 +++ 6.57 328 H Clemson 10- 2 8 -3 +++ 10.53 426 A Texas A&M 6- 1 5 -7 +++ 11.88 502 A Georgia State 7- 2 5 -1 +++ 6.50 220 H Tennessee Tech 11- 0 11 6 ++ 4.64 227 A Clemson 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 5.01 214 A Purdue 7- 8 -1 -5 + 3.55 221 H Eastern Kentucky 5- 0 5 1 + 3.82 306 A Presbyterian 8- 0 8 4 + 3.81 310 A Charleston Southern 8- 0 8 4 + 3.93 313 H James Madison 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.34 324 H Charleston 7- 1 6 4 + 2.50 403 H UL Monroe 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.25 411 A Southern Miss 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.76 501 A Georgia State 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.50 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UNC Greensboro ( 7- 9, 91.1) 7- 5 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.49 9.76
3 H Eastern Illino ( 3-13, 90.0) 12- 4 -9.94 9.43 -0.74 0.49 8.59
3 H Eastern Illino ( 3-13, 90.0) 4-10 -9.94 9.43 -0.74 0.49 -2.64
3 H Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 0- 1 -6.31 13.06 -0.74 0.49 -1.74
3 H UNC Greensboro ( 7- 9, 91.1) 2- 0 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.49 9.76
3 H Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 0- 4 -5.45 13.92 -0.74 0.49 -1.53
3 A Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 3- 5 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.49 -1.68
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 1- 6 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.49 -2.04
3 A Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 7- 8 -5.45 13.92 0.74 0.49 -1.16
3 A Mercer ( 3-11, 86.0) 3- 5 -13.85 5.52 0.74 0.49 -3.24
3 H Tennessee Tech ( 0- 2, 85.0) 11- 0 -14.88 4.49 -0.74 0.49 3.71
3 H Rhode Island ( 1- 5, 90.1) 2- 1 -9.77 9.60 -0.74 0.49 8.76
3 H Eastern Kentuc ( 4-11, 90.2) 5- 0 -9.70 9.67 -0.74 0.49 8.83
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 8- 7 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.49 13.96
3 H Wofford ( 1- 5, 89.5) 1-11 -10.37 9.00 -0.74 0.49 -2.75
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 0- 8 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.49 -0.65
3 A Presbyterian ( 0- 4, 85.7) 8- 0 -14.18 5.19 0.74 0.49 5.86
3 A Jacksonville ( 1- 7, 88.9) 6- 7 -11.01 8.36 0.74 0.49 -2.54
3 H Presbyterian ( 0- 4, 85.7) 5- 4 -14.18 5.19 -0.74 0.49 4.39
3 A North Florida ( 6- 5, 93.8) 4-13 -6.10 13.27 0.74 0.49 -1.32
3 A North Florida ( 6- 5, 93.8) 0- 8 -6.10 13.27 0.74 0.49 -1.32
3 A Charleston Sou ( 0- 9, 85.8) 8- 0 -14.07 5.30 0.74 0.49 5.97
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 4- 2 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.49 11.32
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 1- 3 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.49 -1.96
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 3- 9 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.49 -1.96
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 3-13 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.49 -1.04
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 6-11 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.49 -1.31
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 0- 1 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.49 -1.31
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 3- 9 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.49 -1.31
3 H Charleston ( 2-13, 87.9) 7- 1 -12.02 7.35 -0.74 0.49 6.53
3 H Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 7-10 -5.41 13.96 -0.74 0.49 -1.52
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 9-10 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 0.49 -2.83
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 10- 2 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.49 12.50
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 2- 5 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.49 -1.98
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 2- 0 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.49 11.24
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 5- 6 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.49 -1.98
3 H Mercer ( 3-11, 86.0) 4- 1 -13.85 5.52 -0.74 0.49 4.72
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 0- 1 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.49 -1.85
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 2- 1 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.49 11.74
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 1- 2 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.49 -1.85
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 0- 8 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.49 -1.07
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 1- 5 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 0.49 -1.95
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 3- 6 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 0.49 -1.95
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 2- 4 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 0.49 -1.95
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 0- 8 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.49 -0.36
3 H App State (29-22, 92.7) 5- 7 -7.23 12.14 -0.74 0.49 -1.97
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 3-13 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.49 -0.95
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 6- 1 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.49 16.80
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 4- 4 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 0.49 0.00
3 A Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 6- 4 -8.50 10.87 0.74 0.49 11.48
3 A Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 7- 2 -8.50 10.87 0.74 0.49 11.48
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123.69
|
winning pts = 177.3850 losing points = -53.6948
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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