UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Gardner-Webb
  
Gardner-Webb          
W-L: ( 2- 4) PR = 87.3591

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 3-14 221 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 4-16 222 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 8- 0 331 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 4-12 404 A USC Upstate BSO ( 3-11, 90.6) 4- 1 407 A App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 3-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Tarleton State          3-14     -11    -3    ---   -7.63
   221 A Jacksonville State      4-16     -12    -8    -     -3.85
   222 H Louisiana               8- 0       8    -5    +++   13.12
   331 A Clemson                 4-12      -8    -7          -0.70
   404 A USC Upstate             4- 1       3    -4    +++    7.02
   407 A App State               3-20     -17    -6    ---   -7.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Tarleton State          3-14     -11    -3    ---   -7.63
   407 A App State               3-20     -17    -6    ---   -7.95
   221 A Jacksonville State      4-16     -12    -8    -     -3.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Louisiana               8- 0       8    -5    +++   13.12
   404 A USC Upstate             4- 1       3    -4    +++    7.02

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)     3-14       -8.43      10.94      -0.74         4.20           -19.26
   3 A Jacksonville S  (42-14, 94.8)     4-16       -5.13      14.24       0.74         4.20            -9.22
   3 H Louisiana       (28-28, 93.2)     8- 0       -6.68      12.69      -0.74         4.20           100.35
   3 A Clemson         (33-24, 93.9)     4-12       -5.99      13.38       0.74         4.20           -11.01
   3 A USC Upstate     ( 3-11, 90.6)     4- 1       -9.27      10.10       0.74         4.20            91.12
   3 A App State       (29-22, 92.7)     3-20       -7.23      12.14       0.74         4.20           -13.64
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       138.34

winning pts = 191.4677 losing points = -53.1298

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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