UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Houston
  
Houston               
W-L: (20-30) PR = 91.1102

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 8- 1 206 H Fairfield MAAC ( 0- 5, 86.3) 3- 2 206 H Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 7- 0 207 H Fairfield MAAC ( 0- 5, 86.3) 9- 1 212 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 6- 3 213 H Lafayette PAT ( 0- 4, 84.3) 12- 4 213 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 2-10 214 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 10- 9 215 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 7- 8 220 A McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 3- 7 220 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 4- 3 221 A McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 9- 1 221 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 2- 8 222 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 10- 5 226 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 1- 8 227 A St. Bonaventure A10 ( 0- 6, 87.0) 3- 1 227 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 1- 9 228 A Incarnate Word SL ( 4-10, 90.2) 7- 6 228 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 3- 5, 89.5) 5- 7 301 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 3- 5, 89.5) 8- 0 301 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 3- 5, 89.5) 8- 0 303 H McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 9-14 304 A Incarnate Word SL ( 4-10, 90.2) 7- 4 306 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0-10 306 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 1-11 307 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 6-12 310 H Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 5- 0 313 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 10- 9 314 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 1-18 315 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 8-11 317 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 8-12 318 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 2- 9 320 A Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 1- 9 321 A Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 7- 9 322 A Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 7- 8 324 A Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 5-13 327 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 1- 4 328 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 0- 6 329 H UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 8-22 331 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 6- 1 402 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 3- 2 403 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 2- 7 404 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 10- 1 409 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 10-13 410 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 6-10 411 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 9-10 417 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 2- 5 418 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 8-16 419 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 0-10 424 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 1- 9 425 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 426 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 4- 4

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   205 H Houston Christian       8- 1       7     4    +      3.09
   206 H Fairfield               3- 2       1     6    --    -4.60
   206 H Houston Christian       7- 0       7     4    +      3.09
   207 H Fairfield               9- 1       8     6    +      2.40
   212 H Pittsburgh              6- 3       3     1           1.86
   213 H Lafayette              12- 4       8     8           0.46
   213 H Penn State              2-10      -8    -3    --    -4.89
   214 H Michigan               10- 9       1    -3    +      3.90
   215 A Utah State              7- 8      -1     1          -1.97
   220 A McNeese                 3- 7      -4    -2          -1.55
   220 A Missouri                4- 3       1    -4    ++     5.13
   221 A McNeese                 9- 1       8    -2    +++   10.45
   221 H Missouri                2- 8      -6    -3    -     -3.35
   222 H South Florida          10- 5       5    -2    +++    6.59
   226 A Texas A&M               1- 8      -7    -6          -0.58
   227 A St. Bonaventure         3- 1       2     3          -1.41
   227 A Texas                   1- 9      -8    -9           0.59
   228 A Incarnate Word          7- 6       1     0           0.85
   228 H Prairie View A&M        5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.34
   301 H Prairie View A&M        8- 0       8     2    ++     5.66
   301 H Prairie View A&M        8- 0       8     2    ++     5.66
   303 H McNeese                 9-14      -5    -1    --    -4.04
   304 A Incarnate Word          7- 4       3     0    +      2.85
   306 H Texas Tech              0-10     -10    -7    -     -2.61
   306 H Texas Tech              1-11     -10    -7    -     -2.61
   307 H Texas Tech              6-12      -6    -7           1.39
   310 H Lamar                   5- 0       5    -1    ++     5.78
   313 H Kansas                 10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.34
   314 H Kansas                  1-18     -17    -3    ---  -10.66
   315 H Kansas                  8-11      -3    -3           0.34
   317 H Texas State             8-12      -4    -2    -     -2.24
   318 H Kentucky                2- 9      -7    -2    --    -5.12
   320 A Iowa State              1- 9      -8    -4    --    -4.32
   321 A Iowa State              7- 9      -2    -4           1.68
   322 A Iowa State              7- 8      -1    -4    +      2.68
   324 A Lamar                   5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.74
   327 A San José State         1- 4      -3     0    -     -3.46
   328 A Southern Miss           0- 6      -6    -1    --    -4.71
   329 H UCF                     8-22     -14    -4    ---   -9.60
   331 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris  6- 1       5     3    +      2.19
   402 A Baylor                  3- 2       1    -4    ++     4.86
   403 A Baylor                  2- 7      -5    -4          -1.14
   404 A Baylor                 10- 1       9    -4    +++   12.86
   409 A BYU                    10-13      -3    -1          -1.94
   410 A BYU                     6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.94
   411 A BYU                     9-10      -1    -1           0.06
   417 H Arizona State           2- 5      -3    -5           1.60
   418 H Arizona State           8-16      -8    -5    -     -3.40
   419 H Arizona State           0-10     -10    -5    --    -5.40
   424 A Arizona                 1- 9      -8    -7          -1.30
   426 H Nevada                  4- 4       0    -4    +      3.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Kansas                  1-18     -17    -3    ---  -10.66
   329 H UCF                     8-22     -14    -4    ---   -9.60
   206 H Fairfield               3- 2       1     6    --    -4.60
   213 H Penn State              2-10      -8    -3    --    -4.89
   228 H Prairie View A&M        5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.34
   303 H McNeese                 9-14      -5    -1    --    -4.04
   318 H Kentucky                2- 9      -7    -2    --    -5.12
   320 A Iowa State              1- 9      -8    -4    --    -4.32
   324 A Lamar                   5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.74
   328 A Southern Miss           0- 6      -6    -1    --    -4.71
   419 H Arizona State           0-10     -10    -5    --    -5.40
   221 H Missouri                2- 8      -6    -3    -     -3.35
   306 H Texas Tech              0-10     -10    -7    -     -2.61
   306 H Texas Tech              1-11     -10    -7    -     -2.61
   317 H Texas State             8-12      -4    -2    -     -2.24
   327 A San José State         1- 4      -3     0    -     -3.46
   410 A BYU                     6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.94
   418 H Arizona State           8-16      -8    -5    -     -3.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A McNeese                 9- 1       8    -2    +++   10.45
   222 H South Florida          10- 5       5    -2    +++    6.59
   404 A Baylor                 10- 1       9    -4    +++   12.86
   220 A Missouri                4- 3       1    -4    ++     5.13
   301 H Prairie View A&M        8- 0       8     2    ++     5.66
   301 H Prairie View A&M        8- 0       8     2    ++     5.66
   310 H Lamar                   5- 0       5    -1    ++     5.78
   313 H Kansas                 10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.34
   402 A Baylor                  3- 2       1    -4    ++     4.86
   205 H Houston Christian       8- 1       7     4    +      3.09
   206 H Houston Christian       7- 0       7     4    +      3.09
   207 H Fairfield               9- 1       8     6    +      2.40
   214 H Michigan               10- 9       1    -3    +      3.90
   304 A Incarnate Word          7- 4       3     0    +      2.85
   322 A Iowa State              7- 8      -1    -4    +      2.68
   331 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris  6- 1       5     3    +      2.19
   426 H Nevada                  4- 4       0    -4    +      3.59

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Houston Christ  ( 2-13, 87.9)     8- 1      -11.96       7.41      -0.74         0.49             6.59
   3 H Fairfield       ( 0- 5, 86.3)     3- 2      -13.65       5.72      -0.74         0.49             4.92
   3 H Houston Christ  ( 2-13, 87.9)     7- 0      -11.96       7.41      -0.74         0.49             6.59
   3 H Fairfield       ( 0- 5, 86.3)     9- 1      -13.65       5.72      -0.74         0.49             4.92
   3 H Pittsburgh      (26-25, 90.7)     6- 3       -9.19      10.18      -0.74         0.49             9.33
   3 H Lafayette       ( 0- 4, 84.3)    12- 4      -15.59       3.78      -0.74         0.49             3.01
   3 H Penn State      (32-22, 95.0)     2-10       -4.94      14.43      -0.74         0.49            -1.40
   3 H Michigan        (35-22, 94.8)    10- 9       -5.14      14.23      -0.74         0.49            13.33
   3 A Utah State      (22-32, 89.4)     7- 8      -10.50       8.87       0.74         0.49            -2.41
   3 A McNeese         (18-11, 92.8)     3- 7       -7.09      12.28       0.74         0.49            -1.57
   3 A Missouri        (24-31, 94.5)     4- 3       -5.40      13.97       0.74         0.49            14.54
   3 A McNeese         (18-11, 92.8)     9- 1       -7.09      12.28       0.74         0.49            12.87
   3 H Missouri        (24-31, 94.5)     2- 8       -5.40      13.97      -0.74         0.49            -1.52
   3 H South Florida   (42-18, 93.4)    10- 5       -6.46      12.91      -0.74         0.49            12.03
   3 A Texas A&M       (38-19, 96.8)     1- 8       -3.12      16.25       0.74         0.49            -0.59
   3 A St. Bonaventur  ( 0- 6, 87.0)     3- 1      -12.94       6.43       0.74         0.49             7.09
   3 A Texas           (52-13, 99.0)     1- 9       -0.94      18.43       0.74         0.49            -0.05
   3 A Incarnate Word  ( 4-10, 90.2)     7- 6       -9.68       9.69       0.74         0.49            10.31
   3 H Prairie View A  ( 3- 5, 89.5)     5- 7      -10.39       8.98      -0.74         0.49            -2.75
   3 H Prairie View A  ( 3- 5, 89.5)     8- 0      -10.39       8.98      -0.74         0.49             8.14
   3 H Prairie View A  ( 3- 5, 89.5)     8- 0      -10.39       8.98      -0.74         0.49             8.14
   3 H McNeese         (18-11, 92.8)     9-14       -7.09      12.28      -0.74         0.49            -1.93
   3 A Incarnate Word  ( 4-10, 90.2)     7- 4       -9.68       9.69       0.74         0.49            10.31
   3 H Texas Tech      (60-11, 99.2)     0-10       -0.66      18.71      -0.74         0.49            -0.35
   3 H Texas Tech      (60-11, 99.2)     1-11       -0.66      18.71      -0.74         0.49            -0.35
   3 H Texas Tech      (60-11, 99.2)     6-12       -0.66      18.71      -0.74         0.49            -0.35
   3 H Lamar           (10- 7, 92.6)     5- 0       -7.27      12.10      -0.74         0.49            11.23
   3 H Kansas          (34-24, 95.2)    10- 9       -4.71      14.66      -0.74         0.49            13.76
   3 H Kansas          (34-24, 95.2)     1-18       -4.71      14.66      -0.74         0.49            -1.35
   3 H Kansas          (34-24, 95.2)     8-11       -4.71      14.66      -0.74         0.49            -1.35
   3 H Texas State     (36-23, 93.6)     8-12       -6.29      13.08      -0.74         0.49            -1.74
   3 H Kentucky        (28-27, 93.7)     2- 9       -6.17      13.20      -0.74         0.49            -1.71
   3 A Iowa State      (33-21, 94.1)     1- 9       -5.85      13.52       0.74         0.49            -1.26
   3 A Iowa State      (33-21, 94.1)     7- 9       -5.85      13.52       0.74         0.49            -1.26
   3 A Iowa State      (33-21, 94.1)     7- 8       -5.85      13.52       0.74         0.49            -1.26
   3 A Lamar           (10- 7, 92.6)     5-13       -7.27      12.10       0.74         0.49            -1.61
   3 A San José Stat  (14-33, 89.9)     1- 4       -9.99       9.38       0.74         0.49            -2.28
   3 A Southern Miss   (35-23, 91.7)     0- 6       -8.24      11.13       0.74         0.49            -1.85
   3 H UCF             (40-20, 96.2)     8-22       -3.65      15.72      -0.74         0.49            -1.09
   3 A Texas A&M-Corp  ( 2-18, 87.6)     6- 1      -12.34       7.03       0.74         0.49             7.68
   3 A Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)     3- 2       -5.67      13.70       0.74         0.49            14.27
   3 A Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)     2- 7       -5.67      13.70       0.74         0.49            -1.22
   3 A Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)    10- 1       -5.67      13.70       0.74         0.49            14.27
   3 A BYU             (19-29, 91.4)    10-13       -8.48      10.89       0.74         0.49            -1.91
   3 A BYU             (19-29, 91.4)     6-10       -8.48      10.89       0.74         0.49            -1.91
   3 A BYU             (19-29, 91.4)     9-10       -8.48      10.89       0.74         0.49            -1.91
   3 H Arizona State   (45-18, 96.4)     2- 5       -3.45      15.92      -0.74         0.49            -1.04
   3 H Arizona State   (45-18, 96.4)     8-16       -3.45      15.92      -0.74         0.49            -1.04
   3 H Arizona State   (45-18, 96.4)     0-10       -3.45      15.92      -0.74         0.49            -1.04
   3 A Arizona         (36-19, 97.1)     1- 9       -2.83      16.54       0.74         0.49            -0.52
   3 H Nevada          (37-19, 95.4)     4- 4       -4.45      14.92      -0.74         0.49             0.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       152.74

winning pts = 193.3402 losing points = -40.5983

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------