Illinois State
W-L: ( 5- 5) PR = 91.7778Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 5- 1 206 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 5-13 206 H Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 0- 7 207 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 2- 6 213 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 2- 1 214 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 6- 4 214 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 11- 5 215 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 4- 8 310 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 3- 6 331 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 8- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A South Florida 5- 1 4 -2 +++ 6.41
206 H Kansas 5-13 -8 -3 -- -5.33
206 H Florida 0- 7 -7 -5 -1.83
207 A Michigan 2- 6 -4 -4 -0.28
213 A San José State 2- 1 1 1 -0.12
214 A Utah 6- 4 2 -4 +++ 6.28
214 A San José State 11- 5 6 1 ++ 4.88
215 H California 4- 8 -4 1 -- -5.19
310 H Abilene Christian 3- 6 -3 5 --- -7.78
331 A Illinois 8- 4 4 1 + 2.97
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Abilene Christian 3- 6 -3 5 --- -7.78 206 H Kansas 5-13 -8 -3 -- -5.33 215 H California 4- 8 -4 1 -- -5.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 A South Florida 5- 1 4 -2 +++ 6.41 214 A Utah 6- 4 2 -4 +++ 6.28 214 A San José State 11- 5 6 1 ++ 4.88 331 A Illinois 8- 4 4 1 + 2.97 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 5- 1 -6.46 12.91 0.74 2.52 68.83
3 H Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 5-13 -4.71 14.66 -0.74 2.52 -6.87
3 H Florida (51-13, 97.7) 0- 7 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 2.52 -3.72
3 A Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 2- 6 -5.14 14.23 0.74 2.52 -5.55
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 2- 1 -9.99 9.38 0.74 2.52 51.03
3 A Utah (36-19, 95.3) 6- 4 -4.58 14.79 0.74 2.52 78.28
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 11- 5 -9.99 9.38 0.74 2.52 51.03
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 4- 8 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 2.52 -11.73
3 H Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 3- 6 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 2.52 -16.26
3 A Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 8- 4 -9.90 9.47 0.74 2.52 51.49
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256.54
|
winning pts = 300.6732 losing points = -44.1319
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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