UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Indiana State
  
Indiana State         
W-L: ( 1- 8) PR = 88.2967

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 212 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 4-10 212 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 2- 4 214 A Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 4- 1 222 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 0- 8 311 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 2- 5 320 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 0-10 321 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 1-12 322 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 1-11 421 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 5- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 A Kansas                  4-10      -6    -8           1.64
   212 A South Florida           2- 4      -2    -6    +      3.89
   214 A Boston College          4- 1       3    -3    ++     5.85
   222 A Kentucky                0- 8      -8    -6          -1.83
   311 A Purdue                  2- 5      -3    -7    +      3.90
   320 A Ohio State              0-10     -10    -6    -     -3.71
   321 H Louisville              1-12     -11    -7    --    -4.49
   322 A Ohio State              1-11     -10    -6    -     -3.71
   421 A Illinois                5- 9      -4    -2          -1.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Louisville              1-12     -11    -7    --    -4.49
   320 A Ohio State              0-10     -10    -6    -     -3.71
   322 A Ohio State              1-11     -10    -6    -     -3.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Boston College          4- 1       3    -3    ++     5.85
   212 A South Florida           2- 4      -2    -6    +      3.89
   311 A Purdue                  2- 5      -3    -7    +      3.90

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Kansas          (34-24, 95.2)     4-10       -4.71      14.66       0.74         2.80            -5.55
   3 A South Florida   (42-18, 93.4)     2- 4       -6.46      12.91       0.74         2.80            -8.00
   3 A Boston College  (14-38, 90.4)     4- 1       -9.49       9.88       0.74         2.80            59.48
   3 A Kentucky        (28-27, 93.7)     0- 8       -6.17      13.20       0.74         2.80            -7.60
   3 A Purdue          (36-17, 94.5)     2- 5       -5.45      13.92       0.74         2.80            -6.59
   3 A Ohio State      (24-28, 93.8)     0-10       -6.05      13.32       0.74         2.80            -7.43
   3 H Louisville      (45-15, 95.6)     1-12       -4.35      15.02      -0.74         2.80            -7.13
   3 A Ohio State      (24-28, 93.8)     1-11       -6.05      13.32       0.74         2.80            -7.43
   3 A Illinois        (16-39, 90.0)     5- 9       -9.90       9.47       0.74         2.80           -12.82
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -3.08

winning pts = 59.4814 losing points = -62.5625

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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