Iowa State
W-L: (33-21) PR = 94.0525Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Omaha SM (12- 7, 95.8) 5-13 207 H Omaha SM (12- 7, 95.8) 4- 5 207 A Kansas City SM ( 2- 8, 88.6) 16- 2 208 H Butler BE ( 0- 4, 86.1) 16- 4 208 A Northern Iowa MV ( 2- 6, 91.3) 5- 3 213 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 9- 5 213 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 1- 5 214 A UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 15-11 215 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 8-11 220 A Central Michigan MA ( 1- 3, 89.8) 7- 5 220 A Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 5- 2 221 A Long Island University NE ( 0- 8, 88.4) 12- 0 221 H North Dakota State SM ( 4- 7, 92.2) 6- 5 222 A Army PAT ( 4- 9, 91.1) 9- 2 227 H Long Island University NE ( 0- 8, 88.4) 4- 1 227 A UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 3- 4 228 A Long Island University NE ( 0- 8, 88.4) 10- 5 228 A UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 5- 7 301 A UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 10- 1 301 A UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 10- 1 306 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 1- 8 306 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 2- 4 313 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 3- 0 313 A South Dakota SM ( 5-14, 91.7) 9- 4 314 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 4- 6 318 A Creighton BE ( 4-12, 90.8) 6- 2 320 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 9- 1 321 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 9- 7 322 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 8- 7 325 H Drake MV ( 2-10, 90.9) 6- 5 327 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 1- 0 328 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 2- 0 329 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 6-17 331 H Northern Iowa MV ( 2- 6, 91.3) 10- 2 405 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 7-10 405 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 7- 8 406 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 12-10 408 A Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 9- 7 410 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 3- 8 410 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 12- 0 412 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 2- 9 414 H South Dakota SM ( 5-14, 91.7) 8- 0 416 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 14-10 417 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 5- 6 418 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 9- 6 421 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 2- 7 424 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 4- 1 424 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 2-12 425 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 2-11 428 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 6- 4 428 A Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 11-11 429 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 7-10 501 H UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 5- 8 502 H UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 13- 9 503 H UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 4-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Omaha 5-13 -8 -2 -- -5.54
207 H Omaha 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.02
207 A Kansas City 16- 2 14 5 +++ 9.32
208 H Butler 16- 4 12 9 + 3.33
208 A Northern Iowa 5- 3 2 2 -0.05
213 A Tulsa 9- 5 4 1 + 2.53
213 H Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.97
214 A UT Arlington 15-11 4 2 1.84
215 A Wisconsin 8-11 -3 -1 - -2.48
220 A Central Michigan 7- 5 2 4 -1.51
220 A Minnesota 5- 2 3 2 0.89
221 A Long Island University 12- 0 12 5 +++ 7.11
221 H North Dakota State 6- 5 1 3 -1.62
222 A Army 9- 2 7 2 ++ 4.74
227 H Long Island University 4- 1 3 6 - -3.38
227 A UC San Diego 3- 4 -1 3 - -3.90
228 A Long Island University 10- 5 5 5 0.11
228 A UC San Diego 5- 7 -2 3 -- -4.90
301 A UC San Diego 10- 1 9 3 +++ 6.10
301 A UC San Diego 10- 1 9 3 +++ 6.10
306 A Baylor 1- 8 -7 -1 --- -6.08
306 A Baylor 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.08
313 H Minnesota 3- 0 3 4 -0.59
313 A South Dakota 9- 4 5 2 + 3.39
314 A Missouri 4- 6 -2 -1 -0.81
318 A Creighton 6- 2 4 3 1.46
320 H Houston 9- 1 8 4 ++ 4.32
321 H Houston 9- 7 2 4 -1.68
322 H Houston 8- 7 1 4 - -2.68
325 H Drake 6- 5 1 4 - -2.93
328 H Mississippi State 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.73
329 A Texas Tech 6-17 -11 -6 -- -5.07
331 H Northern Iowa 10- 2 8 4 ++ 4.47
405 H Arizona 7-10 -3 -2 -0.72
405 H Arizona 7- 8 -1 -2 1.28
406 H Arizona 12-10 2 -2 ++ 4.28
408 A Iowa 9- 7 2 0 1.65
410 H Oklahoma State 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.69
410 H Oklahoma State 12- 0 12 -2 +++ 14.31
412 H Oklahoma State 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -4.69
414 H South Dakota 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.90
416 A BYU 14-10 4 2 + 2.11
417 A BYU 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.89
418 A BYU 9- 6 3 2 1.11
421 H Iowa 2- 7 -5 2 --- -6.84
424 A Kansas 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.88
424 A Kansas 2-12 -10 -2 --- -8.12
425 H Auburn 2-11 -9 0 --- -9.04
428 A Virginia 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.18
428 A Weber State 11-11 0 5 -- -5.36
429 H Iowa 7-10 -3 2 -- -4.84
501 H UCF 5- 8 -3 -1 -1.54
502 H UCF 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 5.46
503 H UCF 4-12 -8 -1 --- -6.54
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Baylor 1- 8 -7 -1 --- -6.08 421 H Iowa 2- 7 -5 2 --- -6.84 424 A Kansas 2-12 -10 -2 --- -8.12 425 H Auburn 2-11 -9 0 --- -9.04 503 H UCF 4-12 -8 -1 --- -6.54 206 A Omaha 5-13 -8 -2 -- -5.54 213 H Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.97 228 A UC San Diego 5- 7 -2 3 -- -4.90 329 A Texas Tech 6-17 -11 -6 -- -5.07 412 H Oklahoma State 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -4.69 428 A Weber State 11-11 0 5 -- -5.36 429 H Iowa 7-10 -3 2 -- -4.84 215 A Wisconsin 8-11 -3 -1 - -2.48 227 H Long Island University 4- 1 3 6 - -3.38 227 A UC San Diego 3- 4 -1 3 - -3.90 322 H Houston 8- 7 1 4 - -2.68 325 H Drake 6- 5 1 4 - -2.93 410 H Oklahoma State 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.69 417 A BYU 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.89 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Kansas City 16- 2 14 5 +++ 9.32 221 A Long Island University 12- 0 12 5 +++ 7.11 301 A UC San Diego 10- 1 9 3 +++ 6.10 301 A UC San Diego 10- 1 9 3 +++ 6.10 410 H Oklahoma State 12- 0 12 -2 +++ 14.31 222 A Army 9- 2 7 2 ++ 4.74 320 H Houston 9- 1 8 4 ++ 4.32 331 H Northern Iowa 10- 2 8 4 ++ 4.47 406 H Arizona 12-10 2 -2 ++ 4.28 414 H South Dakota 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.90 424 A Kansas 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.88 502 H UCF 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 5.46 208 H Butler 16- 4 12 9 + 3.33 213 A Tulsa 9- 5 4 1 + 2.53 313 A South Dakota 9- 4 5 2 + 3.39 328 H Mississippi State 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.73 416 A BYU 14-10 4 2 + 2.11 428 A Virginia 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.18 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Omaha (12- 7, 95.8) 5-13 -4.13 15.24 0.74 0.46 -0.78
3 H Omaha (12- 7, 95.8) 4- 5 -4.13 15.24 -0.74 0.46 -1.12
3 A Kansas City ( 2- 8, 88.6) 16- 2 -11.27 8.10 0.74 0.46 8.10
3 H Butler ( 0- 4, 86.1) 16- 4 -13.77 5.60 -0.74 0.46 4.45
3 A Northern Iowa ( 2- 6, 91.3) 5- 3 -8.64 10.73 0.74 0.46 10.52
3 A Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 9- 5 -8.06 11.31 0.74 0.46 11.04
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 1- 5 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.46 -1.56
3 A UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 15-11 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.46 10.41
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 8-11 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.46 -1.22
3 A Central Michig ( 1- 3, 89.8) 7- 5 -10.10 9.27 0.74 0.46 9.18
3 A Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 5- 2 -8.70 10.67 0.74 0.46 10.46
3 A Long Island Un ( 0- 8, 88.4) 12- 0 -11.48 7.89 0.74 0.46 7.91
3 H North Dakota S ( 4- 7, 92.2) 6- 5 -7.72 11.65 -0.74 0.46 9.99
3 A Army ( 4- 9, 91.1) 9- 2 -8.85 10.52 0.74 0.46 10.32
3 H Long Island Un ( 0- 8, 88.4) 4- 1 -11.48 7.89 -0.74 0.46 6.55
3 A UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 3- 4 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.46 -2.01
3 A Long Island Un ( 0- 8, 88.4) 10- 5 -11.48 7.89 0.74 0.46 7.91
3 A UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 5- 7 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.46 -2.01
3 A UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 10- 1 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.46 9.73
3 A UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 10- 1 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.46 9.73
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 1- 8 -5.67 13.70 0.74 0.46 -1.13
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 2- 4 -5.67 13.70 0.74 0.46 -1.13
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 3- 0 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 0.46 9.10
3 A South Dakota ( 5-14, 91.7) 9- 4 -8.20 11.17 0.74 0.46 10.92
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 4- 6 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.46 -1.07
3 A Creighton ( 4-12, 90.8) 6- 2 -9.13 10.24 0.74 0.46 10.07
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 9- 1 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.46 9.02
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 9- 7 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.46 9.02
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 8- 7 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.46 9.02
3 H Drake ( 2-10, 90.9) 6- 5 -9.03 10.34 -0.74 0.46 8.80
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 1- 0 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.46 12.35
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 2- 0 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.46 13.98
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 6-17 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.46 -0.02
3 H Northern Iowa ( 2- 6, 91.3) 10- 2 -8.64 10.73 -0.74 0.46 9.16
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 7-10 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.46 -0.82
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 7- 8 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.46 -0.82
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 12-10 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.46 14.48
3 A Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 9- 7 -6.94 12.43 0.74 0.46 12.07
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 3- 8 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.46 -0.81
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 12- 0 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.46 14.51
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 2- 9 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.46 -0.81
3 H South Dakota ( 5-14, 91.7) 8- 0 -8.20 11.17 -0.74 0.46 9.55
3 A BYU (19-29, 91.4) 14-10 -8.48 10.89 0.74 0.46 10.66
3 A BYU (19-29, 91.4) 5- 6 -8.48 10.89 0.74 0.46 -1.77
3 A BYU (19-29, 91.4) 9- 6 -8.48 10.89 0.74 0.46 10.66
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 2- 7 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.46 -1.76
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 4- 1 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.46 14.12
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 2-12 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.46 -0.91
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 2-11 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.46 -1.35
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 6- 4 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.46 13.47
3 A Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 11-11 -11.95 7.42 0.74 0.46 0.00
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 7-10 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.46 -1.76
3 H UCF (40-20, 96.2) 5- 8 -3.65 15.72 -0.74 0.46 -1.01
3 H UCF (40-20, 96.2) 13- 9 -3.65 15.72 -0.74 0.46 13.73
3 H UCF (40-20, 96.2) 4-12 -3.65 15.72 -0.74 0.46 -1.01
------
316.15
|
winning pts = 341.0029 losing points = -24.8531
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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