Lamar
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 92.6304Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 1- 7 206 H Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 4- 3 207 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 5- 2 208 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 0- 8 208 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 0- 8 217 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 9- 4 221 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 4-12 222 H UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 3- 5 228 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 0- 3 303 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 10- 5 310 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 0- 5 318 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 8- 0 324 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 13- 5 406 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 10- 8 430 H UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 7- 5 502 A SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 2- 1 503 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 2- 1
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A NC State 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -5.12
206 H Illinois 4- 3 1 3 - -2.37
207 A Illinois 5- 2 3 2 1.11
208 H Nevada 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.93
208 A LSU 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.87
217 A Sam Houston 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.75
221 A UL Monroe 4-12 -8 -1 --- -7.25
222 H UCF 3- 5 -2 -3 0.88
228 A Southern Miss 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.23
303 H Sam Houston 10- 5 5 2 + 3.27
310 A Houston 0- 5 -5 1 -- -5.78
318 H Texas State 8- 0 8 0 +++ 8.24
324 H Houston 13- 5 8 2 ++ 5.74
406 A Baylor 10- 8 2 -2 ++ 4.34
430 H UNLV 7- 5 2 2 0.13
502 A SE Louisiana 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.78
503 H SE Louisiana 2- 1 1 0 1.29
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A UL Monroe 4-12 -8 -1 --- -7.25 205 A NC State 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -5.12 208 H Nevada 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.93 310 A Houston 0- 5 -5 1 -- -5.78 206 H Illinois 4- 3 1 3 - -2.37 208 A LSU 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.87 228 A Southern Miss 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H Texas State 8- 0 8 0 +++ 8.24 217 A Sam Houston 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.75 324 H Houston 13- 5 8 2 ++ 5.74 406 A Baylor 10- 8 2 -2 ++ 4.34 303 H Sam Houston 10- 5 5 2 + 3.27 502 A SE Louisiana 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.78 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 1- 7 -7.13 12.24 0.74 1.48 -4.73
3 H Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 4- 3 -9.90 9.47 -0.74 1.48 25.89
3 A Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 5- 2 -9.90 9.47 0.74 1.48 30.29
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 0- 8 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 1.48 -3.85
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 0- 8 -2.88 16.49 0.74 1.48 -1.58
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 9- 4 -8.26 11.11 0.74 1.48 35.15
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 4-12 -7.26 12.11 0.74 1.48 -4.83
3 H UCF (40-20, 96.2) 3- 5 -3.65 15.72 -0.74 1.48 -3.26
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 0- 3 -8.24 11.13 0.74 1.48 -5.56
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 10- 5 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 1.48 30.75
3 A Houston (20-30, 91.1) 0- 5 -8.79 10.58 0.74 1.48 -5.97
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 8- 0 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 1.48 36.58
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 13- 5 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 1.48 29.17
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 10- 8 -5.67 13.70 0.74 1.48 42.81
3 H UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 7- 5 -8.39 10.98 -0.74 1.48 30.35
3 A SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 2- 1 -6.23 13.14 0.74 1.48 41.15
3 H SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 2- 1 -6.23 13.14 -0.74 1.48 36.75
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309.11
|
winning pts = 338.8864 losing points = -29.7786
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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