UL Monroe
W-L: (36-21) PR = 92.6400Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 1-13 206 A McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 2- 6 207 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 4- 3 207 A McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 1- 9 208 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 4- 5 210 H Stephen F. Austin SL ( 6- 5, 92.9) 3- 2 213 A Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 8- 3 213 H Georgetown BE ( 2- 5, 91.8) 6- 3 214 A Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 3- 1 215 A Hofstra CA ( 3- 4, 91.9) 7- 0 215 H Hofstra CA ( 3- 4, 91.9) 10- 2 219 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 2- 3 220 H Northern Iowa MV ( 2- 6, 91.3) 2- 1 221 H Arkansas-Pine Bluff SWAC ( 0- 6, 85.0) 6- 0 221 H Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 12- 4 222 A Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 7- 5 222 A Bradley MV ( 1- 6, 89.3) 8-14 225 A Grambling SWAC ( 0- 3, 86.3) 2- 0 227 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 0- 1 228 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 2- 8 228 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 1- 7 301 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 1- 5 301 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 1- 5 304 H Grambling SWAC ( 0- 3, 86.3) 12- 4 306 A Chattanooga SO ( 3-11, 88.4) 7- 2 306 A Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 2- 4 308 H Chattanooga SO ( 3-11, 88.4) 11- 8 308 A Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 0- 3 310 H Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 3- 4 313 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 0- 1 314 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 6- 3 315 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 2-10 317 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 4 320 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 2- 1 321 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 2- 1 322 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 1- 5 324 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 0- 3 327 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 4- 1 328 A Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 5- 1 329 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 7- 5 331 H Alcorn State SWAC ( 0- 4, 87.6) 4- 1 402 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 5- 2 403 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 0- 2 404 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 6- 5 408 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 3- 1 410 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 2- 0 411 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 2- 0 412 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 2- 1 417 A Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 7- 0 418 A Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 4- 2 419 A Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 6- 0 424 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 4- 2 425 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 6- 2 426 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 3-12 430 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 7- 2 502 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 1- 0 502 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 2- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Texas Tech 1-13 -12 -6 --- -6.14
206 A McNeese 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.08
207 H Tulsa 4- 3 1 2 -0.54
207 A McNeese 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -7.08
208 A North Texas 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.44
210 H Stephen F. Austin 3- 2 1 1 0.50
213 A Florida Gulf Coast 8- 3 5 2 + 2.76
213 H Georgetown 6- 3 3 2 1.37
214 A Florida Gulf Coast 3- 1 2 2 -0.24
215 A Hofstra 7- 0 7 0 +++ 6.96
215 H Hofstra 10- 2 8 2 +++ 6.47
219 A Louisiana Tech 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.11
220 H Northern Iowa 2- 1 1 2 -1.12
221 H Arkansas-Pine Bluff 6- 0 6 8 - -2.39
221 H Lamar 12- 4 8 1 +++ 7.25
222 A Weber State 7- 5 2 4 -1.94
222 A Bradley 8-14 -6 3 --- -8.61
225 A Grambling 2- 0 2 6 - -3.62
228 A Jacksonville State 2- 8 -6 -3 - -3.13
228 A Ole Miss 1- 7 -6 -3 - -2.60
301 A Ole Miss 1- 5 -4 -3 -0.60
301 A Ole Miss 1- 5 -4 -3 -0.60
304 H Grambling 12- 4 8 7 0.89
306 A Chattanooga 7- 2 5 3 1.55
306 A Central Arkansas 2- 4 -2 0 -1.72
308 H Chattanooga 11- 8 3 5 -1.94
308 A Central Arkansas 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.72
310 H Central Arkansas 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.20
314 A Texas State 6- 3 3 -2 ++ 4.71
315 A Texas State 2-10 -8 -2 --- -6.29
317 A Alabama 1- 4 -3 -7 ++ 4.24
320 H South Alabama 2- 1 1 1 -0.00
321 H South Alabama 2- 1 1 1 -0.00
322 H South Alabama 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.00
324 H SE Louisiana 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.71
327 A Marshall 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.97
328 A Georgia State 5- 1 4 0 + 3.50
329 H Louisiana 7- 5 2 0 1.83
331 H Alcorn State 4- 1 3 6 - -2.75
402 A Georgia Southern 5- 2 3 1 1.75
403 A Georgia Southern 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.25
404 A Georgia Southern 6- 5 1 1 -0.25
408 H Louisiana Tech 3- 1 2 1 1.41
410 H App State 2- 0 2 1 1.28
411 H App State 2- 0 2 1 1.28
412 H App State 2- 1 1 1 0.28
417 A Georgia State 7- 0 7 0 +++ 6.50
418 A Georgia State 4- 2 2 0 1.50
419 A Georgia State 6- 0 6 0 ++ 5.50
424 A Troy 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.86
425 A Troy 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.86
426 H New Mexico State 3-12 -9 1 --- -10.47
430 A South Carolina 7- 2 5 -3 +++ 8.07
502 H Southern Miss 2- 1 1 2 -0.72
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Texas Tech 1-13 -12 -6 --- -6.14 207 A McNeese 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -7.08 222 A Bradley 8-14 -6 3 --- -8.61 315 A Texas State 2-10 -8 -2 --- -6.29 426 H New Mexico State 3-12 -9 1 --- -10.47 322 H South Alabama 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.00 206 A McNeese 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.08 221 H Arkansas-Pine Bluff 6- 0 6 8 - -2.39 225 A Grambling 2- 0 2 6 - -3.62 228 A Jacksonville State 2- 8 -6 -3 - -3.13 228 A Ole Miss 1- 7 -6 -3 - -2.60 308 A Central Arkansas 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.72 310 H Central Arkansas 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.20 324 H SE Louisiana 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.71 331 H Alcorn State 4- 1 3 6 - -2.75 403 A Georgia Southern 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.25 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Hofstra 7- 0 7 0 +++ 6.96 215 H Hofstra 10- 2 8 2 +++ 6.47 221 H Lamar 12- 4 8 1 +++ 7.25 417 A Georgia State 7- 0 7 0 +++ 6.50 430 A South Carolina 7- 2 5 -3 +++ 8.07 314 A Texas State 6- 3 3 -2 ++ 4.71 317 A Alabama 1- 4 -3 -7 ++ 4.24 327 A Marshall 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.97 419 A Georgia State 6- 0 6 0 ++ 5.50 425 A Troy 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.86 213 A Florida Gulf Coast 8- 3 5 2 + 2.76 328 A Georgia State 5- 1 4 0 + 3.50 424 A Troy 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.86 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 1-13 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.44 -0.31
3 A McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 2- 6 -7.09 12.28 0.74 0.44 -1.40
3 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 4- 3 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.44 9.34
3 A McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 1- 9 -7.09 12.28 0.74 0.44 -1.40
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 4- 5 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.44 -1.48
3 H Stephen F. Aus ( 6- 5, 92.9) 3- 2 -7.02 12.35 -0.74 0.44 10.27
3 A Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 8- 3 -10.24 9.13 0.74 0.44 8.73
3 H Georgetown ( 2- 5, 91.8) 6- 3 -8.15 11.22 -0.74 0.44 9.27
3 A Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 3- 1 -10.24 9.13 0.74 0.44 8.73
3 A Hofstra ( 3- 4, 91.9) 7- 0 -8.05 11.32 0.74 0.44 10.67
3 H Hofstra ( 3- 4, 91.9) 10- 2 -8.05 11.32 -0.74 0.44 9.36
3 A Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 2- 3 -7.11 12.26 0.74 0.44 -1.41
3 H Northern Iowa ( 2- 6, 91.3) 2- 1 -8.64 10.73 -0.74 0.44 8.84
3 H Arkansas-Pine ( 0- 6, 85.0) 6- 0 -14.91 4.46 -0.74 0.44 3.29
3 H Lamar (10- 7, 92.6) 12- 4 -7.27 12.10 -0.74 0.44 10.04
3 A Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 7- 5 -11.95 7.42 0.74 0.44 7.22
3 A Bradley ( 1- 6, 89.3) 8-14 -10.61 8.76 0.74 0.44 -2.18
3 A Grambling ( 0- 3, 86.3) 2- 0 -13.63 5.74 0.74 0.44 5.74
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 0- 1 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.44 -1.30
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 2- 8 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.44 -0.97
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 1- 7 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.44 -0.85
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 1- 5 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.44 -0.85
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 1- 5 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.44 -0.85
3 H Grambling ( 0- 3, 86.3) 12- 4 -13.63 5.74 -0.74 0.44 4.42
3 A Chattanooga ( 3-11, 88.4) 7- 2 -11.45 7.92 0.74 0.44 7.66
3 A Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 2- 4 -7.72 11.65 0.74 0.44 -1.54
3 H Chattanooga ( 3-11, 88.4) 11- 8 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 0.44 6.34
3 A Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 0- 3 -7.72 11.65 0.74 0.44 -1.54
3 H Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 3- 4 -7.72 11.65 -0.74 0.44 -1.87
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 0- 1 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.44 -1.23
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 6- 3 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.44 12.22
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 2-10 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.44 -1.23
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 4 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.44 -0.00
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 2- 1 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 0.44 9.82
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 2- 1 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 0.44 9.82
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 1- 5 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 0.44 -1.83
3 H SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 0- 3 -6.23 13.14 -0.74 0.44 -1.54
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 4- 1 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.44 12.45
3 A Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 5- 1 -8.50 10.87 0.74 0.44 10.27
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 7- 5 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.44 10.56
3 H Alcorn State ( 0- 4, 87.6) 4- 1 -12.27 7.10 -0.74 0.44 5.62
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 5- 2 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.44 9.60
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 0- 2 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.44 -1.88
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 6- 5 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.44 9.60
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 3- 1 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.44 10.18
3 H App State (29-22, 92.7) 2- 0 -7.23 12.14 -0.74 0.44 10.08
3 H App State (29-22, 92.7) 2- 0 -7.23 12.14 -0.74 0.44 10.08
3 H App State (29-22, 92.7) 2- 1 -7.23 12.14 -0.74 0.44 10.08
3 A Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 7- 0 -8.50 10.87 0.74 0.44 10.27
3 A Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 4- 2 -8.50 10.87 0.74 0.44 10.27
3 A Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 6- 0 -8.50 10.87 0.74 0.44 10.27
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 4- 2 -7.14 12.23 0.74 0.44 11.47
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 6- 2 -7.14 12.23 0.74 0.44 11.47
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 3-12 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.44 -1.93
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 7- 2 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.44 13.42
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 1- 0 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.44 9.19
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 2- 1 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.44 9.19
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308.24
|
winning pts = 335.8505 losing points = -27.6134
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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