Louisiana Tech 
W-L: (28-24) PR = 92.7878
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
206 H Lipscomb ASUN ( 1-10, 88.6) 3- 2
207 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 7- 4
207 A Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 0-14, 88.7) 8- 0
208 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 8- 3
211 A SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 6- 1
213 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 4- 3
213 H Eastern Illinois OV ( 3-13, 90.0) 2- 4
214 A St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 2- 8
214 A SIU Edwardsville OV ( 2- 9, 87.5) 7- 3
215 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 7- 4
217 H Northwestern State SL ( 3-11, 90.0) 12- 3
219 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 3- 2
220 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 1- 2
221 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 8- 0
222 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 4- 1
227 H Stephen F. Austin SL ( 6- 5, 92.9) 0- 2
227 H Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 2-10
228 H Northern Iowa MV ( 2- 6, 91.3) 2- 9
301 H Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 6- 3
301 H Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 6- 3
304 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 1- 9
306 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 5-14
307 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 14-15
308 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 1- 7
310 H Alcorn State SWAC ( 0- 4, 87.6) 9- 1
313 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 5- 0
314 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 8- 7
315 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 11- 0
318 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 1- 5
320 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 0- 3
321 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 2- 4
322 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 2- 4
324 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 0- 9
327 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 9- 4
328 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 2- 4
329 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 0- 3
331 A Northwestern State SL ( 3-11, 90.0) 1- 2
402 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 6- 4
403 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 13- 3
404 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 9-11
408 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 1- 3
410 H FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 3- 4
411 H FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 6- 3
412 H FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 3- 5
417 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 1- 6
418 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 4- 7
419 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 6- 3
424 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 7- 2
425 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 10- 0
426 H Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 9- 3
430 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 5- 0
430 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 3- 3
502 H UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 8- 0
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Lipscomb 3- 2 1 5 - -3.92
207 H UAB 7- 4 3 2 0.94
207 A Southeast Missouri Sta 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.69
208 A Southern Miss 8- 3 5 0 ++ 4.62
211 A SE Louisiana 6- 1 5 -2 +++ 6.62
213 H New Mexico 4- 3 1 1 -0.33
213 H Eastern Illinois 2- 4 -2 4 -- -5.57
214 A St. Thomas-Minnesota 2- 8 -6 -4 -1.75
214 A SIU Edwardsville 7- 3 4 5 -0.50
215 H Georgia State 7- 4 3 2 0.87
217 H Northwestern State 12- 3 9 4 ++ 5.50
219 H UL Monroe 3- 2 1 1 0.11
220 H Southern Miss 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.87
221 H Southern Miss 8- 0 8 2 +++ 6.13
222 H Southern Miss 4- 1 3 2 1.13
227 H Stephen F. Austin 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.65
227 H Central Arkansas 2-10 -8 1 --- -9.35
228 H Northern Iowa 2- 9 -7 2 --- -9.27
301 H Central Arkansas 6- 3 3 1 1.65
301 H Central Arkansas 6- 3 3 1 1.65
304 A Texas A&M 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.26
306 A New Mexico State 5-14 -9 0 --- -9.13
307 A New Mexico State 14-15 -1 0 -1.13
308 A New Mexico State 1- 7 -6 0 --- -6.13
310 H Alcorn State 9- 1 8 6 + 2.10
313 H Delaware 5- 0 5 2 + 2.92
314 H Delaware 8- 7 1 2 -1.08
315 H Delaware 11- 0 11 2 +++ 8.92
318 A Ole Miss 1- 5 -4 -3 -0.75
320 A Jacksonville State 0- 3 -3 -3 -0.28
321 A Jacksonville State 2- 4 -2 -3 0.72
322 A Jacksonville State 2- 4 -2 -3 0.72
324 A LSU 0- 9 -9 -5 -- -4.02
327 A Southern Miss 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.62
328 A Louisiana 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.83
329 H Missouri State 0- 3 -3 3 -- -5.73
331 A Northwestern State 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.02
402 A Middle Tennessee 6- 4 2 2 0.20
403 A Middle Tennessee 13- 3 10 2 +++ 8.20
404 A Middle Tennessee 9-11 -2 2 - -3.80
408 A UL Monroe 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.41
410 H FIU 3- 4 -1 1 -1.89
411 H FIU 6- 3 3 1 + 2.11
412 H FIU 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.89
417 H Sam Houston 1- 6 -5 2 --- -6.89
418 H Sam Houston 4- 7 -3 2 -- -4.89
419 H Sam Houston 6- 3 3 2 1.11
424 A Liberty 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.32
425 A Liberty 10- 0 10 0 +++ 10.32
426 H Rutgers 9- 3 6 0 ++ 5.91
430 A UTEP 5- 0 5 3 1.59
430 A Western Kentucky 3- 3 0 -2 1.54
502 H UTEP 8- 0 8 5 + 3.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 H Central Arkansas 2-10 -8 1 --- -9.35
228 H Northern Iowa 2- 9 -7 2 --- -9.27
306 A New Mexico State 5-14 -9 0 --- -9.13
308 A New Mexico State 1- 7 -6 0 --- -6.13
417 H Sam Houston 1- 6 -5 2 --- -6.89
213 H Eastern Illinois 2- 4 -2 4 -- -5.57
324 A LSU 0- 9 -9 -5 -- -4.02
329 H Missouri State 0- 3 -3 3 -- -5.73
418 H Sam Houston 4- 7 -3 2 -- -4.89
206 H Lipscomb 3- 2 1 5 - -3.92
220 H Southern Miss 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.87
227 H Stephen F. Austin 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.65
304 A Texas A&M 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.26
331 A Northwestern State 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.02
404 A Middle Tennessee 9-11 -2 2 - -3.80
412 H FIU 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.89
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 A SE Louisiana 6- 1 5 -2 +++ 6.62
221 H Southern Miss 8- 0 8 2 +++ 6.13
315 H Delaware 11- 0 11 2 +++ 8.92
403 A Middle Tennessee 13- 3 10 2 +++ 8.20
425 A Liberty 10- 0 10 0 +++ 10.32
207 A Southeast Missouri Sta 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.69
208 A Southern Miss 8- 3 5 0 ++ 4.62
217 H Northwestern State 12- 3 9 4 ++ 5.50
327 A Southern Miss 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.62
424 A Liberty 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.32
426 H Rutgers 9- 3 6 0 ++ 5.91
310 H Alcorn State 9- 1 8 6 + 2.10
313 H Delaware 5- 0 5 2 + 2.92
411 H FIU 6- 3 3 1 + 2.11
502 H UTEP 8- 0 8 5 + 3.11
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Lipscomb ( 1-10, 88.6) 3- 2 -11.29 8.08 -0.74 0.48 6.98
3 H UAB (21-32, 91.5) 7- 4 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.48 9.70
3 A Southeast Miss ( 0-14, 88.7) 8- 0 -11.16 8.21 0.74 0.48 8.51
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 8- 3 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.48 11.29
3 A SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 6- 1 -6.23 13.14 0.74 0.48 13.20
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 4- 3 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.48 10.39
3 H Eastern Illino ( 3-13, 90.0) 2- 4 -9.94 9.43 -0.74 0.48 -2.54
3 A St. Thomas-Min (12- 7, 96.3) 2- 8 -3.61 15.76 0.74 0.48 -0.68
3 A SIU Edwardsvil ( 2- 9, 87.5) 7- 3 -12.36 7.01 0.74 0.48 7.38
3 H Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 7- 4 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.48 9.63
3 H Northwestern S ( 3-11, 90.0) 12- 3 -9.87 9.50 -0.74 0.48 8.33
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 3- 2 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.48 10.81
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 1- 2 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.48 -2.14
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 8- 0 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.48 9.88
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 4- 1 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.48 9.88
3 H Stephen F. Aus ( 6- 5, 92.9) 0- 2 -7.02 12.35 -0.74 0.48 -1.85
3 H Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 2-10 -7.72 11.65 -0.74 0.48 -2.01
3 H Northern Iowa ( 2- 6, 91.3) 2- 9 -8.64 10.73 -0.74 0.48 -2.23
3 H Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 6- 3 -7.72 11.65 -0.74 0.48 10.37
3 H Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 6- 3 -7.72 11.65 -0.74 0.48 10.37
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 1- 9 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.48 -0.56
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 5-14 -7.98 11.39 0.74 0.48 -1.72
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 14-15 -7.98 11.39 0.74 0.48 -1.72
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 1- 7 -7.98 11.39 0.74 0.48 -1.72
3 H Alcorn State ( 0- 4, 87.6) 9- 1 -12.27 7.10 -0.74 0.48 6.05
3 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 5- 0 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.48 9.68
3 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 8- 7 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.48 9.68
3 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 11- 0 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.48 9.68
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 1- 5 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.48 -0.92
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 0- 3 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.48 -1.04
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 2- 4 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.48 -1.04
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 2- 4 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.48 -1.04
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 0- 9 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.48 -0.51
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 9- 4 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.48 11.29
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 2- 4 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.48 -1.41
3 H Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 0- 3 -9.10 10.27 -0.74 0.48 -2.34
3 A Northwestern S ( 3-11, 90.0) 1- 2 -9.87 9.50 0.74 0.48 -2.17
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 6- 4 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.48 9.95
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 13- 3 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.48 9.95
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 9-11 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.48 -2.12
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 1- 3 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.48 -1.55
3 H FIU (32-18, 92.6) 3- 4 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.48 -1.90
3 H FIU (32-18, 92.6) 6- 3 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.48 10.81
3 H FIU (32-18, 92.6) 3- 5 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.48 -1.90
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 1- 6 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 0.48 -2.14
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 4- 7 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 0.48 -2.14
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 6- 3 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 0.48 9.86
3 A Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 7- 2 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.48 11.96
3 A Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 10- 0 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.48 11.96
3 H Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 9- 3 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.48 11.58
3 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 5- 0 -11.26 8.11 0.74 0.48 8.42
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 3- 3 -6.31 13.06 0.74 0.48 0.00
3 H UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 8- 0 -11.26 8.11 -0.74 0.48 7.00
------
235.20
|
winning pts = 274.6087 losing points = -39.4104
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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