UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Louisiana Tech
  
Louisiana Tech        
W-L: (28-24) PR = 92.7878

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Lipscomb ASUN ( 1-10, 88.6) 3- 2 207 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 7- 4 207 A Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 0-14, 88.7) 8- 0 208 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 8- 3 211 A SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 6- 1 213 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 4- 3 213 H Eastern Illinois OV ( 3-13, 90.0) 2- 4 214 A St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 2- 8 214 A SIU Edwardsville OV ( 2- 9, 87.5) 7- 3 215 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 7- 4 217 H Northwestern State SL ( 3-11, 90.0) 12- 3 219 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 3- 2 220 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 1- 2 221 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 8- 0 222 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 4- 1 227 H Stephen F. Austin SL ( 6- 5, 92.9) 0- 2 227 H Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 2-10 228 H Northern Iowa MV ( 2- 6, 91.3) 2- 9 301 H Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 6- 3 301 H Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 6- 3 304 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 1- 9 306 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 5-14 307 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 14-15 308 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 1- 7 310 H Alcorn State SWAC ( 0- 4, 87.6) 9- 1 313 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 5- 0 314 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 8- 7 315 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 11- 0 318 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 1- 5 320 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 0- 3 321 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 2- 4 322 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 2- 4 324 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 0- 9 327 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 9- 4 328 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 2- 4 329 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 0- 3 331 A Northwestern State SL ( 3-11, 90.0) 1- 2 402 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 6- 4 403 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 13- 3 404 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 9-11 408 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 1- 3 410 H FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 3- 4 411 H FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 6- 3 412 H FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 3- 5 417 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 1- 6 418 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 4- 7 419 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 6- 3 424 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 7- 2 425 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 10- 0 426 H Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 9- 3 430 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 5- 0 430 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 3- 3 502 H UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 8- 0

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Lipscomb                3- 2       1     5    -     -3.92
   207 H UAB                     7- 4       3     2           0.94
   207 A Southeast Missouri Sta  8- 0       8     3    ++     4.69
   208 A Southern Miss           8- 3       5     0    ++     4.62
   211 A SE Louisiana            6- 1       5    -2    +++    6.62
   213 H New Mexico              4- 3       1     1          -0.33
   213 H Eastern Illinois        2- 4      -2     4    --    -5.57
   214 A St. Thomas-Minnesota    2- 8      -6    -4          -1.75
   214 A SIU Edwardsville        7- 3       4     5          -0.50
   215 H Georgia State           7- 4       3     2           0.87
   217 H Northwestern State     12- 3       9     4    ++     5.50
   219 H UL Monroe               3- 2       1     1           0.11
   220 H Southern Miss           1- 2      -1     2    -     -2.87
   221 H Southern Miss           8- 0       8     2    +++    6.13
   222 H Southern Miss           4- 1       3     2           1.13
   227 H Stephen F. Austin       0- 2      -2     1    -     -2.65
   227 H Central Arkansas        2-10      -8     1    ---   -9.35
   228 H Northern Iowa           2- 9      -7     2    ---   -9.27
   301 H Central Arkansas        6- 3       3     1           1.65
   301 H Central Arkansas        6- 3       3     1           1.65
   304 A Texas A&M               1- 9      -8    -5    -     -3.26
   306 A New Mexico State        5-14      -9     0    ---   -9.13
   307 A New Mexico State       14-15      -1     0          -1.13
   308 A New Mexico State        1- 7      -6     0    ---   -6.13
   310 H Alcorn State            9- 1       8     6    +      2.10
   313 H Delaware                5- 0       5     2    +      2.92
   314 H Delaware                8- 7       1     2          -1.08
   315 H Delaware               11- 0      11     2    +++    8.92
   318 A Ole Miss                1- 5      -4    -3          -0.75
   320 A Jacksonville State      0- 3      -3    -3          -0.28
   321 A Jacksonville State      2- 4      -2    -3           0.72
   322 A Jacksonville State      2- 4      -2    -3           0.72
   324 A LSU                     0- 9      -9    -5    --    -4.02
   327 A Southern Miss           9- 4       5     0    ++     4.62
   328 A Louisiana               2- 4      -2    -1          -0.83
   329 H Missouri State          0- 3      -3     3    --    -5.73
   331 A Northwestern State      1- 2      -1     2    -     -3.02
   402 A Middle Tennessee        6- 4       2     2           0.20
   403 A Middle Tennessee       13- 3      10     2    +++    8.20
   404 A Middle Tennessee        9-11      -2     2    -     -3.80
   408 A UL Monroe               1- 3      -2    -1          -1.41
   410 H FIU                     3- 4      -1     1          -1.89
   411 H FIU                     6- 3       3     1    +      2.11
   412 H FIU                     3- 5      -2     1    -     -2.89
   417 H Sam Houston             1- 6      -5     2    ---   -6.89
   418 H Sam Houston             4- 7      -3     2    --    -4.89
   419 H Sam Houston             6- 3       3     2           1.11
   424 A Liberty                 7- 2       5     0    ++     5.32
   425 A Liberty                10- 0      10     0    +++   10.32
   426 H Rutgers                 9- 3       6     0    ++     5.91
   430 A UTEP                    5- 0       5     3           1.59
   430 A Western Kentucky        3- 3       0    -2           1.54
   502 H UTEP                    8- 0       8     5    +      3.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Central Arkansas        2-10      -8     1    ---   -9.35
   228 H Northern Iowa           2- 9      -7     2    ---   -9.27
   306 A New Mexico State        5-14      -9     0    ---   -9.13
   308 A New Mexico State        1- 7      -6     0    ---   -6.13
   417 H Sam Houston             1- 6      -5     2    ---   -6.89
   213 H Eastern Illinois        2- 4      -2     4    --    -5.57
   324 A LSU                     0- 9      -9    -5    --    -4.02
   329 H Missouri State          0- 3      -3     3    --    -5.73
   418 H Sam Houston             4- 7      -3     2    --    -4.89
   206 H Lipscomb                3- 2       1     5    -     -3.92
   220 H Southern Miss           1- 2      -1     2    -     -2.87
   227 H Stephen F. Austin       0- 2      -2     1    -     -2.65
   304 A Texas A&M               1- 9      -8    -5    -     -3.26
   331 A Northwestern State      1- 2      -1     2    -     -3.02
   404 A Middle Tennessee        9-11      -2     2    -     -3.80
   412 H FIU                     3- 5      -2     1    -     -2.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 A SE Louisiana            6- 1       5    -2    +++    6.62
   221 H Southern Miss           8- 0       8     2    +++    6.13
   315 H Delaware               11- 0      11     2    +++    8.92
   403 A Middle Tennessee       13- 3      10     2    +++    8.20
   425 A Liberty                10- 0      10     0    +++   10.32
   207 A Southeast Missouri Sta  8- 0       8     3    ++     4.69
   208 A Southern Miss           8- 3       5     0    ++     4.62
   217 H Northwestern State     12- 3       9     4    ++     5.50
   327 A Southern Miss           9- 4       5     0    ++     4.62
   424 A Liberty                 7- 2       5     0    ++     5.32
   426 H Rutgers                 9- 3       6     0    ++     5.91
   310 H Alcorn State            9- 1       8     6    +      2.10
   313 H Delaware                5- 0       5     2    +      2.92
   411 H FIU                     6- 3       3     1    +      2.11
   502 H UTEP                    8- 0       8     5    +      3.11

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Lipscomb        ( 1-10, 88.6)     3- 2      -11.29       8.08      -0.74         0.48             6.98
   3 H UAB             (21-32, 91.5)     7- 4       -8.43      10.94      -0.74         0.48             9.70
   3 A Southeast Miss  ( 0-14, 88.7)     8- 0      -11.16       8.21       0.74         0.48             8.51
   3 A Southern Miss   (35-23, 91.7)     8- 3       -8.24      11.13       0.74         0.48            11.29
   3 A SE Louisiana    (12-15, 93.7)     6- 1       -6.23      13.14       0.74         0.48            13.20
   3 H New Mexico      (26-27, 92.2)     4- 3       -7.70      11.67      -0.74         0.48            10.39
   3 H Eastern Illino  ( 3-13, 90.0)     2- 4       -9.94       9.43      -0.74         0.48            -2.54
   3 A St. Thomas-Min  (12- 7, 96.3)     2- 8       -3.61      15.76       0.74         0.48            -0.68
   3 A SIU Edwardsvil  ( 2- 9, 87.5)     7- 3      -12.36       7.01       0.74         0.48             7.38
   3 H Georgia State   (24-31, 91.4)     7- 4       -8.50      10.87      -0.74         0.48             9.63
   3 H Northwestern S  ( 3-11, 90.0)    12- 3       -9.87       9.50      -0.74         0.48             8.33
   3 H UL Monroe       (36-21, 92.6)     3- 2       -7.26      12.11      -0.74         0.48            10.81
   3 H Southern Miss   (35-23, 91.7)     1- 2       -8.24      11.13      -0.74         0.48            -2.14
   3 H Southern Miss   (35-23, 91.7)     8- 0       -8.24      11.13      -0.74         0.48             9.88
   3 H Southern Miss   (35-23, 91.7)     4- 1       -8.24      11.13      -0.74         0.48             9.88
   3 H Stephen F. Aus  ( 6- 5, 92.9)     0- 2       -7.02      12.35      -0.74         0.48            -1.85
   3 H Central Arkans  ( 7- 9, 92.2)     2-10       -7.72      11.65      -0.74         0.48            -2.01
   3 H Northern Iowa   ( 2- 6, 91.3)     2- 9       -8.64      10.73      -0.74         0.48            -2.23
   3 H Central Arkans  ( 7- 9, 92.2)     6- 3       -7.72      11.65      -0.74         0.48            10.37
   3 H Central Arkans  ( 7- 9, 92.2)     6- 3       -7.72      11.65      -0.74         0.48            10.37
   3 A Texas A&M       (38-19, 96.8)     1- 9       -3.12      16.25       0.74         0.48            -0.56
   3 A New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)     5-14       -7.98      11.39       0.74         0.48            -1.72
   3 A New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)    14-15       -7.98      11.39       0.74         0.48            -1.72
   3 A New Mexico Sta  (26-26, 91.9)     1- 7       -7.98      11.39       0.74         0.48            -1.72
   3 H Alcorn State    ( 0- 4, 87.6)     9- 1      -12.27       7.10      -0.74         0.48             6.05
   3 H Delaware        (33-20, 91.4)     5- 0       -8.45      10.92      -0.74         0.48             9.68
   3 H Delaware        (33-20, 91.4)     8- 7       -8.45      10.92      -0.74         0.48             9.68
   3 H Delaware        (33-20, 91.4)    11- 0       -8.45      10.92      -0.74         0.48             9.68
   3 A Ole Miss        (35-26, 95.3)     1- 5       -4.60      14.77       0.74         0.48            -0.92
   3 A Jacksonville S  (42-14, 94.8)     0- 3       -5.13      14.24       0.74         0.48            -1.04
   3 A Jacksonville S  (42-14, 94.8)     2- 4       -5.13      14.24       0.74         0.48            -1.04
   3 A Jacksonville S  (42-14, 94.8)     2- 4       -5.13      14.24       0.74         0.48            -1.04
   3 A LSU             (37-21, 97.0)     0- 9       -2.88      16.49       0.74         0.48            -0.51
   3 A Southern Miss   (35-23, 91.7)     9- 4       -8.24      11.13       0.74         0.48            11.29
   3 A Louisiana       (28-28, 93.2)     2- 4       -6.68      12.69       0.74         0.48            -1.41
   3 H Missouri State  (20-30, 90.8)     0- 3       -9.10      10.27      -0.74         0.48            -2.34
   3 A Northwestern S  ( 3-11, 90.0)     1- 2       -9.87       9.50       0.74         0.48            -2.17
   3 A Middle Tenness  (22-27, 90.2)     6- 4       -9.65       9.72       0.74         0.48             9.95
   3 A Middle Tenness  (22-27, 90.2)    13- 3       -9.65       9.72       0.74         0.48             9.95
   3 A Middle Tenness  (22-27, 90.2)     9-11       -9.65       9.72       0.74         0.48            -2.12
   3 A UL Monroe       (36-21, 92.6)     1- 3       -7.26      12.11       0.74         0.48            -1.55
   3 H FIU             (32-18, 92.6)     3- 4       -7.26      12.11      -0.74         0.48            -1.90
   3 H FIU             (32-18, 92.6)     6- 3       -7.26      12.11      -0.74         0.48            10.81
   3 H FIU             (32-18, 92.6)     3- 5       -7.26      12.11      -0.74         0.48            -1.90
   3 H Sam Houston     (29-27, 91.6)     1- 6       -8.26      11.11      -0.74         0.48            -2.14
   3 H Sam Houston     (29-27, 91.6)     4- 7       -8.26      11.11      -0.74         0.48            -2.14
   3 H Sam Houston     (29-27, 91.6)     6- 3       -8.26      11.11      -0.74         0.48             9.86
   3 A Liberty         (27-26, 92.4)     7- 2       -7.53      11.84       0.74         0.48            11.96
   3 A Liberty         (27-26, 92.4)    10- 0       -7.53      11.84       0.74         0.48            11.96
   3 H Rutgers         (28-27, 93.4)     9- 3       -6.46      12.91      -0.74         0.48            11.58
   3 A UTEP            (13-37, 88.6)     5- 0      -11.26       8.11       0.74         0.48             8.42
   3 A Western Kentuc  (37-11, 93.6)     3- 3       -6.31      13.06       0.74         0.48             0.00
   3 H UTEP            (13-37, 88.6)     8- 0      -11.26       8.11      -0.74         0.48             7.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       235.20

winning pts = 274.6087 losing points = -39.4104

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------