Long Beach State
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 90.3852Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 2- 0 208 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 3- 4 213 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 4- 7 220 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 4- 5 221 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 6- 4 227 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 0- 8 228 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 7- 0 301 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 2-12 301 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 2-12 304 H San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 0-13 415 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 9-27 425 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 5- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Utah Tech 2- 0 2 2 0.07
208 H Utah 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.19
213 H UTSA 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.78
220 A BYU 4- 5 -1 -2 0.78
221 H Oklahoma 6- 4 2 -9 +++ 10.77
227 A Arizona 0- 8 -8 -7 -0.57
228 H Minnesota 7- 0 7 0 +++ 7.07
301 A Arizona 2-12 -10 -7 - -2.57
301 A Arizona 2-12 -10 -7 - -2.57
304 H San Diego State 0-13 -13 -1 --- -11.88
415 H UCLA 9-27 -18 -8 -- -5.58
425 H Kansas 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 5.06
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H San Diego State 0-13 -13 -1 --- -11.88 415 H UCLA 9-27 -18 -8 -- -5.58 213 H UTSA 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.78 301 A Arizona 2-12 -10 -7 - -2.57 301 A Arizona 2-12 -10 -7 - -2.57 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Oklahoma 6- 4 2 -9 +++ 10.77 228 H Minnesota 7- 0 7 0 +++ 7.07 425 H Kansas 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 5.06 208 H Utah 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.19 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 2- 0 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 2.10 33.27
3 H Utah (36-19, 95.3) 3- 4 -4.58 14.79 -0.74 2.10 -5.59
3 H UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 4- 7 -9.55 9.82 -0.74 2.10 -10.81
3 A BYU (19-29, 91.4) 4- 5 -8.48 10.89 0.74 2.10 -8.12
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 6- 4 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 2.10 78.25
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 0- 8 -2.83 16.54 0.74 2.10 -2.19
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 7- 0 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 2.10 41.71
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 2-12 -2.83 16.54 0.74 2.10 -2.19
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 2-12 -2.83 16.54 0.74 2.10 -2.19
3 H San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 0-13 -7.65 11.72 -0.74 2.10 -8.81
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 9-27 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 2.10 -1.15
3 H Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 5- 4 -4.71 14.66 -0.74 2.10 58.47
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170.65
|
winning pts = 211.7073 losing points = -41.0578
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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