Louisville
W-L: (45-15) PR = 95.5531Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 5- 7 206 A Stony Brook CA ( 0- 2, 89.6) 7- 4 207 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 13- 5 207 H Lehigh PAT ( 1- 6, 89.1) 4- 0 208 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 5- 8 213 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 1- 9 213 A Boston University PAT ( 7-10, 94.0) 3- 0 214 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 4- 0 214 H Boston University PAT ( 7-10, 94.0) 5- 3 215 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 25- 5 217 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 1- 4, 88.6) 10- 2 220 A Buffalo MA ( 1-13, 87.8) 10- 6 220 A Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 3- 2 221 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 10- 5 221 H UConn BE ( 3-13, 91.4) 10- 2 222 A South Dakota SM ( 5-14, 91.7) 4- 6 227 H Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 8- 3 228 H Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 8-10 301 H Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 9- 8 301 H Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 9- 8 303 H Northern Kentucky HL ( 0- 6, 88.0) 10- 6 306 H Ball State MA ( 4- 5, 91.7) 5- 7 307 H Ball State MA ( 4- 5, 91.7) 8- 1 307 H Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 8- 6 308 H Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 13- 5 310 H Evansville MV ( 0- 4, 89.7) 5- 4 313 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 6- 8 314 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 0- 4 315 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 7- 6 318 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 13- 4 320 H Campbell CA ( 5- 9, 92.1) 8- 2 321 A Indiana State MV ( 1- 8, 88.3) 12- 1 321 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 6- 5 322 A Campbell CA ( 5- 9, 92.1) 12- 0 325 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 8- 7 327 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 8- 5 328 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 6- 2 329 H Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 3- 1 331 A Eastern Kentucky ASUN ( 4-11, 90.2) 12- 4 402 A California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 5- 7 403 A California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 6- 3 404 A California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 12- 2 410 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 2- 5 411 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 8- 5 412 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 13- 5 415 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 8- 7 417 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 9- 1 417 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 10- 2 419 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 14- 0 422 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 8-12 424 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 13- 5 425 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 5- 1 426 A Georgetown BE ( 2- 5, 91.8) 13- 1 501 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 5- 1 502 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 6-10 503 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 8- 3 506 H NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 6- 5 507 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 5- 6 515 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 1- 5 516 A South Dakota SM ( 5-14, 91.7) 2- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A FIU 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.17
206 A Stony Brook 7- 4 3 5 - -2.21
207 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 13- 5 8 9 -0.74
207 H Lehigh 4- 0 4 7 - -3.15
208 A FIU 5- 8 -3 2 -- -5.17
213 A South Carolina 1- 9 -8 0 --- -7.84
213 A Boston University 3- 0 3 1 + 2.19
214 H Kennesaw State 4- 0 4 8 -- -4.30
214 H Boston University 5- 3 2 2 -0.30
215 A Virginia 25- 5 20 0 +++ 13.68
217 H Bellarmine 10- 2 8 8 0.29
220 A Buffalo 10- 6 4 7 - -3.05
220 A Florida Gulf Coast 3- 2 1 5 -- -4.15
221 A Wisconsin 10- 5 5 1 ++ 4.02
221 H UConn 10- 2 8 5 + 3.10
222 A South Dakota 4- 6 -2 3 -- -5.11
227 H Stanford 8- 3 5 0 ++ 5.04
228 H Stanford 8-10 -2 0 -1.96
301 H Stanford 9- 8 1 0 1.04
301 H Stanford 9- 8 1 0 1.04
303 H Northern Kentucky 10- 6 4 8 -- -4.27
306 H Ball State 5- 7 -2 5 --- -6.56
307 H Ball State 8- 1 7 5 + 2.44
307 H Illinois 8- 6 2 6 -- -4.29
308 H Illinois 13- 5 8 6 1.71
310 H Evansville 5- 4 1 7 -- -5.64
313 A Clemson 6- 8 -2 1 - -2.90
314 A Clemson 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.90
315 A Clemson 7- 6 1 1 0.10
318 A Western Kentucky 13- 4 9 1 +++ 7.78
320 H Campbell 8- 2 6 4 1.79
321 A Indiana State 12- 1 11 7 ++ 4.49
321 A Ohio State 6- 5 1 1 0.04
322 A Campbell 12- 0 12 3 +++ 9.28
325 A Kentucky 8- 7 1 1 -0.08
327 A Southern Utah 8- 5 3 4 -1.10
328 A Texas A&M 6- 2 4 -2 ++ 5.97
329 H Georgia Tech 3- 1 2 1 0.54
331 A Eastern Kentucky 12- 4 8 5 + 3.39
402 A California 5- 7 -2 3 -- -5.48
403 A California 6- 3 3 3 -0.48
404 A California 12- 2 10 3 +++ 6.52
410 A Notre Dame 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.82
411 A Notre Dame 8- 5 3 2 1.18
412 A Notre Dame 13- 5 8 2 +++ 6.18
415 H Indiana 8- 7 1 0 0.94
417 H Pittsburgh 9- 1 8 6 + 2.42
417 H Pittsburgh 10- 2 8 6 + 2.42
419 H Pittsburgh 14- 0 14 6 +++ 8.42
422 H Kentucky 8-12 -4 3 --- -6.57
424 H Syracuse 13- 5 8 7 0.59
425 H Syracuse 5- 1 4 7 - -3.41
426 A Georgetown 13- 1 12 3 +++ 8.94
501 A NC State 5- 1 4 2 1.96
502 A NC State 6-10 -4 2 --- -6.04
503 A NC State 8- 3 5 2 + 2.96
506 H NC State 6- 5 1 4 - -2.52
507 A Stanford 5- 6 -1 -2 0.52
515 H Grand Canyon 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.62
516 A South Dakota 2- 4 -2 3 -- -5.11
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A South Carolina 1- 9 -8 0 --- -7.84 306 H Ball State 5- 7 -2 5 --- -6.56 422 H Kentucky 8-12 -4 3 --- -6.57 502 A NC State 6-10 -4 2 --- -6.04 206 A FIU 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.17 208 A FIU 5- 8 -3 2 -- -5.17 214 H Kennesaw State 4- 0 4 8 -- -4.30 220 A Florida Gulf Coast 3- 2 1 5 -- -4.15 222 A South Dakota 4- 6 -2 3 -- -5.11 303 H Northern Kentucky 10- 6 4 8 -- -4.27 307 H Illinois 8- 6 2 6 -- -4.29 310 H Evansville 5- 4 1 7 -- -5.64 314 A Clemson 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.90 402 A California 5- 7 -2 3 -- -5.48 410 A Notre Dame 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.82 515 H Grand Canyon 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.62 516 A South Dakota 2- 4 -2 3 -- -5.11 206 A Stony Brook 7- 4 3 5 - -2.21 207 H Lehigh 4- 0 4 7 - -3.15 220 A Buffalo 10- 6 4 7 - -3.05 313 A Clemson 6- 8 -2 1 - -2.90 425 H Syracuse 5- 1 4 7 - -3.41 506 H NC State 6- 5 1 4 - -2.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Virginia 25- 5 20 0 +++ 13.68 318 A Western Kentucky 13- 4 9 1 +++ 7.78 322 A Campbell 12- 0 12 3 +++ 9.28 404 A California 12- 2 10 3 +++ 6.52 412 A Notre Dame 13- 5 8 2 +++ 6.18 419 H Pittsburgh 14- 0 14 6 +++ 8.42 426 A Georgetown 13- 1 12 3 +++ 8.94 221 A Wisconsin 10- 5 5 1 ++ 4.02 227 H Stanford 8- 3 5 0 ++ 5.04 321 A Indiana State 12- 1 11 7 ++ 4.49 328 A Texas A&M 6- 2 4 -2 ++ 5.97 213 A Boston University 3- 0 3 1 + 2.19 221 H UConn 10- 2 8 5 + 3.10 307 H Ball State 8- 1 7 5 + 2.44 331 A Eastern Kentucky 12- 4 8 5 + 3.39 417 H Pittsburgh 9- 1 8 6 + 2.42 417 H Pittsburgh 10- 2 8 6 + 2.42 503 A NC State 8- 3 5 2 + 2.96 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A FIU (32-18, 92.6) 5- 7 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.42 -1.37
3 A Stony Brook ( 0- 2, 89.6) 7- 4 -10.30 9.07 0.74 0.42 8.24
3 H Texas A&M-Corp ( 2-18, 87.6) 13- 5 -12.34 7.03 -0.74 0.42 5.28
3 H Lehigh ( 1- 6, 89.1) 4- 0 -10.75 8.62 -0.74 0.42 6.62
3 A FIU (32-18, 92.6) 5- 8 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.42 -1.37
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 1- 9 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.42 -0.88
3 A Boston Univers ( 7-10, 94.0) 3- 0 -5.90 13.47 0.74 0.42 11.94
3 H Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 4- 0 -11.91 7.46 -0.74 0.42 5.64
3 H Boston Univers ( 7-10, 94.0) 5- 3 -5.90 13.47 -0.74 0.42 10.69
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 25- 5 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.42 12.35
3 H Bellarmine ( 1- 4, 88.6) 10- 2 -11.32 8.05 -0.74 0.42 6.14
3 A Buffalo ( 1-13, 87.8) 10- 6 -12.14 7.23 0.74 0.42 6.70
3 A Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 3- 2 -10.24 9.13 0.74 0.42 8.29
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 10- 5 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.42 11.80
3 H UConn ( 3-13, 91.4) 10- 2 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.42 8.51
3 A South Dakota ( 5-14, 91.7) 4- 6 -8.20 11.17 0.74 0.42 -1.57
3 H Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 8- 3 -3.57 15.80 -0.74 0.42 12.65
3 H Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 8-10 -3.57 15.80 -0.74 0.42 -0.91
3 H Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 9- 8 -3.57 15.80 -0.74 0.42 12.65
3 H Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 9- 8 -3.57 15.80 -0.74 0.42 12.65
3 H Northern Kentu ( 0- 6, 88.0) 10- 6 -11.88 7.49 -0.74 0.42 5.67
3 H Ball State ( 4- 5, 91.7) 5- 7 -8.16 11.21 -0.74 0.42 -1.87
3 H Ball State ( 4- 5, 91.7) 8- 1 -8.16 11.21 -0.74 0.42 8.79
3 H Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 8- 6 -9.90 9.47 -0.74 0.42 7.33
3 H Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 13- 5 -9.90 9.47 -0.74 0.42 7.33
3 H Evansville ( 0- 4, 89.7) 5- 4 -10.25 9.12 -0.74 0.42 7.04
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 6- 8 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.42 -1.10
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 0- 4 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.42 -1.10
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 7- 6 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.42 11.87
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 13- 4 -6.31 13.06 0.74 0.42 11.59
3 H Campbell ( 5- 9, 92.1) 8- 2 -7.81 11.56 -0.74 0.42 9.09
3 A Indiana State ( 1- 8, 88.3) 12- 1 -11.60 7.77 0.74 0.42 7.15
3 A Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 6- 5 -6.05 13.32 0.74 0.42 11.81
3 A Campbell ( 5- 9, 92.1) 12- 0 -7.81 11.56 0.74 0.42 10.33
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 8- 7 -6.17 13.20 0.74 0.42 11.71
3 A Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 8- 5 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.42 9.18
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 6- 2 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.42 14.28
3 H Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 3- 1 -5.06 14.31 -0.74 0.42 11.40
3 A Eastern Kentuc ( 4-11, 90.2) 12- 4 -9.70 9.67 0.74 0.42 8.75
3 A California (17-34, 91.3) 5- 7 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.42 -1.64
3 A California (17-34, 91.3) 6- 3 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.42 9.70
3 A California (17-34, 91.3) 12- 2 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.42 9.70
3 A Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 2- 5 -6.91 12.46 0.74 0.42 -1.30
3 A Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 8- 5 -6.91 12.46 0.74 0.42 11.09
3 A Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 13- 5 -6.91 12.46 0.74 0.42 11.09
3 H Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 8- 7 -3.67 15.70 -0.74 0.42 12.57
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 9- 1 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.42 7.93
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 10- 2 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.42 7.93
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 14- 0 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.42 7.93
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 8-12 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.42 -1.45
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 13- 5 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.42 6.40
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 5- 1 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.42 6.40
3 A Georgetown ( 2- 5, 91.8) 13- 1 -8.15 11.22 0.74 0.42 10.05
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 5- 1 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.42 10.91
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 6-10 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.42 -1.34
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 8- 3 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.42 10.91
3 H NC State (28-26, 92.8) 6- 5 -7.13 12.24 -0.74 0.42 9.66
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 5- 6 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.42 -0.59
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 1- 5 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 0.42 -1.04
3 A South Dakota ( 5-14, 91.7) 2- 4 -8.20 11.17 0.74 0.42 -1.57
------
406.66
|
winning pts = 425.7574 losing points = -19.0997
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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