Saint Mary's
W-L: (13-10) PR = 92.5974Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 6- 5 220 A Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 0- 7 220 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 9- 5 221 H South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 2- 4 227 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 1- 6 227 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 3- 1 228 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 1-12 228 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 5- 2 301 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 5- 4 301 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 5- 4 307 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 3- 9 307 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 9- 4 308 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 1- 5 308 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 2- 6 319 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 14-13 402 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 5- 2 403 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 1- 6 403 A Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 3- 2 404 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 5- 1 515 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 2- 3 516 H Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 5- 4 516 H Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 3- 1 517 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 0- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Colorado State 6- 5 1 2 -0.91
220 A Washington 0- 7 -7 -5 - -2.11
220 A San Diego State 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.40
221 H South Carolina 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.37
227 A Louisiana 1- 6 -5 -1 - -3.64
227 A Kennesaw State 3- 1 2 4 -1.86
228 A Texas A&M 1-12 -11 -5 --- -6.07
228 H Louisiana 5- 2 3 0 + 2.88
301 A Kennesaw State 5- 4 1 4 - -2.86
301 A Kennesaw State 5- 4 1 4 - -2.86
307 H Fresno State 3- 9 -6 2 --- -7.74
307 A Fresno State 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.74
308 A San José State 1- 5 -4 2 -- -5.94
308 A San José State 2- 6 -4 2 -- -5.94
319 A Colorado State 14-13 1 0 0.57
402 H Washington 5- 2 3 -3 +++ 6.40
403 A Stanford 1- 6 -5 -4 -0.52
403 A Washington 3- 2 1 -5 ++ 5.89
404 A Stanford 5- 1 4 -4 +++ 8.48
515 A Mississippi State 2- 3 -1 -5 + 3.67
516 H Oregon 5- 4 1 -3 ++ 4.16
516 H Idaho State 3- 1 2 2 -0.01
517 A Mississippi State 0- 5 -5 -5 -0.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Texas A&M 1-12 -11 -5 --- -6.07 307 H Fresno State 3- 9 -6 2 --- -7.74 308 A San José State 1- 5 -4 2 -- -5.94 308 A San José State 2- 6 -4 2 -- -5.94 220 A Washington 0- 7 -7 -5 - -2.11 227 A Louisiana 1- 6 -5 -1 - -3.64 301 A Kennesaw State 5- 4 1 4 - -2.86 301 A Kennesaw State 5- 4 1 4 - -2.86 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Washington 5- 2 3 -3 +++ 6.40 404 A Stanford 5- 1 4 -4 +++ 8.48 220 A San Diego State 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.40 307 A Fresno State 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.74 403 A Washington 3- 2 1 -5 ++ 5.89 516 H Oregon 5- 4 1 -3 ++ 4.16 228 H Louisiana 5- 2 3 0 + 2.88 515 A Mississippi State 2- 3 -1 -5 + 3.67 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 6- 5 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 1.10 22.26
3 A Washington (36-18, 96.7) 0- 7 -3.16 16.21 0.74 1.10 -1.32
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 9- 5 -7.65 11.72 0.74 1.10 27.31
3 H South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 2- 4 -4.93 14.44 -0.74 1.10 -3.11
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 1- 6 -6.68 12.69 0.74 1.10 -3.26
3 A Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 3- 1 -11.91 7.46 0.74 1.10 17.98
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 1-12 -3.12 16.25 0.74 1.10 -1.30
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 5- 2 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 1.10 26.18
3 A Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 5- 4 -11.91 7.46 0.74 1.10 17.98
3 A Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 5- 4 -11.91 7.46 0.74 1.10 17.98
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 3- 9 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 1.10 -4.96
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 9- 4 -8.30 11.07 0.74 1.10 25.88
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 1- 5 -9.99 9.38 0.74 1.10 -5.07
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 2- 6 -9.99 9.38 0.74 1.10 -5.07
3 A Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 14-13 -8.47 10.90 0.74 1.10 25.51
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 5- 2 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 1.10 33.91
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 1- 6 -3.57 15.80 0.74 1.10 -1.55
3 A Washington (36-18, 96.7) 3- 2 -3.16 16.21 0.74 1.10 37.16
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 5- 1 -3.57 15.80 0.74 1.10 36.26
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 2- 3 -3.37 16.00 0.74 1.10 -1.44
3 H Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 5- 4 -3.40 15.97 -0.74 1.10 33.38
3 H Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 3- 1 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 1.10 22.05
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 0- 5 -3.37 16.00 0.74 1.10 -1.44
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315.32
|
winning pts = 343.8293 losing points = -28.5090
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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